Forca Lleida vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 87-68

23-15 22-15 19-16 23-22

Position#14

Record-

FormLLLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Forca Lleida 🏆

Breogan

Position#11

Record-

FormWLLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

ACBRound 1· Pavelló Barris Nord

Domestic2025-26

Meetings · Forca Lleida v Breogan

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Breogan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca Lleida Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLleida

Date

Competition

Manresa

95-89

93avg 74

A29/03

ACB

Breogan

#13

94-81

+13

87avg 74

H05/04

ACB

Valencia

67-76

-9

48avg 74

H20/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

79-96

-17

75avg 74

A27/04

ACB

Murcia

#10

79-77

77avg 74

H04/05

ACB

Barcelona

72-98

-26

54avg 74

A11/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

90-94

-4

88avg 74

A14/05

ACB

Tenerife

72-84

-12

65avg 74

H18/05

ACB

Unicaja

69-98

-29

56avg 74

H25/05

ACB

Basquet Girona

#14

83-95

-12

71avg 74

A29/05

ACB

29-28

29-25

18-19

19-17

23-30

19-17

24-15

28-19

19-20

11-17

17-21

20-18

17-26

16-26

20-25

26-19

18-11

18-13

20-23

23-30

18-31

17-22

17-29

20-16

19-13

19-28

29-28

23-25

11-20

22-16

19-15

20-33

23-28

12-28

21-21

13-21

24-20

16-25

24-25

19-25

168.8Avg total

80.0Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.0	88.8	168.8	-8.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	93.8	171.0	-16.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	81.2	89.2	170.4	-7.9	18%
vs Similar (13)	85.8	85.8	171.6	-0.1	54%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBreogan

Date

Competition

Baskonia

88-82

85avg 70

H30/03

ACB

Forca Lleida

#16

81-94

-13

72avg 70

A05/04

ACB

Basquet Girona

#14

85-91

-6

77avg 70

A12/04

ACB

Basket Zaragoza

#12

90-85

85avg 70

H20/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

65-82

-17

50avg 70

H26/04

ACB

Manresa

104-93

104

+11

90avg 70

A03/05

ACB

Real Madrid

69-79

-10

56avg 70

H11/05

ACB

Granada

#17

82-91

-9

67avg 70

A17/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

74-82

-8

59avg 70

H25/05

ACB

Valencia

61-108

108

-47

40avg 70

A30/05

ACB

34-13

23-21

17-23

14-25

30-23

17-19

15-24

19-28

16-27

19-18

31-28

24-23

18-19

22-23

26-20

7-20

18-24

20-19

30-15

29-20

26-26

19-32

13-24

14-10

27-25

15-20

16-23

24-26

18-22

24-20

18-27

18-13

17-32

21-10

13-25

18-22

12-29

18-32

168.6Avg total

79.9Scored

88.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	79.9	88.7	168.6	-8.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	90.6	168.6	-12.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	78.4	87.0	165.4	-8.6	39%
vs Similar (7)	84.0	88.6	172.6	-4.6	43%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Forca LleidaBreogan

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	41%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.5	42.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	19.9	20.3	40.3	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.7	39.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.8	41.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	24%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.1	21.5	42.5	-0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.3	39.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	18.1	35.7	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manresa

58-53

A29/03

ACB

Breogan

#13

42-47

-5

H05/04

ACB

Valencia

30-37

-7

H20/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

33-52

-19

A27/04

ACB

Murcia

#10

36-24

+12

H04/05

ACB

Barcelona

35-53

-18

A11/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

38-41

-3

A14/05

ACB

Tenerife

33-36

-3

H18/05

ACB

Unicaja

35-56

-21

H25/05

ACB

Basquet Girona

#14

40-45

-5

A29/05

ACB

82.4Avg total

38.0Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	43.8	83.2	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	39.9	78.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	47.8	87.7	-7.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	44.4	82.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	46.2	82.4	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.0	43.8	82.8	-4.8	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.8	43.9	83.7	-4.2	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

57-34

+23

H30/03

ACB

Forca Lleida

#16

47-42

A05/04

ACB

Basquet Girona

#14

35-45

-10

A12/04

ACB

Basket Zaragoza

#12

42-42

H20/04

ACB

Joventut Badalona

25-44

-19

H26/04

ACB

Manresa

59-35

+24

A03/05

ACB

Real Madrid

27-34

-7

H11/05

ACB

Granada

#17

40-49

-9

A17/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

36-40

-4

H25/05

ACB

Valencia

31-47

-16

A30/05

ACB

81.1Avg total

39.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	41.2	80.2	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	38.5	75.3	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	44.0	85.1	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.2	81.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.0	79.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	37.7	41.0	78.7	-3.3	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.1	42.1	85.3	+1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.1	42.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.4	43.7	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	47%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	23.9	44.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	22.5	43.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	25.3	44.8	-5.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	24.1	43.4	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.8	46.8	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	20.5	23.7	44.2	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	24.3	44.4	-4.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.9	43.8	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.2	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	24.5	20.2	44.6	+4.3	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.3	42.6	-1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.3	39.5	+1.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	25.3	45.7	-4.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.4	44.1	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-2.0	57%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	22.1	42.9	-1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	42.3	85.4	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	43.7	86.7	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	44.4	86.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	47.6	88.6	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	42.2	45.4	87.6	-3.2	18%	-
vs Similar (13)	44.1	39.8	83.9	+4.2	69%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	46.1	86.9	-5.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	41.7	83.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	50.5	90.5	-10.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	47.5	87.5	-7.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	49.6	89.0	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	40.7	46.0	86.8	-5.3	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.9	46.4	87.3	-5.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 79.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game

42%

39%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	18.6	48.2%	50.0%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	42.2%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.8	76.4%	74.7%	17.8

They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀38%

🏀🏀🏀45%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game

42%

39%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	15.2	46.6%	50.0%	30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	11.8	37.1%	42.2%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.4	75.7%	74.7%	13.4

They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.4	17.3	55.1%	50.0%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.9	12.6	38.3%	42.2%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.6	77.2%	74.7%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.7	57.1%	50.0%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	9.9	33.9%	42.2%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	24.0	19.0	79.2%	74.7%	19.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.0	49.9%	50.0%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.3	34.1%	42.2%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	23.7	18.2	76.9%	74.7%	18.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	17.2	49.9%	50.0%	34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.2	36.5%	42.2%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.5%	74.7%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	18.1	54.0%	50.0%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	11.4	36.6%	42.2%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.5	74.8%	74.7%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	18.5	54.4%	50.0%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	10.9	36.5%	42.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.9	76.9%	74.7%	16.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Forca Lleida

LLLLLWLLWW

Breogan

LLLLWLWLLW

#14

League position

#11

-11.6

Net rating

-11.6

102.2

Offensive rating

103.6

113.8

Defensive rating

115.2

48.3%

Effective FG%

51.1%

56.3%

Opp. effective FG%

54.2%

19.7%

Turnover %

17.6%

30.4%

Off. rebound %

25.1%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.27

32.4%

3-point %

37.1%

57.5%

Assist %

59.3%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Forca Lleida ■ Breogan

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Forca Lleida wins

Breogan wins

Date	Game	Score
05/04/25	Forca Lleida v Breogan	94-81
27/10/24	Breogan v Forca Lleida	77-81
03/01/20	Forca Lleida v Breogan	61-64
28/01/18	Breogan v Forca Lleida	81-49
15/10/17	Forca Lleida v Breogan	73-86
04/02/17	Breogan v Forca Lleida	78-81
21/10/16	Forca Lleida v Breogan	88-77
06/01/16	Forca Lleida v Breogan	72-79
02/10/15	Breogan v Forca Lleida	76-74 OT
28/03/15	Breogan v Forca Lleida	77-68

Forca Lleidalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/05/25	A	Basquet Girona	83-95
25/05/25	H	Unicaja	69-98
18/05/25	H	Tenerife	72-84
14/05/25	A	Gran Canaria	90-94
11/05/25	A	Barcelona	72-98
04/05/25	H	Murcia	79-77
27/04/25	A	MoraBanc Andorra	79-96
20/04/25	H	Valencia	67-76
05/04/25	H	Breogan	94-81
29/03/25	A	Manresa	95-89

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/05/25	A	Valencia	61-108
25/05/25	H	Gran Canaria	74-82
17/05/25	A	Granada	82-91
11/05/25	H	Real Madrid	69-79
03/05/25	A	Manresa	104-93
26/04/25	H	Joventut Badalona	65-82
20/04/25	H	Basket Zaragoza	90-85
12/04/25	A	Basquet Girona	85-91
05/04/25	A	Forca Lleida	81-94
30/03/25	H	Baskonia	88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida

ACB 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Breogan

ACB 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	1	1	0	100%	97.0	79.0	+18.0
2	Unicaja	1	1	0	100%	86.0	68.0	+18.0
3	Tenerife	1	1	0	100%	104.0	93.0	+11.0
4	Manresa	1	0	1	0%	93.0	104.0	-11.0
5	Basquet Girona	1	0	1	0%	79.0	97.0	-18.0
6	Bilbao	1	0	1	0%	68.0	86.0	-18.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Forca Lleida	23	22	19	23	87
Breogan	15	15	16	22	68

← all games of the day

Forca Lleida vs Breogan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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