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Fortitudo Bologna vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#9
Record11-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#14
Record7-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.5
ItalyLega ARound 33
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste
23 Dec 2023
FBO89
TRI75
13 Dec 2021
FBO96
TRI60
10 Jan 2021
FBO69
TRI82
19 Apr 2020
FBO v TRI
upcoming
05 Jun 2017
FBO76
TRI74
03 Jun 2017
FBO76
TRI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A15/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-94
62
94
-32
A25/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H05/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A18/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H26/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H08/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
18-21
15-27
22-19
20-14
20-18
21-22
17-18
11-22
14-23
21-20
16-29
16-16
23-19
18-32
12-22
17-19
19-19
25-19
25-12
18-22
16-19
17-21
26-18
17-21
20-15
14-20
19-24
24-20
20-28
20-13
15-15
15-18
14-21
22-21
15-18
22-18
19-23
28-16
26-35
157.8Avg total
76.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.379.5156.9-2.252%
Season at home (11)83.277.0160.2+6.282%
Season away (10)70.982.3153.2-11.420%
Last 10 (10)76.281.6157.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)77.481.2158.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.282.3157.6-7.144%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.376.4154.7+1.957%
vs Weaker (14)83.980.4164.2+3.564%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
25-27
23-20
16-17
18-12
23-17
8-23
17-21
24-20
20-20
18-22
21-33
26-16
15-23
19-18
12-25
21-19
20-24
14-20
19-20
30-18
17-16
20-18
25-14
12-28
25-20
25-19
22-22
25-19
160.4Avg total
78.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.080.5156.4-4.532%
Season at home (11)78.080.8158.8-2.845%
Season away (11)73.980.1154.0-6.218%
Last 10 (10)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)81.282.8164.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.281.8156.0-7.523%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.483.2164.6-1.838%
vs Weaker (4)88.880.0168.8+8.875%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
Fortitudo BolognaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H26/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/02
Lega A
76.3Avg total
36.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.980.2-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.039.281.2+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)36.742.579.2-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.576.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.078.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.140.879.9-1.756%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.140.477.6-3.329%-
vs Weaker (14)40.641.181.7-0.629%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/03
Lega A
80.1Avg total
38.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.481.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.042.485.4+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.240.376.5-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.980.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.139.574.5-4.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.444.285.5-2.823%-
vs Weaker (4)48.538.587.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.8
51.6%
52.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.5
34.4%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
73.6%15.1
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.5
51.2%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
73.6%11.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
WLWLLWLLWL
Trieste
WLWLLLWWLL
#9
League position
#14
-7.7
Net rating
-3.3
107.0
Offensive rating
108.8
114.7
Defensive rating
112.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.4%
3-point %
31.9%
60.5%
Assist %
50.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 108.8Defence114.7 · 112.2Shooting51.6% · 49.9%3-point %34.4% · 31.9%Ball care21.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.4% · 33.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
4
Trieste wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/20HVirtus Roma95-92
02/02/20ATreviso66-78
26/01/20HVarese79-76
18/01/20AVenezia70-80
11/01/20HPesaro77-80
05/01/20HReggiana86-69
29/12/19ATrieste69-89
25/12/19AVirtus Bologna62-94
22/12/19HBrindisi78-72
15/12/19ASassari80-86
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HPistoia97-80
09/02/20ABrescia74-76
02/02/20HSassari83-82
26/01/20HOlimpia Milano67-85
19/01/20AVarese85-91
12/01/20HVenezia72-81
05/01/20APesaro82-76
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%82%20%
Points / game77.383.270.9
Allowed / game79.577.082.3
Point differential-2.2+6.2-11.4
Avg total156.9160.2153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game76.078.073.9
Allowed / game80.580.880.1
Point differential-4.5-2.8-6.2
Avg total156.4158.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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