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Breogan vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-82
34-13 23-21 17-23 14-25
Position#13
Record10-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game85.9
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#7
Record12-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game86.7
SpainACBRound 25· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Breogan v Baskonia
21 May 2027
BRE v BAS
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
BRE100
BAS103
30 Mar 2025
BRE88
BAS82
24 Sep 2023
BRE79
BAS88
27 Dec 2022
BRE77
BAS86
19 Jan 2022
BRE89
BAS83
10 Mar 2019
BRE72
BAS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
101avg 69
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
83-80
83
80
+3
73avg 69
H12/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
82avg 69
A19/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
71avg 69
H25/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
82avg 69
A02/02
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 69
H08/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
79-102
79
102
-23
75avg 69
A02/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
94-74
94
74
+20
98avg 69
H08/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
106-98
106
98
+8
108avg 69
A16/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
70-86
70
86
-16
53avg 69
H22/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
29-20
26-16
20-34
22-16
14-22
21-22
26-20
18-22
22-18
26-30
25-27
12-15
14-22
26-16
24-18
21-21
20-28
19-30
23-17
17-20
17-22
28-19
19-18
33-21
11-27
15-24
20-30
18-14
22-17
27-19
27-24
33-23
29-18
29-36
15-21
26-29
11-11
21-23
12-23
174.0Avg total
86.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.985.9164.8-7.042%
Season at home (12)78.480.1158.5-1.750%
Season away (12)79.391.8171.1-12.433%
Last 10 (10)86.487.6174.0-1.260%
Last 5 (5)86.087.8173.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.483.1159.5-6.735%
vs Similar (7)85.685.9171.4-0.371%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 78
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 78
A02/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
54avg 78
H06/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
81avg 78
H09/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
90-97
90
97
-7
91avg 78
A13/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 78
A16/03
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
112-89
112
89
+23
105avg 78
H20/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
90-84
90
84
+6
83avg 78
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
76-92
76
92
-16
74avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
7-20
26-18
22-23
24-18
17-25
20-31
27-19
18-12
20-18
10-13
18-22
14-19
18-25
27-16
25-20
24-26
22-24
23-25
21-22
20-21
20-18
13-17
25-27
25-21
25-27
33-23
29-18
21-20
20-29
28-15
21-20
22-28
22-21
15-18
17-25
13-19
19-27
27-26
18-10
168.5Avg total
83.4Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.286.7172.9-0.550%
Season at home (12)92.888.8181.7+4.058%
Season away (12)79.584.6164.1-5.142%
Last 10 (10)83.485.1168.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)86.686.0172.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.090.5172.5-8.510%
vs Similar (14)85.582.3167.8+3.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.584.3175.8+7.267%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
BreoganBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H25/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A02/02
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H08/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A02/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A16/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/03
ACB
82.4Avg total
41.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.678.1-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.737.475.1+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.781.0-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.982.4+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.483.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.539.576.0-3.035%-
vs Similar (7)45.039.784.7+5.357%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A13/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/03
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H20/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/03
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
38.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.283.4-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.241.784.9+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.244.781.9-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.383.2-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.287.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.844.983.7-6.130%-
vs Similar (14)40.143.683.8-3.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.739.582.2+3.233%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.5
55.4%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.411.5
42.0%
35.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
76.4%14.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.6
51.4%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.4
36.4%
35.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.016.9
76.8%
76.4%16.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWWLWLWLWW
Baskonia
LLWWLLWWLL
#13
League position
#7
-1.3
Net rating
-2.7
114.2
Offensive rating
111.6
115.5
Defensive rating
114.3
58.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
42.0%
3-point %
36.4%
60.0%
Assist %
69.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 111.6Defence115.5 · 114.3Shooting58.8% · 52.7%3-point %42.0% · 36.4%Ball care18.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
8
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Baskonia v Breogan97-91
14/04/24Baskonia v Breogan76-74
24/09/23Breogan v Baskonia79-88
30/04/23Baskonia v Breogan97-76
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
10/03/19Breogan v Baskonia72-90
09/12/18Baskonia v Breogan100-78
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HMurcia70-86
16/03/25ALeyma Coruna106-98
08/03/25HMoraBanc Andorra94-74
02/03/25ABarcelona79-102
08/02/25HUnicaja81-79
02/02/25ATenerife83-96
25/01/25HBilbao76-71
19/01/25ABaskonia91-97
12/01/25HLeyma Coruna83-80
04/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra101-93
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25AFenerbahce77-82
26/03/25AAnadolu Efes76-92
22/03/25HManresa90-84
20/03/25HBayern112-89
16/03/25AReal Madrid78-83
13/03/25AAlba Berlin90-97
09/03/25HGran Canaria84-80
06/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas66-65
02/03/25AMoraBanc Andorra88-93
28/02/25APartizan73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game78.978.479.3
Allowed / game85.980.191.8
Point differential-7.0-1.7-12.4
Avg total164.8158.5171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW58%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game86.292.879.5
Allowed / game86.788.884.6
Point differential-0.5+4.0-5.1
Avg total172.9181.7164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2420483%87.877.8+10.0
2 Tenerife2520580%87.482.2+5.2
3 Valencia2519676%98.385.4+12.9
4 Unicaja2517868%88.984.1+4.8
5 Barcelona24141058%91.786.9+4.8
6 Joventut Badalona24141058%85.083.6+1.4
7 Gran Canaria25141156%83.482.6+0.7
8 Manresa25131252%88.085.1+2.8
9 Baskonia24121250%86.286.7-0.5
10 Basket Zaragoza25111444%89.889.9-0.1
11 Murcia25111444%80.581.5-1.0
12 Breogan24101442%78.985.9-7.0
13 Bilbao2491538%81.283.1-1.9
14 Forca Lleida2591636%84.187.8-3.7
15 MoraBanc Andorra2591636%86.691.3-4.8
16 Basquet Girona2591636%81.187.5-6.4
17 Granada2561924%80.086.9-6.9
18 Leyma Coruna2552020%85.495.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan3423171488
Baskonia1321232582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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