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Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 127-107
32-22 24-26 39-29 32-30
Position#1
Record44-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game102.6
vs
Position#19
Record26-28
FormWWLLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game101.1
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks
25 Feb 2027
GSW v DAL
upcoming
22 Dec 2026
GSW v DAL
upcoming
25 Dec 2025
GSW126
DAL116
23 Feb 2025
GSW126
DAL102
15 Dec 2024
GSW133
DAL143
12 Nov 2024
GSW120
DAL117
02 Apr 2024
GSW104
DAL100
30 Dec 2023
GSW122
DAL132
04 Feb 2023
GSW119
DAL113
26 May 2022
GSW120
DAL110
20 May 2022
GSW126
DAL117
18 May 2022
GSW112
DAL87
27 Feb 2022
GSW101
DAL107
25 Jan 2022
GSW130
DAL92
27 Apr 2021
GSW103
DAL133
14 Jan 2020
GSW97
DAL124
28 Dec 2019
GSW121
DAL141
23 Mar 2019
GSW91
DAL126
22 Dec 2018
GSW120
DAL116
08 Feb 2018
GSW121
DAL103
14 Dec 2017
GSW112
DAL97
30 Dec 2016
GSW108
DAL99
09 Nov 2016
GSW116
DAL95
25 Mar 2016
GSW128
DAL120
27 Jan 2016
GSW127
DAL107
06 Mar 2015
GSW104
DAL89
04 Feb 2015
GSW128
DAL114
11 Mar 2014
GSW108
DAL85
11 Dec 2013
GSW95
DAL93
18 Jul 2013
GSW79
DAL76
31 Jan 2013
GSW100
DAL97
12 Apr 2012
GSW103
DAL112
10 Mar 2012
GSW111
DAL87
02 Apr 2011
GSW99
DAL92
16 Mar 2011
GSW106
DAL112
27 Mar 2010
GSW90
DAL111
08 Feb 2010
GSW117
DAL127
13 Mar 2009
GSW119
DAL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-108
128
108
+20
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
128-116
128
116
+12
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
111-103
111
103
+8
H12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
110-112
110
112
-2
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
116-98
116
98
+18
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
95-113
95
113
-18
A17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
132-98
132
98
+34
A19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
125-94
125
94
+31
A21/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
122-110
122
110
+12
H23/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
120-90
120
90
+30
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-21
36-31
32-35
22-21
26-27
34-31
36-26
32-32
27-25
29-29
24-23
31-26
25-32
29-23
19-28
37-29
24-23
28-26
34-23
30-26
30-27
19-38
25-20
21-28
34-21
36-23
34-23
28-31
34-18
29-26
24-19
38-31
32-18
32-33
24-24
34-35
29-23
33-24
33-19
25-24
222.9Avg total
118.7Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)113.3102.6215.9+10.785%
Season at home (24)112.797.9210.6+14.896%
Season away (28)113.8106.6220.5+7.275%
Last 10 (10)118.7104.2222.9+14.580%
Last 5 (5)118.8101.0219.8+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)113.790.3204.0+23.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)115.1104.9220.0+10.385%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A10/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
H13/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
89-108
89
108
-19
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
83-112
83
112
-29
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
H19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
106-94 OT
106
94
+12
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
106-109
106
109
-3
H23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
104-115
104
115
-11
A24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A27/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
26-20
20-13
25-32
25-22
27-25
20-20
23-28
20-30
22-35
22-18
25-25
18-22
18-24
23-15
24-16
16-14
20-32
20-32
27-34
29-16
23-23
18-33
28-26
23-33
26-16
15-18
25-22
25-27
31-21
18-37
32-24
29-36
29-14
27-34
19-31
32-25
24-33
21-20
15-12
199.6Avg total
98.1Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)99.5101.1200.5-1.648%
Season at home (24)101.799.8201.5+2.054%
Season away (30)97.7102.1199.8-4.443%
Last 10 (10)98.1101.5199.6-3.450%
Last 5 (5)105.2104.2209.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)101.4105.5206.9-4.125%
vs Similar (20)101.0101.0202.0+0.160%
vs Weaker (2)105.5104.0209.5+1.5100%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
Golden State WarriorsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
70-44
70
44
+26
A19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A21/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H26/01
NBA
112.3Avg total
60.4Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.651.9110.6+6.780%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.649.5106.1+7.285%-
Last 30 away (17)60.253.8114.0+6.476%-
Last 10 (10)60.451.9112.3+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)61.650.2111.8+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)59.044.3103.3+14.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)58.652.8111.4+5.878%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-65
42
65
-23
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A27/01
NBA
97.5Avg total
48.5Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.550.2100.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.348.3100.6+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)48.951.9100.8-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)48.549.097.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.248.8103.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)47.248.195.4-0.950%-
vs Similar (20)50.850.5101.3+0.245%-
vs Weaker (2)60.055.5115.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.630.5
53.0%
49.0%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.713.3
43.3%
35.3%39.9
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
75.5%17.8
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 98.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.726.8
48.1%
49.0%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
35.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.217.8
80.2%
75.5%17.8
They take 82.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLWLWWW
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWWLWLLW
#1
League position
#19
+14.1
Net rating
-3.5
115.4
Offensive rating
101.3
101.3
Defensive rating
104.8
57.1%
Effective FG%
48.5%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.4%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
43.3%
3-point %
32.8%
68.0%
Assist %
57.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 101.3Defence101.3 · 104.8Shooting57.1% · 48.5%3-point %43.3% · 32.8%Ball care13.8% · 12.4%Off. rebounds23.2% · 18.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/16HSan Antonio Spurs120-90
23/01/16HIndiana Pacers122-110
21/01/16AChicago Bulls125-94
19/01/16ACleveland Cavaliers132-98
17/01/16ADetroit Pistons95-113
15/01/16HLos Angeles Lakers116-98
14/01/16ADenver Nuggets110-112
12/01/16HMiami Heat111-103
10/01/16ASacramento Kings128-116
09/01/16APortland Trail Blazers128-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/16ALos Angeles Lakers92-90
24/01/16AHouston Rockets104-115
23/01/16HOklahoma City Thunder106-109
21/01/16HMinnesota Timberwolves106-94 OT
19/01/16HBoston Celtics118-113 OT
18/01/16ASan Antonio Spurs83-112
16/01/16AChicago Bulls83-77
14/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder89-108
13/01/16HCleveland Cavaliers107-110 OT
10/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW96%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522428
Win %85%96%75%
Points / game113.3112.7113.8
Allowed / game102.697.9106.6
Point differential+10.7+14.8+7.2
Avg total215.9210.6220.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542430
Win %48%54%43%
Points / game99.5101.797.7
Allowed / game101.199.8102.1
Point differential-1.6+2.0-4.4
Avg total200.5201.5199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)29% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %11%17%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5244885%113.3102.6+10.7
2 San Antonio Spurs52411179%103.391.2+12.1
3 Oklahoma City Thunder53391474%108.9100.8+8.0
4 Toronto Raptors52351767%100.495.5+4.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers51331865%100.696.6+4.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers52331963%103.2100.8+2.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies52312160%95.796.9-1.2
8 Boston Celtics52302258%103.999.6+4.3
9 Atlanta Hawks54312357%100.998.9+2.0
10 Chicago Bulls52292356%101.3101.4-0.1
11 Indiana Pacers52282454%102.399.7+2.6
12 Charlotte Hornets54292554%101.499.7+1.6
13 Miami Heat54292554%95.695.7-0.1
14 Detroit Pistons54282652%102.199.5+2.6
15 Houston Rockets56282850%105.1106.4-1.3
16 Orlando Magic51252649%99.199.5-0.4
17 Sacramento Kings51252649%105.8106.6-0.8
18 Dallas Mavericks54262848%99.5101.1-1.6
19 New York Knicks52252748%99.4100.8-1.4
20 Washington Wizards49232647%102.5104.3-1.8
21 Portland Trail Blazers54243044%102.3102.6-0.4
22 Utah Jazz52232944%97.696.9+0.7
23 Milwaukee Bucks53223142%98.7103.2-4.5
24 Denver Nuggets53213240%99.8103.0-3.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans51193237%102.6105.4-2.7
26 Phoenix Suns53183534%101.5106.1-4.5
27 Minnesota Timberwolves54163830%99.1103.8-4.7
28 Brooklyn Nets51143727%95.8102.6-6.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers54114320%96.1105.9-9.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers5494517%94.8104.9-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors32243932127
Dallas Mavericks22262930107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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