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Forca Lleida vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 84-95
21-28 16-18 28-20 19-29
Position#16
Record6-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game77.4
SpainACBRound 20· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Real Madrid
25 Oct 2026
FLL86
MAD122
20 Dec 2025
FLL81
MAD88
09 Feb 2025
FLL84
MAD95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
84avg 76
A07/12
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 76
H15/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 76
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
56avg 76
A27/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
92-107
92
107
-15
83avg 76
A30/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 76
H04/01
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 76
A12/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 76
H19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
72avg 76
H26/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
75-91
75
91
-16
72avg 76
A02/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
21-23
18-21
24-20
18-20
17-13
23-12
26-21
14-23
32-12
14-23
27-16
16-22
22-28
22-12
12-30
26-26
17-23
22-30
27-28
16-19
19-24
16-22
34-25
17-18
18-23
25-20
21-27
26-15
19-19
26-18
17-26
16-13
25-18
16-27
17-20
20-28
21-20
17-20
17-23
168.1Avg total
82.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.987.1170.0-4.132%
Season at home (9)84.080.1164.1+3.956%
Season away (10)82.093.3175.3-11.310%
Last 10 (10)82.685.5168.1-2.930%
Last 5 (5)80.685.0165.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.189.0170.1-7.918%
vs Similar (10)84.982.2167.1+2.760%
vs Weaker (9)87.072.0159.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 83
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
116-113
116
113
+3
110avg 83
H14/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
86-96
86
96
-10
79avg 83
H16/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
100-84
100
84
+16
99avg 83
A19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 83
H23/01
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 83
H26/01
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
64avg 83
A31/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 83
H02/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 83
A04/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
54avg 83
A06/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
30-22
34-16
17-28
33-30
24-33
34-27
25-23
19-22
19-25
16-26
32-23
22-24
34-17
21-18
23-25
22-21
20-24
22-22
26-22
29-12
17-18
23-21
21-23
13-20
26-16
17-23
17-18
22-20
18-19
18-19
28-15
17-25
21-13
23-18
12-23
16-16
12-24
19-18
20-20
172.6Avg total
87.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.177.4165.5+10.679%
Season at home (11)90.175.3165.4+14.8100%
Season away (8)85.280.4165.6+4.950%
Last 10 (10)87.784.9172.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)77.876.2154.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)82.081.4163.4+0.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.380.3170.6+10.088%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
Forca LleidaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/12
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A30/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/01
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H26/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/02
ACB
81.9Avg total
40.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.480.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.937.379.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.941.381.2-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.481.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.944.583.5-5.627%-
vs Similar (10)40.538.579.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (9)43.434.277.7+9.289%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H14/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H16/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/01
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/01
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A31/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/02
Euroleague
85.0Avg total
42.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.682.9+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.540.784.2+2.859%-
Last 30 away (13)40.840.581.3+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.185.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)37.940.678.5-2.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.240.686.8+5.675%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.5
51.1%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.1
34.5%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.117.3
74.9%
76.4%17.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.4
56.6%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.3
79.0%
76.4%17.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
LLWLLLLWWL
Real Madrid
LLWLWWWLWW
#16
League position
#1
-4.4
Net rating
+4.5
108.5
Offensive rating
116.1
112.9
Defensive rating
111.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.5%
3-point %
35.2%
68.5%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 116.1Defence112.9 · 111.6Shooting51.4% · 55.0%3-point %34.5% · 35.2%Ball care17.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forca Lleida wins
1
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Real Madrid v Forca Lleida85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ABilbao75-91
26/01/25HBaskonia74-78
19/01/25HGran Canaria88-78
12/01/25AMurcia81-88
04/01/25HBasquet Girona85-90
30/12/24AValencia92-107
27/12/24AJoventut Badalona72-92
21/12/24HGranada87-74
15/12/24HBilbao84-66
07/12/24ATenerife88-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25AFenerbahce67-78
04/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-79
02/02/25HJoventut Badalona86-73
31/01/25AMonaco73-77
26/01/25HLeyma Coruna90-74
23/01/25HBaskonia90-89
19/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra100-84
16/01/25HOlympiacos86-96
14/01/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv116-113
12/01/25HTenerife96-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%56%10%
Points / game82.984.082.0
Allowed / game87.180.193.3
Point differential-4.1+3.9-11.3
Avg total170.0164.1175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %79%100%50%
Points / game88.190.185.2
Allowed / game77.475.380.4
Point differential+10.6+14.8+4.9
Avg total165.5165.4165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%64%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1915479%88.177.4+10.6
2 Unicaja2015575%88.082.3+5.7
3 Tenerife2015575%87.282.2+5.0
4 Valencia1914574%96.887.1+9.7
5 Joventut Badalona2013765%85.482.8+2.6
6 Manresa2012860%86.882.8+4.0
7 Gran Canaria1911858%82.981.2+1.7
8 Barcelona1910953%89.386.3+3.1
9 Basket Zaragoza1991047%90.288.8+1.4
10 Baskonia1991047%85.587.3-1.8
11 Murcia2091145%81.082.2-1.2
12 Breogan2081240%77.285.1-7.9
13 Bilbao2071335%81.483.0-1.6
14 Forca Lleida1961332%82.987.1-4.1
15 MoraBanc Andorra1961332%85.890.5-4.6
16 Granada1961332%79.984.9-5.0
17 Basquet Girona1961332%79.587.7-8.2
18 Leyma Coruna2041620%84.193.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida2116281984
Real Madrid2818202995
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