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Vigevano vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-85
21-21 23-22 21-24 15-18
Position#20
Record11-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record24-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.6
ItalySerie A2Round 30· Pala Elachem
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vigevano v Forli
21 Oct 2026
VIGE79
FORL74
02 Mar 2025
VIGE76
FORL78
12 May 2024
VIGE69
FORL95
10 May 2024
VIGE76
FORL67
07 Apr 2024
VIGE80
FORL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 72
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
57avg 72
H28/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
67avg 72
A04/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
68-74
68
74
-6
55avg 72
A11/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 72
H18/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 72
A25/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 72
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 72
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 72
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
57-103
57
103
-46
39avg 72
A30/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
24-15
21-21
18-11
16-18
16-22
18-26
17-19
19-16
15-22
24-19
15-33
15-17
17-18
17-15
19-24
21-19
20-14
19-25
16-12
11-21
30-13
23-21
20-20
12-7
24-26
20-26
16-21
20-26
17-18
17-27
18-11
23-22
25-17
20-14
23-17
9-27
8-35
17-19
23-22
153.1Avg total
74.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.481.7159.1-4.238%
Season at home (14)79.681.0160.6-1.450%
Season away (15)75.582.3157.7-6.827%
Last 10 (10)74.079.1153.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)75.282.0157.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.584.5160.0-8.923%
vs Similar (16)79.079.4158.4-0.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 70
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 70
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 70
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
23-26
19-27
21-12
9-20
22-14
19-14
23-13
25-18
21-16
18-16
28-14
24-16
17-22
22-18
20-17
17-20
25-22
19-13
19-14
20-19
17-14
21-15
15-11
22-20
23-15
22-27
14-17
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
148.1Avg total
78.8Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.272.6151.8+6.783%
Season at home (15)80.569.3149.8+11.193%
Season away (14)77.976.0153.9+1.971%
Last 10 (10)78.869.3148.1+9.590%
Last 5 (5)75.670.4146.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)75.874.0149.8+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.372.2154.5+10.193%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
VigevanoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H28/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A04/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H18/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H24/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A30/03
Serie A2
74.7Avg total
35.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.442.181.5-2.841%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.941.882.6-0.957%-
Last 30 away (15)38.042.580.5-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.874.7-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.478.2-6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.542.479.9-4.838%-
vs Similar (16)40.941.982.8-1.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
76.3Avg total
41.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.375.9+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.833.573.3+6.387%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.178.4+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.276.3+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.875.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)36.537.874.3-1.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.634.877.4+7.887%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.7
46.6%
50.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
34.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.610.6
67.9%
74.2%10.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.4
49.5%
50.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.3
35.8%
34.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.313.3
76.9%
74.2%13.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vigevano
LWLLWWLLLW
Forli
WWLWWWWWWW
#20
League position
#2
-7.9
Net rating
+13.4
98.0
Offensive rating
108.1
105.9
Defensive rating
94.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
35.8%
61.2%
Assist %
50.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 108.1Defence105.9 · 94.6Shooting49.8% · 51.2%3-point %36.0% · 35.8%Ball care18.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds24.3% · 27.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Vigevano   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vigevano wins
0
Forli wins
No previous meetings.
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ATrieste57-103
24/03/24HOrzinuovi91-70
10/03/24ARimini72-82
03/03/24HFortitudo Bologna72-80
25/02/24AVerona84-75
18/02/24HChiusi76-70
11/02/24AAssigeco Piacenza68-74
04/02/24ACantu73-90
28/01/24HSebastiani Rieti67-85
21/01/24AAgrigento80-62
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
03/03/24ALuiss Roma81-79
24/02/24HUrania Milano73-59
18/02/24AAgrigento80-69
11/02/24HSebastiani Rieti83-73
04/02/24HTrieste92-64
28/01/24AUdine73-61
21/01/24HChiusi82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vigevano
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game77.479.675.5
Allowed / game81.781.082.3
Point differential-4.2-1.4-6.8
Avg total159.1160.6157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %83%93%71%
Points / game79.280.577.9
Allowed / game72.669.376.0
Point differential+6.7+11.1+1.9
Avg total151.8149.8153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %17%27%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2927293%88.676.3+12.2
2 Forli2924583%79.272.6+6.7
3 Fortitudo Bologna2821775%76.871.3+5.4
4 Udine2921872%78.869.8+9.0
5 Cantu2920969%86.079.9+6.1
6 Basket Torino2920969%84.880.9+3.9
7 Sebastiani Rieti29181162%80.877.7+3.1
8 Verona30181260%76.473.8+2.6
9 Trieste30171357%80.778.1+2.6
10 Rimini29151452%78.376.1+2.2
11 Cividale30151550%76.175.7+0.4
12 Assigeco Piacenza29141548%78.076.1+1.9
13 JuVi Cremona30141647%82.583.9-1.3
14 Urania Milano30141647%82.184.2-2.2
15 Cento28131546%74.777.7-3.0
16 Treviglio29131645%79.079.4-0.4
17 Vigevano29111838%77.481.7-4.2
18 Nardo30111937%74.680.2-5.6
19 Luiss Roma2992031%78.085.2-7.2
20 Orzinuovi3092130%74.778.1-3.4
21 Chiusi2982128%66.773.8-7.1
22 Latina3072323%76.084.3-8.3
23 Monferrato2962321%79.384.9-5.5
24 Agrigento2962321%74.081.3-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vigevano2123211580
Forli2122241885
← all games of the day
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