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Germany vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 98-86
30-26 31-21 20-26 17-13
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game73.4
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record5-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEuroBasketEuroBasket - Semi-finals· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Germany v Finland
12 Sep 2025
GERM98
FINL86
29 Aug 2023
GERM101
FINL75
11 Nov 2022
GERM94
FINL80
19 Aug 2016
GERM75
FINL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
88avg 88
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
60avg 88
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 88
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
106-76
106
76
+30
101avg 88
A27/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 88
H29/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
107-88
107
88
+19
101avg 88
A30/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
120-57
120
57
+63
128avg 88
H01/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
91-61
91
61
+30
87avg 88
A03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
85-58
85
58
+27
76avg 88
H06/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
99-91
99
91
+8
92avg 88
H10/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
34-14
13-22
19-28
17-25
11-10
21-16
24-20
15-18
17-20
23-32
26-21
24-20
22-23
33-12
27-21
27-17
32-25
25-24
21-17
32-20
23-27
28-25
24-16
32-19
26-12
30-9
32-17
21-19
29-17
19-13
22-12
17-12
14-20
21-19
33-7
21-32
24-19
25-23
29-17
172.2Avg total
96.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)101.973.4175.3+28.4100%
Season at home (4)102.272.2174.5+30.0100%
Season away (3)101.375.0176.3+26.3100%
Last 10 (10)96.176.1172.2+20.090%
Last 5 (5)100.471.0171.4+29.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.585.0167.5-2.550%
vs Similar (2)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.273.6165.8+18.683%
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Georgia
#21
L
64-81
64
81
-17
62avg 85
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 85
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
83-77
83
77
+6
75avg 85
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
93-90
93
90
+3
92avg 85
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 85
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 85
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 85
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 85
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 85
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 85
H10/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
19-21
13-17
11-26
26-24
31-27
14-28
24-26
24-25
17-22
18-23
24-7
26-21
23-27
23-24
21-18
30-21
28-21
23-14
28-23
23-23
24-14
20-15
18-13
21-20
15-25
12-12
30-24
19-21
17-29
13-19
12-22
28-24
16-24
24-18
24-20
28-15
29-25
14-22
22-17
168.7Avg total
85.3Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.381.6168.9+5.771%
Season at home (4)85.282.5167.8+2.850%
Season away (3)90.080.3170.3+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.383.4168.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)81.880.4162.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.390.9169.1-12.621%
vs Similar (8)90.482.5172.9+7.962%
vs Weaker (8)91.675.9167.5+15.8100%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +8.1+8.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +8.1+8.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
GermanyFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Montenegro
#19
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H29/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A30/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H01/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H06/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H10/09
EuroBasket
85.6Avg total
46.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.337.181.4+7.373%-
Last 30 at home (20)44.435.579.8+8.975%-
Last 30 away (10)44.340.284.5+4.170%-
Last 10 (10)46.639.085.6+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.487.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (2)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.336.281.5+9.179%-
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#21
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H10/09
EuroBasket
91.1Avg total
46.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.187.4+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.089.1+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.185.7-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.691.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.088.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.947.088.9-5.129%-
vs Similar (8)43.539.282.8+4.262%-
vs Weaker (8)49.540.089.5+9.588%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.621.2
61.3%
52.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.0
36.5%
33.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.5
79.9%
73.1%17.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.9
51.6%
52.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.6
35.6%
33.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws15.411.7
76.0%
73.1%11.7
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany
WWWWWWWLWW
Finland
WWLLWWWWLL
#1
League position
#10
+28.1
Net rating
+2.5
128.4
Offensive rating
112.6
100.3
Defensive rating
110.1
58.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.5%
3-point %
35.6%
57.2%
Assist %
77.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence128.4 · 112.6Defence100.3 · 110.1Shooting58.1% · 52.5%3-point %36.5% · 35.6%Ball care14.2% · 16.8%Off. rebounds38.6% · 34.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Germany   ■ Finland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Germany wins
0
Finland wins
DateGameScore
03/09/25Finland v Germany61-91
29/08/23Germany v Finland101-75
27/02/23Finland v Germany81-87
11/11/22Germany v Finland94-80
19/08/16Germany v Finland75-66
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/09/25HSlovenia99-91
06/09/25HPortugal85-58
03/09/25AFinland91-61
01/09/25HGreat Britain120-57
30/08/25ALithuania107-88
29/08/25HSweden105-83
27/08/25AMontenegro106-76
16/08/25HSerbia81-91
15/08/25HTurkey73-71
23/02/25HBulgaria94-85
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/09/25HGeorgia93-79
06/09/25ASerbia92-86
03/09/25HGermany61-91
01/09/25HLithuania78-81
30/08/25AMontenegro85-65
29/08/25HGreat Britain109-79
27/08/25ASweden93-90
24/02/25ADenmark83-77
21/02/25HSerbia95-105
24/11/24AGeorgia64-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.9102.2101.3
Allowed / game73.472.275.0
Point differential+28.4+30.0+26.3
Avg total175.3174.5176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%50%100%
Points / game87.385.290.0
Allowed / game81.682.580.3
Point differential+5.7+2.8+9.7
Avg total168.9167.8170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany770100%101.973.4+28.4
2 Turkey770100%90.773.6+17.1
3 Greece76186%86.172.7+13.4
4 Finland75271%87.381.6+5.7
5 Lithuania75271%85.079.9+5.1
6 France64267%88.578.5+10.0
7 Serbia64267%86.776.7+10.0
8 Italy64267%78.869.5+9.3
9 Slovenia74357%92.089.7+2.3
10 Poland74357%79.678.6+1.0
11 Latvia63350%81.878.7+3.2
12 Israel63350%82.780.8+1.8
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina63350%78.880.2-1.3
14 Georgia73443%75.178.4-3.3
15 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal62433%62.275.5-13.3
18 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
19 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
20 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
21 Sweden61517%80.383.8-3.5
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany3031201798
Finland2621261386
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