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Gargzdai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 74-84
22-19 18-24 10-19 24-22
Position#5
Record15-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#3
Record18-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game89.8
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2025-26Neutral venue
Meetings · Gargzdai v Neptunas
06 Feb 2027
GAR v NEP
upcoming
26 Sep 2026
GAR87
NEP78
23 May 2026
GAR74
NEP84
14 Mar 2026
GAR81
NEP70
13 Dec 2025
GAR87
NEP104
06 Nov 2023
GAR73
NEP92
25 Oct 2023
GAR87
NEP97
13 Mar 2023
GAR54
NEP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
53avg 77
H12/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
70avg 77
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
94avg 77
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 77
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 77
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
97avg 77
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 77
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 77
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 77
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 77
A21/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
11-22
20-29
15-17
17-14
19-24
19-26
23-17
27-22
13-26
22-23
22-13
31-34
9-21
22-14
15-16
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
177.2Avg total
86.7Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.487.8171.2-4.445%
Season at home (16)84.884.9169.7-0.150%
Season away (17)82.190.5172.6-8.441%
Last 10 (10)86.790.5177.2-3.850%
Last 5 (5)91.093.4184.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.487.0166.4-7.643%
vs Similar (9)86.787.3174.0-0.756%
vs Weaker (7)88.988.7177.6+0.157%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 84
H11/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
98-83
98
83
+15
102avg 84
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
110-82
110
82
+28
108avg 84
A23/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
73avg 84
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-98
91
98
-7
90avg 84
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
91-102
91
102
-11
81avg 84
A02/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
91-97
91
97
-6
83avg 84
H10/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
84avg 84
H13/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
90avg 84
H17/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
100-73
100
73
+27
98avg 84
H21/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
19-29
23-19
17-25
23-23
27-17
25-24
23-19
31-22
39-15
18-24
22-21
19-16
19-23
23-15
19-29
24-24
21-22
22-20
24-32
20-20
23-27
18-30
30-25
30-30
18-25
21-24
22-18
22-27
28-27
19-28
21-11
24-27
29-17
25-18
17-27
22-25
32-18
22-14
24-16
182.7Avg total
93.4Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)93.089.8182.8+3.255%
Season at home (17)95.688.5184.1+7.165%
Season away (16)90.291.1181.4-0.944%
Last 10 (10)93.489.3182.7+4.140%
Last 5 (5)93.490.8184.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.299.0182.2-15.812%
vs Similar (9)89.087.7176.7+1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.586.7179.2+5.862%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
GargzdaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H12/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/05
LKL
87.3Avg total
41.2Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.383.6-4.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.142.581.6-3.436%-
Last 30 away (16)39.645.885.4-6.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.246.187.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.648.292.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.343.783.0-4.436%-
vs Similar (9)38.945.684.4-6.733%-
vs Weaker (7)40.143.783.9-3.643%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H11/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
70-37
70
37
+33
A23/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A02/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H10/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H13/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H17/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H21/05
LKL
95.3Avg total
49.9Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.546.092.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.346.694.9+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)44.145.189.2-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)49.945.495.3+4.540%-
Last 5 (5)49.648.698.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.252.995.1-10.60%-
vs Similar (9)44.443.487.9+1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.543.593.9+7.069%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.9
51.4%
55.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.2
35.3%
35.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.518.3
77.9%
74.3%18.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.321.2
60.1%
55.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.5
37.8%
35.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.119.3
76.9%
74.3%19.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWWWLWLWLL
Neptunas
WWLLLLLWWL
#5
League position
#3
-4.0
Net rating
+4.9
96.7
Offensive rating
107.1
100.7
Defensive rating
102.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
58.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
35.3%
3-point %
37.8%
58.1%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 107.1Defence100.7 · 102.1Shooting52.0% · 58.6%3-point %35.3% · 37.8%Ball care14.5% · 13.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
8
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
21/05/26Neptunas v Gargzdai100-73
10/05/26Neptunas v Gargzdai91-97
14/03/26Gargzdai v Neptunas81-70
13/12/25Gargzdai v Neptunas87-104
11/10/25Neptunas v Gargzdai102-74
14/01/24Neptunas v Gargzdai100-81
16/11/23Neptunas v Gargzdai84-78
06/11/23Gargzdai v Neptunas73-92
25/10/23Gargzdai v Neptunas87-97
29/04/23Neptunas v Gargzdai91-86
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/26ANeptunas73-100
16/05/26HRytas103-98
10/05/26ANeptunas97-91
06/05/26ALietkabelis78-69
02/05/26HJonava104-109 OT
26/04/26ANevezis90-85
22/04/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-85
18/04/26AJuventus103-98 OT
15/04/26HSiauliai78-81
12/04/26HLietkabelis64-89
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/26HGargzdai100-73
17/05/26HJonava95-89
13/05/26HZalgiris Kaunas90-93
10/05/26HGargzdai91-97
02/05/26AJuventus91-102
29/04/26HRytas91-98
26/04/26ALietkabelis80-83
23/04/26ANevezis110-82
19/04/26HSiauliai98-83
11/04/26HNevezis88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL45%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%50%41%
Points / game83.484.882.1
Allowed / game87.884.990.5
Point differential-4.4-0.1-8.4
Avg total171.2169.7172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeLLLWW65%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%65%44%
Points / game93.095.690.2
Allowed / game89.888.591.1
Point differential+3.2+7.1-0.9
Avg total182.8184.1181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3433197%91.576.9+14.6
2 Rytas34201459%92.686.0+6.6
3 Neptunas33181555%93.089.8+3.2
4 Lietkabelis34171750%83.780.8+2.9
5 Siauliai34171750%85.087.6-2.6
6 Gargzdai33151845%83.487.8-4.4
7 Juventus34142041%87.990.4-2.5
8 Jonava3492526%84.993.9-8.9
9 Nevezis3282425%82.992.5-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2218102474
Neptunas1924192284
← all games of the day
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