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Forca Lleida vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 67-76
19-20 11-17 17-21 20-18
Position#16
Record10-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game87.5
Forca Lleida
Spain
vs
Valencia 🏆
Spain
Position#2
Record20-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game85.0
SpainACBRound 28· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Valencia
09 May 2027
FLL v VAL
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
FLL78
VAL99
20 Apr 2025
FLL67
VAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 78
H19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
72avg 78
H26/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
75-91
75
91
-16
72avg 78
A02/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
79avg 78
H09/02
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 78
A01/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-91
97
91
+6
99avg 78
H09/03
ACB
Granada
#17
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
72avg 78
A16/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 78
H23/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 78
A29/03
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
94-81
94
81
+13
87avg 78
H05/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
19-19
26-18
17-26
16-13
25-18
16-27
17-20
20-28
21-20
17-20
17-23
21-28
16-18
28-20
19-29
18-31
24-21
19-26
23-19
17-19
33-24
22-18
25-30
12-21
19-22
16-16
26-14
22-18
18-27
25-24
16-17
29-28
29-25
18-19
19-17
23-30
19-17
24-15
28-19
172.5Avg total
85.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.587.5172.0-3.038%
Season at home (13)85.582.6168.2+2.954%
Season away (13)83.492.4175.8-9.023%
Last 10 (10)85.786.8172.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)90.485.8176.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.389.2171.5-6.921%
vs Similar (14)86.483.8170.1+2.664%
vs Weaker (2)80.563.0143.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
W
89-70
89
70
+19
93avg 91
H08/03
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
98-74
98
74
+24
101avg 91
H12/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
104-89
104
89
+15
103avg 91
A15/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
127-81
127
81
+46
140avg 91
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 91
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 91
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
97-69
97
69
+28
101avg 91
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 91
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
71-86
71
86
-15
62avg 91
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 91
H13/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-23
21-17
26-16
30-15
23-21
17-16
28-22
21-26
29-18
29-19
25-26
26-17
27-27
42-19
32-18
20-24
22-24
23-11
26-23
21-23
28-31
22-22
20-20
21-21
23-5
23-26
30-17
22-15
23-29
22-19
25-31
9-21
24-20
23-21
15-24
22-17
22-21
28-22
12-15
176.0Avg total
94.4Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)96.785.0181.7+11.774%
Season at home (14)97.183.4180.4+13.786%
Season away (13)96.486.8183.2+9.662%
Last 10 (10)94.481.6176.0+12.870%
Last 5 (5)87.084.0171.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)97.285.4182.6+11.868%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
Forca LleidaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H19/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H26/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A01/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H09/03
ACB
Granada
#17
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A16/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A29/03
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H05/04
ACB
86.9Avg total
42.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.283.0-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.281.1+0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)40.744.084.7-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.286.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.246.290.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.245.385.5-5.129%-
vs Similar (14)40.740.781.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker (2)45.531.577.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/03
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H12/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A15/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/04
ACB
86.7Avg total
45.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.142.389.4+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.842.492.2+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)43.542.285.7+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)45.541.286.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.683.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.942.890.7+5.171%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.5
53.3%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws27.722.1
79.8%
76.4%22.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.021.1
62.1%
54.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.812.0
36.6%
35.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.6
76.8%
76.4%15.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
WWLWWLLLLW
Valencia
WLLWLWWWWW
#16
League position
#2
-1.2
Net rating
+17.4
112.3
Offensive rating
121.8
113.5
Defensive rating
104.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
58.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
36.6%
63.1%
Assist %
70.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 121.8Defence113.5 · 104.4Shooting51.8% · 58.5%3-point %33.2% · 36.6%Ball care17.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 33.9%Free throws0.46 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forca Lleida wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
30/12/24Valencia v Forca Lleida107-92
Forca Lleidalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HBreogan94-81
29/03/25AManresa95-89
23/03/25HJoventut Badalona81-86
16/03/25AGranada85-82 OT
09/03/25HBasket Zaragoza97-91
01/03/25ALeyma Coruna84-97
09/02/25HReal Madrid84-95
02/02/25ABilbao75-91
26/01/25HBaskonia74-78
19/01/25HGran Canaria88-78
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HUnicaja84-75
05/04/25HMurcia71-86
02/04/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-94
30/03/25AGranada97-69
28/03/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-96
25/03/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv91-82
22/03/25HLeyma Coruna127-81
15/03/25AJoventut Badalona104-89
12/03/25HCluj-Napoca98-74
08/03/25HBilbao89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW38%
HomeLLWLW54%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%54%23%
Points / game84.585.583.4
Allowed / game87.582.692.4
Point differential-3.0+2.9-9.0
Avg total172.0168.2175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)17% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeLWWLW86%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%86%62%
Points / game96.797.196.4
Allowed / game85.083.486.8
Point differential+11.7+13.7+9.6
Avg total181.7180.4183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2723485%87.677.6+10.0
2 Tenerife2721678%87.082.2+4.7
3 Valencia2720774%96.785.0+11.7
4 Unicaja2819968%89.584.7+4.9
5 Barcelona27161159%91.787.0+4.7
6 Manresa28161257%88.685.0+3.6
7 Gran Canaria26141254%83.283.2+0.0
8 Joventut Badalona28151354%85.584.9+0.6
9 Baskonia27141352%86.486.2+0.2
10 Murcia28131546%81.581.5-0.1
11 Basket Zaragoza26111542%89.590.1-0.6
12 Breogan27111641%79.586.3-6.7
13 Forca Lleida26101638%84.587.5-3.0
14 MoraBanc Andorra27101737%86.491.2-4.8
15 Bilbao28101836%81.383.6-2.3
16 Basquet Girona28101836%81.487.9-6.5
17 Leyma Coruna2762122%86.496.0-9.5
18 Granada2862221%80.887.6-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida1911172067
Valencia2017211876
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