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Forli vs Vigevano Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#14
Record3-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game81.8
ItalySerie A2Round 30· PalaGalassi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Forli v Vigevano
07 Mar 2027
FORL v VIGE
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
FORL93
VIGE91
07 May 2024
FORL84
VIGE69
05 May 2024
FORL87
VIGE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vigevano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 71
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 71
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 71
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
66avg 71
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 71
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 71
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 71
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
25-11
30-33
13-15
25-12
20-20
20-23
21-17
13-19
19-31
22-26
23-23
23-12
28-24
15-14
19-14
24-19
20-23
9-15
23-29
22-13
21-24
15-21
21-12
24-13
160.0Avg total
80.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.377.6159.9+4.856%
Season at home (5)85.475.4160.8+10.080%
Season away (4)78.580.2158.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)80.679.4160.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.478.4158.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.984.7159.6-9.825%
vs Similar (10)82.980.3163.2+2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.272.8154.0+8.575%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
69-87
69
87
-18
58avg 71
A27/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
64-79
64
79
-15
59avg 71
H04/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 71
A11/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
70-89
70
89
-19
59avg 71
A18/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
79avg 71
H21/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
93-85
93
85
+8
95avg 71
A25/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 71
H01/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
14-24
22-21
16-22
10-29
16-26
23-11
20-21
15-24
17-26
15-16
17-13
27-24
21-21
21-29
19-24
18-21
15-27
20-21
17-20
20-20
23-20
17-21
19-13
17-20
20-17
28-26
28-22
23-22
29-31
8-17
21-17
24-23
18-14
12-22
14-17
22-18
21-20
17-10
15-13
158.5Avg total
76.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.381.8158.1-5.433%
Season at home (4)74.875.2150.0-0.550%
Season away (5)77.687.0164.6-9.420%
Last 10 (10)76.482.1158.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)79.276.6155.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.081.6156.6-6.633%
vs Similar (12)80.083.7163.7-3.742%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
ForliVigevano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/11
Serie A2
83.9Avg total
41.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.883.2-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.285.1-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.581.4-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.583.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.282.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.344.082.3-5.712%-
vs Similar (10)42.144.086.1-1.930%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.535.279.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A27/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H04/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H01/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A08/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H11/11
Serie A2
84.0Avg total
39.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.879.9-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.340.180.4+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)38.041.579.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.584.0-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.084.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.741.579.2-3.828%-
vs Similar (12)41.239.881.0+1.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.9
65.1%
71.0%14.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.0
45.6%
51.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
34.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLWLLWLWWL
Vigevano
WLLWWLLLLL
#9
League position
#14
-1.3
Net rating
-5.2
98.1
Offensive rating
101.5
99.4
Defensive rating
106.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
11.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.0%
3-point %
38.4%
51.0%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 101.5Defence99.4 · 106.8Shooting53.0% · 50.7%3-point %35.0% · 38.4%Ball care13.6% · 11.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Forli   ■ Vigevano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Forli wins
2
Vigevano wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26Vigevano v Forli79-74
02/03/25Vigevano v Forli76-78
22/12/24Forli v Vigevano93-91
12/05/24Vigevano v Forli69-95
10/05/24Vigevano v Forli76-67
07/05/24Forli v Vigevano84-69
05/05/24Forli v Vigevano87-71
07/04/24Vigevano v Forli80-85
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRimini81-70
07/11/26ABrindisi74-80
01/11/26HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
25/10/26HLibertas Livorno87-92
21/10/26AVigevano74-79
18/10/26HSebastiani Rieti93-71
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRuvo Di Puglia75-61
08/11/26ARimini68-76
01/11/26HLibertas Livorno81-87
25/10/26AFortitudo Bologna93-85
21/10/26HForli79-74
18/10/26APistoia70-89
11/10/26ACento88-98
04/10/26HSebastiani Rieti64-79
27/09/26AAvellino Basket69-87
21/05/25ALibertas Livorno77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game82.385.478.5
Allowed / game77.675.480.2
Point differential+4.8+10.0-1.8
Avg total159.9160.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vigevano
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game76.374.877.6
Allowed / game81.875.287.0
Point differential-5.4-0.5-9.4
Avg total158.1150.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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