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Juventus vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 84-61
17-11 24-22 17-9 26-19
Position#5
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Utenos arena (Utena)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Juventus v Gargzdai
27 Mar 2027
JUV v GAR
upcoming
18 Oct 2026
JUV100
GAR90
18 Apr 2026
JUV98
GAR103
27 Dec 2025
JUV104
GAR78
12 Nov 2025
JUV90
GAR73
30 Jan 2024
JUV v GAR
upcoming
12 Oct 2023
JUV84
GAR61
06 Feb 2023
JUV92
GAR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 82
H02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A05/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
68avg 82
A12/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 82
H15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
99-101
99
101
-2
100avg 82
A18/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 82
H18/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 82
H28/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H02/10
LKL
Lublin
#11
W
103-73
103
73
+30
104avg 82
A04/10
ENBL
Nevezis
#9
W
91-64
91
64
+27
96avg 82
A09/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
25-18
22-21
25-25
13-30
22-19
27-26
16-17
18-18
27-18
16-33
12-16
17-17
24-17
23-28
22-15
21-23
25-29
31-27
22-22
26-13
17-22
13-27
25-12
17-15
19-26
14-25
19-13
30-24
20-27
24-22
21-22
28-20
25-23
23-20
27-10
23-17
20-19
29-16
19-12
170.7Avg total
87.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.783.0170.7+4.760%
Last 5 (5)91.278.4169.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.790.6170.2-10.911%
vs Similar (12)89.990.2180.2-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.980.9171.8+10.078%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
60avg 67
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 67
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 67
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 67
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
58avg 67
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-107
55
107
-52
42avg 67
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-104
68
104
-36
56avg 67
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 67
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
51avg 67
A07/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
16-10
19-18
15-25
15-19
13-9
20-17
8-15
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
19-23
15-21
21-20
10-27
16-34
7-21
14-25
18-27
18-20
14-24
19-29
17-31
23-23
17-26
22-25
20-24
16-25
18-20
20-15
12-24
156.3Avg total
68.6Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.687.7156.3-19.10%
Last 5 (5)67.296.8164.0-29.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.988.0161.9-14.012%
vs Similar (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -8.9-8.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -8.9-8.9
JuventusGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A05/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H18/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H02/10
LKL
Lublin
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A04/10
ENBL
Nevezis
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/10
LKL
84.4Avg total
43.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.185.2+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.838.781.5+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)43.445.188.5-1.856%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.484.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.286.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.945.685.4-5.733%-
vs Similar (12)42.841.784.4+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.839.386.1+7.489%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-55
23
55
-32
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A07/10
LKL
76.2Avg total
33.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.843.180.0-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.341.675.9-7.429%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.483.5-5.419%-
Last 10 (10)33.542.776.2-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.647.480.0-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.343.680.0-7.320%-
vs Similar (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.7
60.4%
56.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.3
35.2%
34.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.9
72.6%
74.5%15.9
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.2
47.1%
56.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.2
30.9%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
74.5%11.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WWWLWLWLLW
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#9
+5.6
Net rating
-27.5
110.3
Offensive rating
93.3
104.6
Defensive rating
120.8
57.4%
Effective FG%
46.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
21.6%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.2%
3-point %
30.9%
59.7%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 93.3Defence104.6 · 120.8Shooting57.4% · 46.8%3-point %35.2% · 30.9%Ball care20.3% · 21.6%Off. rebounds26.2% · 28.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Juventus   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Juventus wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Gargzdai v Juventus77-76
06/02/23Juventus v Gargzdai92-90
04/12/22Gargzdai v Juventus68-85
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23ANevezis91-64
04/10/23ALublin103-73
02/10/23HNeptunas112-102 OT
28/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-79
18/09/23HMazeikiai81-74
18/05/23ALietkabelis99-101
15/05/23HLietkabelis86-77
12/05/23ALietkabelis73-85
05/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas78-92
02/05/23HNeptunas85-83
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ALietkabelis66-84
01/10/23HRytas82-98
23/09/23ABC Wolves68-104
17/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas55-107
06/05/23ARytas65-91
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
24/04/23HSiauliai56-60
18/04/23AJonava65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai110100%88.075.0+13.0
2 Neptunas110100%87.086.0+1.0
3 Mazeikiai1010%86.087.0-1.0
4 BC Olimpas Palanga1010%75.088.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1724172684
Gargzdai112291961
← all games of the day
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