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Forli vs Vigevano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-91
24-22 14-21 24-25 31-23
Position#6
Record9-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game74.3
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#18
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game82.0
ItalySerie A2Round 17· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Vigevano
07 Mar 2027
FORL v VIGE
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
FORL93
VIGE91
07 May 2024
FORL84
VIGE69
05 May 2024
FORL87
VIGE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
57avg 69
A27/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
67-69
67
69
-2
55avg 69
H02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-67
92
67
+25
93avg 69
A06/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
76avg 69
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 69
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 69
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
82-80
82
80
+2
79avg 69
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 69
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 69
A07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
64avg 69
A14/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
27-20
9-22
17-22
13-18
21-14
20-20
13-17
20-12
24-14
22-20
26-21
23-22
19-15
15-16
18-22
14-27
20-23
13-22
28-12
16-20
21-15
25-21
9-20
32-17
21-20
17-28
12-15
21-24
25-18
19-21
23-19
19-18
30-14
12-19
18-23
18-17
21-17
15-18
13-15
155.6Avg total
78.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.874.3151.1+2.456%
Season at home (7)78.772.0150.7+6.771%
Season away (9)75.276.1151.3-0.944%
Last 10 (10)78.577.1155.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.277.6155.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Similar (18)73.375.9149.2-2.739%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.473.5155.8+8.991%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
66-80
66
80
-14
57avg 70
H03/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
69-96
69
96
-27
57avg 70
A06/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 70
H10/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
88avg 70
A13/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
81avg 70
A17/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
71-78
71
78
-7
61avg 70
H01/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
67-79
67
79
-12
59avg 70
A07/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
58avg 70
H11/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 70
H15/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
18-14
19-22
21-21
26-20
21-21
13-26
6-13
16-24
15-23
18-26
20-23
17-13
25-28
25-17
22-27
18-27
19-27
21-21
33-16
25-15
24-23
15-28
23-27
16-25
20-19
21-14
14-20
16-23
19-17
19-21
13-18
20-22
24-23
11-23
17-19
18-25
25-22
24-25
15-23
163.5Avg total
76.9Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.682.0158.6-5.425%
Season at home (9)75.179.9155.0-4.833%
Season away (7)78.484.7163.1-6.314%
Last 10 (10)76.986.6163.5-9.710%
Last 5 (5)75.886.4162.2-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.283.2157.4-9.019%
vs Similar (9)77.776.4154.1+1.244%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
ForliVigevano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A27/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A06/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/12
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
42.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.976.8+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.435.474.8+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.438.278.6+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.278.7+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.080.8+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.050.084.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (18)38.536.174.6+2.461%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.737.179.8+5.673%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A13/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A17/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H01/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H15/12
Serie A2
81.9Avg total
39.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.579.0-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.279.8+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)36.341.978.1-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.781.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.884.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.342.179.4-4.833%-
vs Similar (9)41.436.778.1+4.878%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.6
47.7%
50.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.7
34.4%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.2
74.2%
74.4%13.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.4
49.3%
50.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
74.4%13.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWWWLLWWLL
Vigevano
LLLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#18
+1.5
Net rating
-13.1
105.1
Offensive rating
105.2
103.6
Defensive rating
118.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
36.4%
64.1%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 105.2Defence103.6 · 118.4Shooting49.4% · 51.5%3-point %34.4% · 36.4%Ball care15.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.6% · 25.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Forli   ■ Vigevano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Forli wins
1
Vigevano wins
DateGameScore
12/05/24Vigevano v Forli69-95
10/05/24Vigevano v Forli76-67
07/05/24Forli v Vigevano84-69
05/05/24Forli v Vigevano87-71
07/04/24Vigevano v Forli80-85
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AFortitudo Bologna71-76 OT
07/12/24AJuVi Cremona79-74
01/12/24HAssigeco Piacenza88-82
23/11/24AUrania Milano82-80
17/11/24HCantu71-76
13/11/24AUdine75-84
10/11/24HOrzinuovi87-82 OT
06/11/24ABasket Torino92-67
02/11/24HLibertas Livorno67-69
27/10/24ARimini73-81
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HBrindisi82-95
11/12/24HRimini72-87
07/12/24ASebastiani Rieti67-79
01/12/24HFortitudo Bologna71-78
17/11/24AUdine87-93
13/11/24AOrzinuovi98-100 OT
10/11/24HCantu89-85
06/11/24AVerona69-96
03/11/24HUrania Milano66-80
25/10/24ACividale68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game76.878.775.2
Allowed / game74.372.076.1
Point differential+2.4+6.7-0.9
Avg total151.1150.7151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %19%29%11%
Vigevano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %25%33%14%
Points / game76.675.178.4
Allowed / game82.079.984.7
Point differential-5.4-4.8-6.3
Avg total158.6155.0163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1614288%83.575.9+7.6
2 Udine1612475%83.374.1+9.2
3 Cantu1612475%79.172.4+6.7
4 Urania Milano1711665%78.473.9+4.4
5 Cividale1711665%79.576.6+2.9
6 Verona169756%77.574.2+3.2
7 Forli169756%76.874.3+2.4
8 Sebastiani Rieti169756%74.173.2+0.9
9 Avellino Basket169756%76.977.1-0.2
10 Orzinuovi179853%79.679.6+0.0
11 Fortitudo Bologna168850%75.674.6+0.9
12 Brindisi167944%77.177.5-0.4
13 Basket Torino167944%75.577.8-2.2
14 Pesaro167944%75.879.6-3.8
15 JuVi Cremona1661038%79.982.3-2.4
16 Libertas Livorno1651131%73.477.0-3.6
17 Cento1651131%70.477.6-7.2
18 Nardo1751229%73.381.2-7.9
19 Vigevano1641225%76.682.0-5.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza1631319%75.480.6-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2414243193
Vigevano2221252391
← all games of the day
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