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Geelong vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 88-76
24-24 22-14 16-11 26-27
Position#17
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game86.7
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#14
Record1-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game96.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Geelong v Dandenong
10 May 2025
GEEL88
DAND76
06 Jul 2024
GEEL78
DAND65
17 Jun 2023
GEEL89
DAND73
27 Jul 2019
GEEL85
DAND79
25 May 2019
GEEL74
DAND69
07 Apr 2017
GEEL62
DAND75
18 Jun 2016
GEEL85
DAND94
29 Aug 2015
GEEL97
DAND80
25 Jul 2015
GEEL78
DAND80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A13/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
58-108
58
108
-50
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A25/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A26/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
36-23
16-19
19-18
23-21
14-15
25-13
21-23
19-11
12-23
19-32
31-20
12-32
19-26
11-23
16-27
24-21
21-23
25-17
28-11
18-22
18-25
32-28
20-21
19-23
22-20
21-26
27-22
17-16
22-23
20-23
27-20
11-15
23-28
21-15
23-15
20-25
11-12
20-21
22-27
167.5Avg total
83.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.486.7168.1-5.343%
Season at home (3)81.790.3172.0-8.733%
Season away (4)81.284.0165.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)83.683.9167.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)82.885.4168.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.285.9163.1-8.838%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.680.9165.5+3.770%
vs Weaker (7)82.183.0165.1-0.943%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H14/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H20/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A27/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A29/03
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
100-105
100
105
-5
H30/03
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
72-94
72
94
-22
H05/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
111-103
111
103
+8
H11/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A13/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
26-18
13-23
17-14
28-34
26-11
22-31
22-15
23-22
17-17
12-23
26-29
16-23
24-26
17-16
23-22
28-19
19-29
29-23
24-34
30-25
7-18
21-31
14-20
22-24
31-26
30-25
28-28
15-16
24-20
21-19
21-34
17-31
20-25
15-22
34-19
23-20
20-31
25-28
21-21
180.8Avg total
87.6Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.496.4184.9-8.014%
Season at home (3)94.3100.7195.0-6.333%
Season away (4)84.093.2177.2-9.20%
Last 10 (10)87.693.2180.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)87.896.6184.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.690.5172.2-8.927%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.486.0167.4-4.638%
vs Weaker (11)90.983.3174.2+7.673%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
GeelongDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H12/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/05
NBL1 South
81.0Avg total
39.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.142.880.8-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.843.183.9-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)35.742.478.1-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.881.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.878.0-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.543.579.0-8.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.541.182.6+0.440%-
vs Weaker (7)38.043.781.7-5.729%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H14/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H20/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A27/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/03
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H30/03
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H11/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A13/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/05
NBL1 South
89.6Avg total
44.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.586.2-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.887.6+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.184.8-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)44.145.589.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.289.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.746.488.1-4.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.842.881.5-4.038%-
vs Weaker (11)46.641.187.7+5.564%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Geelong wins
4
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
06/07/24Geelong v Dandenong78-65
27/04/24Dandenong v Geelong78-74
17/06/23Geelong v Dandenong89-73
16/07/22Dandenong v Geelong96-100
27/07/19Geelong v Dandenong85-79
25/05/19Geelong v Dandenong74-69
07/04/17Geelong v Dandenong62-75
18/06/16Geelong v Dandenong85-94
30/04/16Dandenong v Geelong87-85
29/08/15Geelong v Dandenong97-80
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ASandringham Sabres73-85
26/04/25AHobart Chargers78-73
25/04/25ANW Tasmania86-82
12/04/25HBendigo Braves89-91
11/04/25AWaverley88-96
05/04/25HBallarat98-72
29/03/25HMt Gambier58-108
20/07/24AEltham81-86
13/07/24ADiamond Valley83-72
12/07/24HWaverley102-74
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ABendigo Braves89-100
24/04/25AFrankston86-97
13/04/25AMelbourne Tigers81-89
11/04/25HKeilor Thunder111-103
05/04/25HEltham72-94
30/03/25HDiamond Valley100-105
29/03/25ACasey Cavaliers80-87
27/07/24ABallarat78-91
20/07/24HKnox98-91
14/07/24HNW Tasmania81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game81.481.781.2
Allowed / game86.790.384.0
Point differential-5.3-8.7-2.8
Avg total168.1172.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game88.494.384.0
Allowed / game96.4100.793.2
Point differential-8.0-6.3-9.2
Avg total184.9195.0177.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox76186%93.078.3+14.7
2 Casey Cavaliers75271%85.478.9+6.6
3 Frankston75271%94.087.6+6.4
4 Ballarat75271%86.987.4-0.6
5 Mt Gambier85362%94.983.1+11.8
6 Bendigo Braves85362%88.991.2-2.4
7 Eltham74357%90.484.9+5.6
8 Melbourne Tigers63350%84.276.8+7.3
9 Kilsyth84450%80.883.0-2.2
10 Nunawading84450%86.489.6-3.2
11 Hobart Chargers94544%83.784.4-0.8
12 Ringwood73443%92.085.9+6.1
13 Geelong73443%81.486.7-5.3
14 Waverley73443%89.694.9-5.3
15 NW Tasmania83538%87.484.2+3.1
16 Diamond Valley83538%84.193.2-9.1
17 Keilor Thunder83538%84.694.6-10.0
18 Sandringham Sabres82625%80.590.8-10.2
19 Dandenong71614%88.496.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong2422162688
Dandenong2414112776
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