PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Breogan vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-81
22-29 20-16 15-16 20-20
Position#13
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#16
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game90.2
SpainACBRound 5· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Breogan v Forca Lleida
07 Feb 2027
BRE v FLL
upcoming
13 May 2026
BRE114
FLL87
27 Oct 2024
BRE77
FLL81
01 May 2020
BRE v FLL
upcoming
28 Jan 2018
BRE81
FLL49
04 Feb 2017
BRE78
FLL81
02 Oct 2015
BRE76
FLL74
28 Mar 2015
BRE77
FLL68
21 Dec 2013
BRE77
FLL64
16 Feb 2013
BRE83
FLL68
28 Jan 2012
BRE81
FLL61
11 Feb 2011
BRE90
FLL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
46avg 67
H06/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
73avg 67
A14/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
56avg 67
H20/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
85-84
85
84
+1
80avg 67
A27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
76-54
76
54
+22
71avg 67
H05/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
84avg 67
H10/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
61-68
61
68
-7
53avg 67
A12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 67
A29/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
54avg 67
H13/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 67
A19/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-19
15-12
25-18
27-13
12-20
19-18
16-25
13-16
20-12
17-19
8-11
17-18
28-18
21-26
19-22
26-13
11-18
22-9
17-14
26-19
22-19
29-29
20-25
9-18
16-20
22-16
14-14
17-22
22-20
22-22
11-26
16-23
25-13
15-37
19-14
18-16
18-19
25-22
15-13
152.2Avg total
75.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.382.3156.7-8.033%
Season at home (1)75.087.0162.0-12.00%
Season away (2)74.080.0154.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)75.976.3152.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)76.281.4157.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.678.5151.1-5.823%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.181.0161.1-0.947%
vs Weaker (2)69.071.0140.0-2.050%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
105-70
105
70
+35
108avg 76
H10/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 76
H17/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
61avg 76
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
73-58
73
58
+15
63avg 76
A24/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 76
A08/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
85-70
85
70
+15
88avg 76
A09/06
Primera FEB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
91-101 OT
91
101
-10
80avg 76
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 76
H06/10
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
50avg 76
A12/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
75avg 76
H20/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
24-20
31-19
24-17
23-15
20-17
19-16
22-25
24-18
25-17
13-19
26-14
26-10
16-18
16-13
15-17
18-20
17-17
25-23
20-17
25-10
27-11
20-27
13-22
19-21
20-17
30-27
18-22
12-17
18-20
16-20
28-21
21-24
10-30
24-21
8-26
23-27
23-19
14-15
23-20
160.3Avg total
82.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.890.2168.0-12.525%
Season at home (2)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
Season away (2)77.0101.0178.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)82.677.7160.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)79.286.2165.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.386.7160.0-13.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.580.4162.9+2.162%
vs Weaker (19)84.972.1156.9+12.8100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
BreoganForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H20/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H05/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/05
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A12/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/10
ACB
72.8Avg total
37.6Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.075.8-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.637.676.1+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)35.240.375.6-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.272.8+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.875.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.538.576.0-1.154%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.939.676.5-2.727%-
vs Weaker (2)31.538.069.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H10/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A24/05
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
52-21
52
21
+31
A09/06
Primera FEB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H06/10
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A12/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/10
ACB
77.9Avg total
41.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.978.4+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.137.880.9+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.035.975.9+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.277.9+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.745.781.3-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.637.076.6+2.638%-
vs Weaker (19)43.335.478.7+7.984%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.9
49.4%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
76.4%14.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.8
52.1%
54.0%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.2
26.6%
35.6%24.8
🏀 Free throws21.516.0
74.4%
76.4%16.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLLLWWWLLW
Forca Lleida
WLLLWWWWWW
#13
League position
#16
-0.3
Net rating
-14.0
100.6
Offensive rating
95.4
100.9
Defensive rating
109.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
46.5%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.0%
3-point %
26.6%
58.0%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 95.4Defence100.9 · 109.5Shooting50.1% · 46.5%3-point %34.0% · 26.6%Ball care19.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds27.8% · 30.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Breogan   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Breogan wins
3
Forca Lleida wins
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AJoventut Badalona76-70
13/10/24HValencia75-87
29/09/24ABilbao72-90
12/05/24AMurcia61-68
10/05/24HMoraBanc Andorra97-92
05/05/24HTenerife76-54
27/04/24AGranada85-84
20/04/24HGran Canaria70-77 OT
14/04/24ABaskonia74-76
06/04/24HPalencia73-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HManresa83-81
12/10/24AUnicaja63-101
06/10/24HBarcelona74-78
29/09/24ABasket Zaragoza91-101 OT
09/06/24AEstudiantes85-70
08/06/24ASan Pablo Burgos80-77
24/05/24AAlicante73-58
19/05/24HAlicante88-68
17/05/24HAlicante84-73
10/05/24HHestia Menorca105-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.375.074.0
Allowed / game82.387.080.0
Point differential-8.0-12.0-6.0
Avg total156.7162.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.878.577.0
Allowed / game90.279.5101.0
Point differential-12.5-1.0-24.0
Avg total168.0158.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja440100%91.271.8+19.5
2 Valencia43175%83.275.0+8.2
3 Barcelona43175%88.280.8+7.5
4 Tenerife43175%87.281.0+6.2
5 Real Madrid53260%89.278.4+10.8
6 MoraBanc Andorra53260%90.685.8+4.8
7 Gran Canaria53260%76.674.6+2.0
8 Murcia53260%85.483.6+1.8
9 Bilbao42250%80.880.0+0.8
10 Manresa52340%75.676.8-1.2
11 Baskonia52340%87.689.2-1.6
12 Joventut Badalona52340%79.682.2-2.6
13 Leyma Coruna52340%87.690.6-3.0
14 Basket Zaragoza52340%90.497.0-6.6
15 Breogan31233%74.382.3-8.0
16 Forca Lleida41325%77.890.2-12.5
17 Granada51420%72.280.0-7.8
18 Basquet Girona51420%70.285.8-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2220152077
Forca Lleida2916162081
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.