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Breogan vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 69-79
13-24 14-10 27-25 15-20
Position#13
Record13-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#1
Record26-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game78.4
SpainACBRound 31· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Breogan v Real Madrid
12 Dec 2026
BRE v MAD
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BRE85
MAD103
11 May 2025
BRE69
MAD79
11 Feb 2024
BRE73
MAD80
08 Apr 2023
BRE96
MAD72
17 Oct 2021
BRE71
MAD79
16 Dec 2018
BRE84
MAD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
79-102
79
102
-23
75avg 71
A02/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
94-74
94
74
+20
98avg 71
H08/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
106-98
106
98
+8
108avg 71
A16/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
70-86
70
86
-16
53avg 71
H22/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
85avg 71
H30/03
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
81-94
81
94
-13
72avg 71
A05/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 71
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 71
H20/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
50avg 71
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
104-93
104
93
+11
90avg 71
A03/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
11-27
15-24
20-30
18-14
22-17
27-19
27-24
33-23
29-18
29-36
15-21
26-29
11-11
21-23
12-23
34-13
23-21
17-23
14-25
30-23
17-19
15-24
19-28
16-27
19-18
19-18
31-28
24-23
18-19
22-23
26-20
7-20
18-24
20-19
20-19
30-15
29-20
26-26
19-32
174.9Avg total
86.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.286.3166.5-6.143%
Season at home (15)78.980.7159.6-1.753%
Season away (15)81.591.9173.4-10.533%
Last 10 (10)86.288.7174.9-2.550%
Last 5 (5)85.089.0174.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)79.386.0165.3-6.843%
vs Similar (7)83.387.1170.4-3.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 82
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 82
H15/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 82
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-97
98
97
+1
95avg 82
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
67avg 82
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
70avg 82
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 82
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 82
H29/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 82
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 82
H04/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
22-19
21-15
13-19
22-27
14-19
22-16
15-19
33-17
19-16
21-22
20-16
29-29
17-15
30-25
22-28
14-27
15-20
22-17
21-20
25-15
13-23
16-19
17-20
15-21
19-8
27-24
18-18
28-21
10-23
20-12
22-16
21-16
26-26
18-26
19-18
27-20
19-24
28-19
22-26
162.1Avg total
82.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.978.4166.3+9.687%
Season at home (16)89.877.3167.1+12.4100%
Season away (14)85.979.6165.4+6.371%
Last 10 (10)82.579.6162.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)82.079.0161.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)82.883.8166.5-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.476.2161.6+9.2100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
BreoganReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A02/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A16/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H30/03
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A05/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A03/05
ACB
85.0Avg total
44.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.880.6-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.977.1-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)41.442.784.1-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.285.0+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.683.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.740.679.3-2.030%-
vs Similar (7)43.441.685.0+1.943%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H04/05
ACB
81.2Avg total
41.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.579.6+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.884.9+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.536.575.0+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.181.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.480.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)41.141.382.4-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.935.776.6+5.262%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.9
52.6%
54.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.412.4
39.5%
35.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
76.4%14.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.3
59.0%
54.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.9
35.0%
35.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
76.4%12.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLLWLWWL
Real Madrid
WLWWLLWWLW
#13
League position
#1
-3.5
Net rating
+4.9
110.8
Offensive rating
114.1
114.4
Defensive rating
109.2
55.9%
Effective FG%
56.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.5%
3-point %
35.0%
60.8%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 114.1Defence114.4 · 109.2Shooting55.9% · 56.3%3-point %39.5% · 35.0%Ball care18.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Real Madrid v Breogan106-69
11/02/24Breogan v Real Madrid73-80
03/12/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-58
08/04/23Breogan v Real Madrid96-72
22/01/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-73
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
17/10/21Breogan v Real Madrid71-79
27/04/19Real Madrid v Breogan94-89
16/12/18Breogan v Real Madrid84-71
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AManresa104-93
26/04/25HJoventut Badalona65-82
20/04/25HBasket Zaragoza90-85
12/04/25ABasquet Girona85-91
05/04/25AForca Lleida81-94
30/03/25HBaskonia88-82
22/03/25HMurcia70-86
16/03/25ALeyma Coruna106-98
08/03/25HMoraBanc Andorra94-74
02/03/25ABarcelona79-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HValencia96-89
01/05/25HOlympiacos84-86
29/04/25HOlympiacos80-72
27/04/25ABasquet Girona79-71
25/04/25AOlympiacos71-77
23/04/25AOlympiacos72-84
20/04/25HMoraBanc Andorra98-97
18/04/25HBayern93-71
15/04/25HParis73-81
13/04/25ATenerife79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %43%53%33%
Points / game80.278.981.5
Allowed / game86.380.791.9
Point differential-6.1-1.7-10.5
Avg total166.5159.6173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)71% (7)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %87%100%71%
Points / game87.989.885.9
Allowed / game78.477.379.6
Point differential+9.6+12.4+6.3
Avg total166.3167.1165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)100% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3026487%87.978.4+9.6
2 Tenerife3124777%87.282.8+4.4
3 Valencia3122971%96.486.0+10.4
4 Unicaja31211068%89.684.3+5.3
5 Barcelona31191261%92.086.6+5.5
6 Joventut Badalona31181358%85.583.6+1.9
7 Manresa30161453%88.585.7+2.8
8 Gran Canaria30161453%84.284.1+0.1
9 Baskonia31161552%87.587.7-0.3
10 Murcia30141647%81.481.4-0.0
11 Breogan30131743%80.286.3-6.1
12 Basket Zaragoza31121939%88.990.0-1.1
13 Forca Lleida30111937%83.187.4-4.3
14 Bilbao31112035%81.183.2-2.1
15 MoraBanc Andorra31112035%87.291.7-4.5
16 Basquet Girona31112035%81.988.0-6.1
17 Granada3182326%81.587.7-6.3
18 Leyma Coruna3172423%85.694.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1314271569
Real Madrid2410252079
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