PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 May 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 108-61
25-13 22-18 29-12 32-18
Position#2
Record24-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#13
Record13-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game86.1
SpainACBRound 34· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Breogan
22 Nov 2026
VAL v BRE
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
VAL105
BRE88
30 May 2025
VAL108
BRE61
14 Jan 2024
VAL88
BRE80
24 May 2023
VAL77
BRE80
19 Dec 2021
VAL97
BRE98
04 May 2019
VAL83
BRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
97-69
97
69
+28
101avg 92
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 92
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
71-86
71
86
-15
62avg 92
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 92
H13/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 92
A20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
112avg 92
H27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
78avg 92
A04/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 92
H10/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
82avg 92
A17/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
102-99
102
99
+3
97avg 92
A25/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
23-5
23-26
30-17
22-15
23-29
22-19
25-31
9-21
24-20
23-21
15-24
22-17
22-21
28-22
12-15
20-19
17-11
21-17
18-20
19-29
25-22
24-25
26-18
20-27
24-19
19-28
26-22
17-27
20-21
28-12
21-19
19-14
28-27
17-19
27-25
26-23
30-20
32-27
14-29
179.1Avg total
91.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)96.486.3182.7+10.173%
Season at home (16)98.185.9184.0+12.281%
Season away (17)94.886.8181.5+8.065%
Last 10 (10)91.387.8179.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)98.697.4196.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)89.096.0185.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)96.185.2181.2+10.971%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
L
70-86
70
86
-16
53avg 71
H22/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
85avg 71
H30/03
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
81-94
81
94
-13
72avg 71
A05/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 71
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 71
H20/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
50avg 71
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
104-93
104
93
+11
90avg 71
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
56avg 71
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
82-91
82
91
-9
67avg 71
A17/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
74-82
74
82
-8
59avg 71
H25/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
11-11
21-23
12-23
34-13
23-21
17-23
14-25
30-23
17-19
15-24
19-28
16-27
19-18
19-18
31-28
24-23
18-19
22-23
26-20
7-20
18-24
20-19
20-19
30-15
29-20
26-26
19-32
13-24
14-10
27-25
15-20
16-23
24-26
18-22
24-20
18-27
18-13
17-32
21-10
167.3Avg total
80.8Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.786.1165.8-6.439%
Season at home (17)78.180.6158.7-2.647%
Season away (16)81.591.9173.4-10.431%
Last 10 (10)80.886.5167.3-5.730%
Last 5 (5)78.885.4164.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.286.0165.3-6.841%
vs Similar (8)83.187.6170.8-4.538%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
ValenciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H27/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A04/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H10/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A25/05
ACB
83.9Avg total
43.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.688.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.243.690.8+3.660%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.685.4+2.260%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.883.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.891.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)44.046.090.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.142.688.6+3.564%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H30/03
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A05/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A17/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/05
ACB
81.0Avg total
40.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.280.5-1.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.138.976.0-1.825%-
Last 30 away (14)41.943.885.6-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.581.0+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.040.778.7-2.723%-
vs Similar (8)43.042.585.5+0.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.3
55.3%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.5
33.1%
35.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.515.2
77.9%
76.4%15.2
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.5
47.3%
54.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.7
37.5%
35.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
76.4%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLLWWLLW
Breogan
LLLWLWLLWL
#2
League position
#13
+4.2
Net rating
-7.1
114.0
Offensive rating
105.8
109.8
Defensive rating
112.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
37.5%
63.5%
Assist %
56.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 105.8Defence109.8 · 112.9Shooting52.6% · 51.6%3-point %33.1% · 37.5%Ball care15.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 27.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
3
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
13/10/24Breogan v Valencia75-87
14/01/24Valencia v Breogan88-80
15/10/23Breogan v Valencia59-61
24/05/23Valencia v Breogan77-80
06/11/22Breogan v Valencia83-88
13/02/22Breogan v Valencia99-82
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
04/05/19Valencia v Breogan83-82
20/01/19Breogan v Valencia65-77
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25ATenerife102-99
17/05/25ABasquet Girona91-85
10/05/25HGran Canaria86-79
04/05/25AReal Madrid89-96
27/04/25HBaskonia125-128 OT
20/04/25AForca Lleida76-67
13/04/25HUnicaja84-75
05/04/25HMurcia71-86
02/04/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-94
30/03/25AGranada97-69
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25HGran Canaria74-82
17/05/25AGranada82-91
11/05/25HReal Madrid69-79
03/05/25AManresa104-93
26/04/25HJoventut Badalona65-82
20/04/25HBasket Zaragoza90-85
12/04/25ABasquet Girona85-91
05/04/25AForca Lleida81-94
30/03/25HBaskonia88-82
22/03/25HMurcia70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW73%
HomeWLWLW81%
AwayWWLWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %73%81%65%
Points / game96.498.194.8
Allowed / game86.385.986.8
Point differential+10.1+12.2+8.0
Avg total182.7184.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %39%47%31%
Points / game79.778.181.5
Allowed / game86.180.691.9
Point differential-6.4-2.6-10.4
Avg total165.8158.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)71% (7)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3430488%87.377.7+9.6
2 Tenerife3325876%87.583.1+4.4
3 Valencia3324973%96.486.3+10.1
4 Unicaja33231070%90.384.1+6.2
5 Barcelona34211362%92.186.4+5.8
6 Joventut Badalona33191458%85.183.3+1.8
7 Gran Canaria33191458%84.383.5+0.8
8 Baskonia34191556%89.088.7+0.3
9 Manresa33161748%87.084.9+2.1
10 Murcia33161748%82.482.1+0.3
11 MoraBanc Andorra34142041%87.691.0-3.3
12 Breogan33132039%79.786.1-6.4
13 Basket Zaragoza34132138%89.290.8-1.6
14 Basquet Girona34122235%82.188.2-6.1
15 Bilbao34112332%81.984.5-2.7
16 Forca Lleida34112332%82.688.0-5.5
17 Granada3492526%81.287.3-6.1
18 Leyma Coruna3472721%86.495.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia25222932108
Breogan1318121861
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.