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Gargzdai vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 103-98
22-25 25-30 25-19 31-24
Position#5
Record14-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game87.1
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Rytas
Lithuania
Position#2
Record20-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Rytas
06 Mar 2027
GAR v RYT
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
GAR v RYT
upcoming
16 May 2026
GAR103
RYT98
10 Jan 2026
GAR82
RYT78
01 Oct 2023
GAR82
RYT98
19 Nov 2022
GAR81
RYT99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
93avg 76
H21/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 76
A29/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
53avg 76
H12/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
70avg 76
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
94avg 76
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 76
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 76
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
97avg 76
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 76
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 76
A10/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-25
24-16
23-17
29-20
12-25
22-24
14-29
18-21
11-22
20-29
15-17
17-14
19-24
19-26
23-17
27-22
13-26
22-23
22-13
31-34
9-21
22-14
15-16
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
174.4Avg total
85.7Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.187.1170.2-3.945%
Season at home (15)83.684.0167.6-0.447%
Season away (16)82.789.9172.6-7.244%
Last 10 (10)85.788.7174.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)89.287.8177.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.085.0163.0-7.042%
vs Similar (9)86.787.3174.0-0.756%
vs Weaker (9)88.189.2177.3-1.144%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
90-107
90
107
-17
85avg 88
A12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
63avg 88
H19/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
98-81
98
81
+17
103avg 88
H22/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
102-80
102
80
+22
110avg 88
H25/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
102-72
102
72
+30
96avg 88
H27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
98-91
98
91
+7
98avg 88
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
71-96
71
96
-25
69avg 88
A03/05
LKL
Tenerife
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 88
H07/05
Champions League
AEK Athens
#1
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
87avg 88
A09/05
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
117-88
117
88
+29
120avg 88
A13/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
24-22
18-23
21-31
21-15
16-27
25-19
8-14
29-13
20-21
25-24
24-23
25-18
23-13
23-18
31-31
22-22
19-18
32-14
29-18
24-24
22-21
20-22
32-24
19-24
14-24
22-26
16-22
18-17
22-17
22-19
25-16
15-25
10-17
20-21
35-17
32-22
27-13
28-33
30-20
177.2Avg total
92.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)92.684.7177.4+7.965%
Season at home (16)94.982.2177.2+12.775%
Season away (15)90.287.4177.6+2.853%
Last 10 (10)92.784.5177.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)93.086.0179.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.791.3170.0-12.70%
vs Similar (8)92.985.5178.4+7.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.585.3179.8+9.379%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
GargzdaiRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H21/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H12/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
LKL
85.1Avg total
40.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.783.1-4.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.841.980.7-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)39.945.385.2-5.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.685.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.688.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.341.980.2-3.642%-
vs Similar (9)38.945.684.4-6.733%-
vs Weaker (9)41.344.385.7-3.044%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H22/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H25/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A03/05
LKL
Tenerife
#12
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H07/05
Champions League
AEK Athens
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A09/05
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A13/05
LKL
83.3Avg total
42.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.187.5+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.440.085.4+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)43.246.689.9-3.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.483.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.754.089.7-18.30%-
vs Similar (8)44.541.085.5+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.742.388.0+3.563%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.6
52.4%
55.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.2
35.0%
35.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.9
75.7%
74.3%15.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.923.2
62.9%
55.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.1
34.2%
35.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
74.3%16.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WWLWLWLLLW
Rytas
WWWLWWWWLL
#5
League position
#2
-3.1
Net rating
+9.3
95.6
Offensive rating
104.9
98.8
Defensive rating
95.6
52.5%
Effective FG%
57.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
34.2%
56.5%
Assist %
74.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 104.9Defence98.8 · 95.6Shooting52.5% · 57.8%3-point %35.0% · 34.2%Ball care15.1% · 14.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gargzdai wins
7
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Rytas v Gargzdai98-77
10/01/26Gargzdai v Rytas82-78
24/09/25Rytas v Gargzdai99-73
16/12/23Rytas v Gargzdai110-79
01/10/23Gargzdai v Rytas82-98
06/05/23Rytas v Gargzdai91-65
11/02/23Rytas v Gargzdai102-72
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26ANeptunas97-91
06/05/26ALietkabelis78-69
02/05/26HJonava104-109 OT
26/04/26ANevezis90-85
22/04/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-85
18/04/26AJuventus103-98 OT
15/04/26HSiauliai78-81
12/04/26HLietkabelis64-89
29/03/26ARytas77-98
21/03/26HJuventus89-82
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26ANevezis117-88
09/05/26AAEK Athens92-86 OT
07/05/26HTenerife87-69
03/05/26ALietkabelis71-96
29/04/26ANeptunas98-91
27/04/26HSiauliai102-72
25/04/26HJuventus102-80
22/04/26HJonava98-81
19/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas70-75
12/04/26ASiauliai90-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%47%44%
Points / game83.183.682.7
Allowed / game87.184.089.9
Point differential-3.9-0.4-7.2
Avg total170.2167.6172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Rytas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%75%53%
Points / game92.694.990.2
Allowed / game84.782.287.4
Point differential+7.9+12.7+2.8
Avg total177.4177.2177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3130197%91.076.7+14.4
2 Rytas31201165%92.684.7+7.9
3 Siauliai32171553%85.387.6-2.3
4 Neptunas31161552%92.790.3+2.4
5 Lietkabelis32151747%83.480.8+2.6
6 Gargzdai31141745%83.187.1-3.9
7 Juventus32122038%87.490.5-3.1
8 Jonava3192229%85.293.7-8.5
9 Nevezis3182326%83.092.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai22252531103
Rytas2530192498
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