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Gargzdai vs Juventus Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 15 May 2027
Tip-off: 13:50
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record3-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game88.3
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Juventus
15 May 2027
GAR v JUV
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
GAR v JUV
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
GAR89
JUV82
18 Oct 2025
GAR91
JUV74
01 Oct 2025
GAR68
JUV72
19 Nov 2023
GAR74
JUV97
09 Nov 2023
GAR66
JUV75
16 Apr 2023
GAR77
JUV76
04 Dec 2022
GAR68
JUV85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 82
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 82
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 82
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 82
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 82
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 82
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 82
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
174.7Avg total
89.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.387.3175.6+1.060%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (6)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.887.8168.5-7.042%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.286.8176.0+2.467%
vs Weaker (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
86avg 76
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
66-105
66
105
-39
51avg 76
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 76
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
100avg 76
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#32
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 76
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 76
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
74avg 76
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
23-16
26-17
26-24
8-20
21-24
19-34
18-27
25-23
28-18
15-21
3-21
31-25
26-26
20-19
23-20
22-25
25-25
14-20
15-5
25-30
17-21
10-20
24-23
27-16
15-29
25-24
15-25
21-21
19-25
35-23
14-20
17-21
25-27
20-12
23-34
23-28
23-18
21-27
21-18
173.3Avg total
83.5Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.588.3173.8-2.830%
Season at home (5)89.686.4176.0+3.260%
Season away (5)81.490.2171.6-8.80%
Last 10 (10)83.589.8173.3-6.340%
Last 5 (5)85.893.6179.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)84.194.1178.2-9.941%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.389.7178.0-1.344%
vs Weaker (4)93.888.2182.0+5.575%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
GargzdaiJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.990.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.144.985.0-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.245.185.3-4.922%-
vs Weaker (9)42.644.386.9-1.844%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#32
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H08/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/11
LKL
89.7Avg total
43.9Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.844.488.2-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.444.288.6+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)43.244.687.9-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.889.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.289.6-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.846.789.5-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.141.987.0+3.267%-
vs Weaker (4)45.040.585.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
70.8%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLWWLWWWW
Juventus
LLWLLWWLLW
#3
League position
#7
+3.6
Net rating
-6.3
99.4
Offensive rating
96.0
95.8
Defensive rating
102.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
34.6%
60.8%
Assist %
50.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 96.0Defence95.8 · 102.3Shooting54.5% · 52.6%3-point %34.6% · 34.6%Ball care13.1% · 15.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gargzdai wins
7
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Juventus v Gargzdai100-90
18/04/26Juventus v Gargzdai98-103 OT
21/03/26Gargzdai v Juventus89-82
27/12/25Juventus v Gargzdai104-78
12/11/25Juventus v Gargzdai90-73
18/10/25Gargzdai v Juventus91-74
01/10/25Gargzdai v Juventus68-72
19/11/23Gargzdai v Juventus74-97
09/11/23Gargzdai v Juventus66-75
12/10/23Juventus v Gargzdai84-61
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASiauliai82-97
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANevezis88-91
08/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas85-94
03/11/26HPardubice98-95 OT
31/10/26AJonava82-94
25/10/26HRytas76-94
21/10/26AReggiana76-75
18/10/26HGargzdai100-90
11/10/26ASiauliai71-83
07/10/26HUnicaja66-105
04/10/26HTaurage93-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.384.291.0
Allowed / game87.383.889.7
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.3
Avg total175.6168.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%60%0%
Points / game85.589.681.4
Allowed / game88.386.490.2
Point differential-2.8+3.2-8.8
Avg total173.8176.0171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas96367%90.384.7+5.7
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
8 Jonava103730%78.583.4-4.9
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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