PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lietkabelis vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 69-78
16-22 15-17 14-25 24-14
Position#6
Record15-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#5
Record12-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game87.6
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Gargzdai
13 Feb 2027
LIE v GAR
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
LIE v GAR
upcoming
06 May 2026
LIE69
GAR78
01 Feb 2026
LIE70
GAR79
07 Oct 2023
LIE84
GAR66
04 Mar 2023
LIE82
GAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A22/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
A28/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-94
82
94
-12
H04/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
89-64
89
64
+25
A12/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
105-72
105
72
+33
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H21/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A29/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H03/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
27-23
23-12
20-19
28-23
12-22
23-22
18-29
18-30
20-19
24-22
23-14
18-24
22-24
29-27
13-19
21-18
22-11
29-20
17-15
32-20
21-13
26-18
26-21
21-21
22-16
21-15
27-17
16-19
23-19
15-23
29-19
15-18
8-26
27-9
17-16
24-19
24-14
26-22
22-16
166.3Avg total
87.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.081.2166.2+3.852%
Season at home (15)87.580.1167.7+7.460%
Season away (14)82.382.3164.6+0.043%
Last 10 (10)87.279.1166.3+8.160%
Last 5 (5)88.472.2160.6+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.786.6169.2-3.922%
vs Similar (9)81.181.9163.0-0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.874.1158.8+10.767%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H07/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H14/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H21/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A29/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H12/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
H02/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
19-17
22-23
24-11
22-18
11-22
24-21
24-9
21-24
21-25
24-16
23-17
29-20
12-25
22-24
14-29
18-21
11-22
20-29
15-17
17-14
19-24
19-26
23-17
27-22
13-26
22-23
22-13
31-34
9-21
22-14
15-16
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
172.9Avg total
85.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.887.6170.4-4.741%
Season at home (15)83.684.0167.6-0.447%
Season away (14)82.091.4173.4-9.436%
Last 10 (10)85.187.8172.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)90.491.6182.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.886.3162.1-10.527%
vs Similar (10)87.186.0173.1+1.160%
vs Weaker (9)88.189.2177.3-1.144%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.1+4.1
LietkabelisGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A28/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H04/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A12/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H21/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A29/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H03/05
LKL
82.0Avg total
41.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.180.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.180.5+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)39.241.080.2-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.078.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.243.284.4-2.033%-
vs Similar (9)38.040.878.8-2.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.237.278.5+4.067%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/03
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H21/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H12/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A18/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H02/05
LKL
84.0Avg total
38.6Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.782.7-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.141.680.7-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)38.946.185.1-7.236%-
Last 10 (10)38.645.484.0-6.810%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.085.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.342.678.9-6.427%-
vs Similar (10)39.944.484.3-4.540%-
vs Weaker (9)41.344.385.7-3.044%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.6
51.4%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.3
40.5%
35.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.3
73.5%
74.3%13.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.4
51.0%
55.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
35.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.216.6
74.8%
74.3%16.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWWWWLLLW
Gargzdai
LWLWLLLWWW
#6
League position
#5
+8.9
Net rating
-3.0
102.5
Offensive rating
94.1
93.6
Defensive rating
97.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.5%
3-point %
34.8%
60.5%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 94.1Defence93.6 · 97.1Shooting55.4% · 51.4%3-point %40.5% · 34.8%Ball care13.8% · 15.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Gargzdai v Lietkabelis64-89
01/02/26Lietkabelis v Gargzdai70-79
08/11/25Gargzdai v Lietkabelis80-89
07/10/23Lietkabelis v Gargzdai84-66
02/05/23Gargzdai v Lietkabelis65-86
04/03/23Lietkabelis v Gargzdai82-73
02/10/22Gargzdai v Lietkabelis71-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HRytas96-71
29/04/26AJonava67-69
26/04/26HNeptunas83-80
21/04/26HJuventus91-69
15/04/26HNevezis105-72
12/04/26AGargzdai89-64
04/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-94
28/03/26ANeptunas87-96 OT
22/03/26ARytas81-96
15/03/26HJonava91-80
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HJonava104-109 OT
26/04/26ANevezis90-85
22/04/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-85
18/04/26AJuventus103-98 OT
15/04/26HSiauliai78-81
12/04/26HLietkabelis64-89
29/03/26ARytas77-98
21/03/26HJuventus89-82
14/03/26HNeptunas81-70
07/03/26HNevezis88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%60%43%
Points / game85.087.582.3
Allowed / game81.280.182.3
Point differential+3.8+7.4+0.0
Avg total166.2167.7164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%47%36%
Points / game82.883.682.0
Allowed / game87.684.091.4
Point differential-4.7-0.4-9.4
Avg total170.4167.6173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2827196%90.575.9+14.6
2 Rytas30191163%91.884.6+7.2
3 Neptunas29161355%92.990.0+2.9
4 Siauliai29161355%86.688.4-1.9
5 Lietkabelis29151452%85.081.2+3.8
6 Gargzdai29121741%82.887.6-4.7
7 Juventus2891932%86.690.0-3.5
8 Nevezis2982128%82.491.3-8.9
9 Jonava2982128%85.094.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1615142469
Gargzdai2217251478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.