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Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-115
20-29 20-34 19-26 12-26
Position#12
Record10-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#2
Record14-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game87.7
SpainACBRound 21· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Valencia
04 Oct 2026
ZAR82
VAL97
26 May 2026
ZAR86
VAL98
01 Mar 2025
ZAR71
VAL115
21 Jan 2024
ZAR75
VAL85
26 Mar 2023
ZAR86
VAL75
02 Oct 2021
ZAR70
VAL76
11 Apr 2021
ZAR76
VAL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
60avg 81
A04/01
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
97-83
97
83
+14
100avg 81
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
92-93
92
93
-1
79avg 81
H11/01
ACB
FC Porto
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
69avg 81
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 81
A19/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 81
H26/01
ACB
Maroussi
#12
W
80-68
80
68
+12
76avg 81
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 81
H01/02
ACB
Tofas
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 81
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
101-89
101
89
+12
103avg 81
A09/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-20
20-22
18-24
29-13
18-31
23-17
27-22
14-24
25-21
26-23
27-25
21-25
16-22
24-18
14-21
17-22
20-25
28-19
26-31
14-16
22-18
23-18
27-23
23-15
18-25
22-15
17-13
13-24
17-20
17-19
32-25
25-17
24-22
14-16
16-25
31-13
25-32
19-17
26-27
169.5Avg total
85.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.788.8179.5+1.950%
Season at home (10)93.781.4175.1+12.380%
Season away (10)87.796.2183.9-8.520%
Last 10 (10)85.184.4169.5+0.740%
Last 5 (5)85.080.0165.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)89.599.2188.8-9.825%
vs Similar (19)87.184.2171.2+2.958%
vs Weaker (7)94.381.4175.7+12.971%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
120-94
120
94
+26
129avg 86
H11/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#18
W
96-91
96
91
+5
98avg 86
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 86
A18/01
ACB
Aris
#19
W
106-65
106
65
+41
110avg 86
H22/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
W
112-96
112
96
+16
109avg 86
H25/01
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
72-66
72
66
+6
65avg 86
A28/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 86
A01/02
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
100-98
100
98
+2
99avg 86
H05/02
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 86
H09/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-19
34-23
26-26
27-26
28-21
24-25
21-28
23-17
20-18
26-20
23-25
17-31
28-16
27-17
27-18
24-14
28-23
26-29
33-22
25-22
21-20
10-12
17-17
24-17
10-26
16-18
28-23
30-19
18-27
32-27
22-22
28-22
19-25
18-27
28-30
21-18
15-19
16-21
20-25
14-14
179.6Avg total
92.7Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)96.287.7183.9+8.570%
Season at home (10)98.885.5184.3+13.390%
Season away (10)93.789.9183.6+3.850%
Last 10 (10)92.786.9179.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)81.485.8167.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)98.186.9184.9+11.275%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
Basket ZaragozaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/01
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/01
ACB
FC Porto
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A19/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H26/01
ACB
Maroussi
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H01/02
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A09/02
ACB
82.9Avg total
40.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.982.8+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.338.281.5+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.643.584.1-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.482.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.046.083.0-9.025%-
vs Similar (19)40.439.980.3+0.563%-
vs Weaker (7)49.040.689.6+8.471%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H11/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#18
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A18/01
ACB
Aris
#19
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H22/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H25/01
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A28/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H05/02
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H09/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/02
Spanish Cup
88.2Avg total
44.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.642.890.3+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.742.194.8+10.580%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.485.9-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)44.943.388.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.044.479.4-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.443.391.8+5.171%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.6
54.1%
54.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
35.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.314.7
72.4%
76.4%14.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.8
59.6%
54.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.013.5
42.2%
35.6%40.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
76.4%15.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
WLLWWLLLWL
Valencia
LLWLWWWLWW
#12
League position
#2
+0.9
Net rating
+15.1
108.1
Offensive rating
124.3
107.2
Defensive rating
109.2
52.3%
Effective FG%
61.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
42.2%
63.3%
Assist %
67.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 124.3Defence107.2 · 109.2Shooting52.3% · 61.4%3-point %33.3% · 42.2%Ball care20.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds35.5% · 33.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
8
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25ABasquet Girona101-89
05/02/25HTofas79-80
01/02/25HMurcia79-88
29/01/25HMaroussi80-68
26/01/25HMoraBanc Andorra86-75
19/01/25AGranada91-97
14/01/25AFC Porto75-86
11/01/25HManresa92-93
08/01/25ATofas97-83
04/01/25AUnicaja71-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25AGran Canaria65-79
09/02/25HBarcelona86-100
05/02/25HJL Bourg100-98
01/02/25AMoraBanc Andorra84-86
28/01/25ACedevita Olimpija72-66
25/01/25HManresa112-96
22/01/25HAris106-65
18/01/25AUnicaja86-94
14/01/25ALietkabelis96-91
11/01/25HGranada120-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game90.793.787.7
Allowed / game88.881.496.2
Point differential+1.9+12.3-8.5
Avg total179.5175.1183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL70%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game96.298.893.7
Allowed / game87.785.589.9
Point differential+8.6+13.3+3.8
Avg total183.9184.3183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%70%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2016480%88.477.8+10.7
2 Unicaja2015575%88.082.3+5.7
3 Tenerife2015575%87.282.2+5.0
4 Valencia2014670%96.287.7+8.6
5 Joventut Badalona2013765%85.482.8+2.6
6 Manresa2012860%86.882.8+4.0
7 Barcelona2011955%89.886.2+3.6
8 Gran Canaria2011955%83.582.5+1.1
9 Basket Zaragoza20101050%90.788.8+1.9
10 Baskonia20101050%86.487.0-0.7
11 Murcia2091145%81.082.2-1.2
12 Breogan2081240%77.285.1-7.9
13 Bilbao2071335%81.483.0-1.6
14 MoraBanc Andorra2071335%86.890.7-3.8
15 Forca Lleida2061430%83.087.5-4.5
16 Granada2061430%80.085.8-5.8
17 Basquet Girona2061430%80.088.4-8.4
18 Leyma Coruna2041620%84.193.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2020191271
Valencia29342626115
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