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Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#312
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#206
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game60.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Georgia Southern v Appalachian State
23 Jan 2027
GEOR v APPA
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
GEOR65
APPA81
25 Feb 2025
GEOR61
APPA59
03 Feb 2024
GEOR84
APPA85
24 Feb 2023
GEOR73
APPA64
22 Jan 2022
GEOR62
APPA70
27 Feb 2021
GEOR65
APPA57
26 Feb 2021
GEOR78
APPA84
15 Feb 2020
GEOR57
APPA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia Southern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A07/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
96-72
96
72
+24
A08/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A09/03
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H03/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#65
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A07/11
NCAA
Mercer
#263
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
H11/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
49-47
42-34
38-43
40-43
54-42
45-42
51-30
42-35
40-43
25-38
36-39
37-22
30-33
45-51
38-44
46-39
32-39
27-36
43-48
161.6Avg total
81.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.882.8160.5-5.025%
Season at home (2)79.076.0155.0+3.050%
Season away (2)76.589.5166.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.280.4161.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)74.481.6156.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.483.9156.2-11.512%
vs Similar (16)84.981.8166.7+3.269%
vs Weaker (6)80.770.2150.8+10.567%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A12/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
93-94
93
94
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#236
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/11
NCAA
Christendom
#529
W
108-43
108
43
+65
H05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#155
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A10/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#227
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-27
50-38
24-29
34-40
52-41
41-53
40-33
49-41
33-34
24-26
28-44
45-42
21-43
28-20
51-15
57-28
36-38
17-37
28-25
38-35
141.6Avg total
72.7Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.060.2129.2+8.850%
Season at home (1)108.043.0151.0+65.0100%
Season away (3)56.066.0122.0-10.033%
Last 10 (10)72.768.9141.6+3.840%
Last 5 (5)69.865.4135.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.576.5146.0-7.050%
vs Similar (6)71.569.7141.2+1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)69.964.0133.9+5.962%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +2.3+2.3
Georgia SouthernAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H03/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#65
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A07/11
NCAA
Mercer
#263
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A14/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
38.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.375.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.136.576.6+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)37.237.975.1-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.776.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.039.573.5-5.512%-
vs Similar (16)40.637.277.8+3.462%-
vs Weaker (6)38.534.873.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A12/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H07/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#236
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A02/11
NCAA
Christendom
#529
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#155
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#227
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A14/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.529.962.4+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.030.665.6+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)30.029.159.1+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.967.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.065.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.035.570.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (6)35.232.067.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)30.629.460.0+1.257%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUCF Knights70-84
11/11/26HMercer91-97 OT
07/11/26AGeorgia Tech83-95
03/11/26HBall State67-55
09/03/26ATroy61-77
09/03/26AMarshall82-78
08/03/26ACoastal Carolina96-72
07/03/26ASouth Alabama94-85
06/03/26AArkansas State80-77
05/03/26HOld Dominion88-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACharlotte66-60
10/11/26AAuburn53-75
05/11/26HChristendom108-43
02/11/26AMerrimack Warriors49-63
07/03/26HSouthern Miss73-86
28/02/26ATexas State57-60
21/02/26HGeorgia Southern89-74
19/02/26HMarshall93-94
14/02/26AJames Madison58-69
12/02/26AGeorgia Southern81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia Southern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.879.076.5
Allowed / game82.876.089.5
Point differential-5.0+3.0-13.0
Avg total160.5155.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game69.0108.056.0
Allowed / game60.243.066.0
Point differential+8.8+65.0-10.0
Avg total129.2151.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
8 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
9 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
10 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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