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France vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-76
27-24 14-20 19-11 23-21
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game80.3
France 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Spodek
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#21
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-59
75
59
+16
70avg 76
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 76
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 76
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 76
H24/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
92-64
92
64
+28
89avg 76
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
103-95
103
95
+8
95avg 76
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
57avg 76
A31/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
15-20
22-20
25-16
15-14
20-16
22-14
16-17
16-15
18-17
23-16
17-16
20-15
17-16
14-19
24-9
28-14
19-20
21-24
17-12
20-17
17-18
22-16
24-29
18-21
16-11
17-25
25-17
18-10
25-17
27-22
22-15
28-30
19-24
21-16
35-25
22-17
14-19
20-19
13-27
154.3Avg total
81.7Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.080.3168.3+7.767%
Season at home (1)103.095.0198.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)80.573.0153.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)81.772.6154.3+9.190%
Last 5 (5)84.679.0163.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (9)79.978.0157.9+1.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.867.5152.3+17.288%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#31
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-96
71
96
-25
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 73
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 73
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
48-82
48
82
-34
33avg 73
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 73
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 73
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 73
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 73
H31/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
14-15
23-16
22-12
19-16
11-19
19-27
15-21
16-25
22-22
12-22
21-27
18-19
22-19
13-19
25-25
22-25
18-17
22-21
26-23
18-15
14-22
10-25
6-20
19-26
20-19
16-22
19-21
29-25
18-21
33-23
25-26
19-14
18-12
11-25
18-13
19-16
22-16
20-19
23-24
157.9Avg total
75.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Season at home (2)75.069.5144.5+5.5100%
Season away (1)105.095.0200.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.882.1157.9-6.350%
Last 5 (5)75.480.8156.2-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.584.7159.2-10.231%
vs Similar (10)81.774.7156.4+7.080%
vs Weaker (4)75.071.8146.8+3.275%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
FrancePoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#21
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A31/08
EuroBasket
74.2Avg total
39.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.474.5+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.635.675.2+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)38.735.273.9+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.274.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.876.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)39.737.377.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.233.672.9+5.671%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#31
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/08
EuroBasket
76.9Avg total
37.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.475.0-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.236.273.4+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)36.140.476.4-4.319%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.076.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.276.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.238.874.0-3.625%-
vs Similar (10)38.937.176.0+1.850%-
vs Weaker (4)36.540.276.8-3.825%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.2%
52.4%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.0
29.1%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.9
75.6%
73.1%16.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.516.3
53.4%
52.4%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.8
29.7%
33.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
73.1%18.8
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 02 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France
LWWWWWWWWW
Poland
WWWLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#9
+11.6
Net rating
-9.2
108.6
Offensive rating
103.0
97.0
Defensive rating
112.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.3%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.7%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.43
29.1%
3-point %
29.7%
66.9%
Assist %
62.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 103.0Defence97.0 · 112.2Shooting49.1% · 49.3%3-point %29.1% · 29.7%Ball care17.3% · 19.7%Off. rebounds35.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ France   ■ Poland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
France wins
0
Poland wins
DateGameScore
16/09/22Poland v France54-95
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/25AIsrael69-82
30/08/25HSlovenia103-95
28/08/25ABelgium92-64
24/02/25HBosnia & Herzegovina76-74
21/02/25ACroatia83-80
24/11/24HCyprus85-70
21/11/24ACyprus75-59
26/02/24ABosnia & Herzegovina74-64
23/02/24HCroatia73-61
02/09/23AIvory Coast87-77
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/25HIceland84-75
30/08/25HIsrael66-64
28/08/25ASlovenia105-95
24/02/25ANorth Macedonia74-88
21/02/25HLithuania48-82
24/11/24AEstonia88-86
21/11/24HEstonia78-82
26/02/24HNorth Macedonia71-96
22/02/24ALithuania64-83
26/02/23ASwitzerland80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game88.0103.080.5
Allowed / game80.395.073.0
Point differential+7.7+8.0+7.5
Avg total168.3198.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.075.0105.0
Allowed / game78.069.595.0
Point differential+7.0+5.5+10.0
Avg total163.0144.5200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany440100%109.576.0+33.5
2 Turkey440100%91.067.2+23.8
3 Serbia440100%86.068.2+17.8
4 Poland330100%85.078.0+7.0
5 Greece43175%85.567.0+18.5
6 Finland43175%91.278.8+12.5
7 Lithuania43175%89.280.5+8.8
8 Israel43175%80.273.8+6.5
9 Spain32167%82.765.7+17.0
10 Italy32167%80.072.0+8.0
11 France32167%88.080.3+7.7
12 Slovenia42250%90.889.0+1.8
13 Latvia42250%75.877.2-1.5
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.281.2-2.0
15 Georgia42250%72.875.5-2.8
16 Sweden41325%83.086.0-3.0
17 Belgium41325%73.283.5-10.2
18 Estonia41325%71.882.2-10.5
19 Portugal41325%61.875.8-14.0
20 Montenegro41325%73.891.5-17.8
21 Iceland4040%72.281.2-9.0
22 Czech Republic4040%65.881.2-15.5
23 Cyprus4040%60.292.8-32.5
24 Great Britain4040%66.2100.2-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France2714192383
Poland2420112176
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