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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 106-94 (OT)
23-33 26-16 15-18 25-22 17-5
Position#16
Record24-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game101.1
vs
Position#26
Record13-30
FormLLLWL
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game102.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
98-105
98
105
-7
84avg 90
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
117-116 OT
117
116
+1
106avg 90
H06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
100-91
100
91
+9
94avg 90
A07/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
95-96
95
96
-1
88avg 90
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
93-87
93
87
+6
85avg 90
A10/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
105avg 90
H13/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
89-108
89
108
-19
75avg 90
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 90
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
83-112
83
112
-29
72avg 90
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
110avg 90
H19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
22-22
19-26
32-31
27-24
22-19
29-27
20-28
22-24
27-26
22-18
29-23
18-28
21-27
36-24
20-17
22-22
26-20
20-13
25-32
25-22
27-25
20-20
23-28
20-30
22-35
22-18
25-25
18-22
18-24
23-15
24-16
16-14
20-32
20-32
27-34
29-16
23-23
18-33
28-26
199.8Avg total
98.3Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)100.9101.1202.0-0.356%
Season at home (19)103.8100.3204.1+3.563%
Season away (24)98.5101.8200.3-3.250%
Last 10 (10)98.3101.5199.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)96.0104.0200.0-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)98.0103.4201.4-5.412%
vs Similar ◀ (20)100.7101.0201.7-0.360%
vs Weaker (2)111.5106.0217.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
85-95
85
95
-10
73avg 90
H03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
99-109
99
109
-10
93avg 90
A05/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 90
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
99-125
99
125
-26
89avg 90
H09/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
87-93
87
93
-6
78avg 90
H10/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
96-101
96
101
-5
89avg 90
H13/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
104-107
104
107
-3
100avg 90
A14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
93-113
93
113
-20
79avg 90
A16/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
117-87
117
87
+30
118avg 90
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
99-114
99
114
-15
90avg 90
A20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
19-29
23-28
15-23
25-29
25-18
29-33
20-29
25-21
19-21
21-24
9-12
27-35
19-27
30-33
23-30
22-22
20-26
13-20
32-25
21-32
27-28
18-20
30-21
24-23
26-34
27-24
27-26
17-31
26-26
22-25
28-31
24-23
34-25
25-21
34-18
38-25
22-26
15-31
24-32
197.5Avg total
95.3Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)99.0102.8201.8-3.830%
Season at home (23)97.1102.1199.2-5.026%
Season away (20)101.2103.6204.8-2.435%
Last 10 (10)95.3102.2197.5-6.910%
Last 5 (5)101.8104.4206.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)95.5105.0200.5-9.518%
vs Similar ◀ (16)97.7100.2197.9-2.525%
vs Weaker (3)107.3108.7216.0-1.367%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A07/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-65
42
65
-23
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H19/01
NBA
93.1Avg total
45.0Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.050.299.2-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.948.5100.5+3.454%-
Last 30 away (17)46.851.598.2-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)45.048.193.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.648.692.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.150.595.6-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)50.050.3100.2-0.340%-
vs Weaker (2)55.048.0103.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A05/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H09/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H10/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H13/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A16/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A20/01
NBA
100.4Avg total
48.8Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.450.598.9-2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.250.298.4-2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)48.650.899.5-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)48.851.6100.4-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)51.854.6106.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)45.551.096.5-5.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)49.749.999.6-0.256%-
vs Weaker (3)51.752.0103.7-0.367%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 98.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.626.3
47.3%
49.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.7%
35.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.416.9
79.0%
75.5%16.9
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.630.1
47.3%
49.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.14.9
34.8%
35.3%14.7
🏀 Free throws26.320.4
77.6%
75.5%20.4
They take 77.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 18% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLWLLWLWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#26
-3.2
Net rating
-7.4
99.6
Offensive rating
101.6
102.9
Defensive rating
108.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.7%
3-point %
34.8%
60.4%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 101.6Defence102.9 · 108.9Shooting48.4% · 48.2%3-point %33.7% · 34.8%Ball care14.0% · 16.1%Off. rebounds20.3% · 26.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/16HBoston Celtics118-113 OT
18/01/16ASan Antonio Spurs83-112
16/01/16AChicago Bulls83-77
14/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder89-108
13/01/16HCleveland Cavaliers107-110 OT
10/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves93-87
09/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks95-96
07/01/16ANew Orleans Pelicans100-91
06/01/16HSacramento Kings117-116 OT
03/01/16HNew Orleans Pelicans98-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/16ANew Orleans Pelicans99-114
17/01/16HPhoenix Suns117-87
16/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder93-113
14/01/16AHouston Rockets104-107
13/01/16HOklahoma City Thunder96-101
10/01/16HDallas Mavericks87-93
09/01/16HCleveland Cavaliers99-125
07/01/16HDenver Nuggets74-78
05/01/16APhiladelphia 76ers99-109
03/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWLWLW63%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431924
Win %56%63%50%
Points / game100.9103.898.5
Allowed / game101.1100.3101.8
Point differential-0.3+3.5-3.2
Avg total202.0204.1200.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%26%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %12%16%8%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLLW26%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432320
Win %30%26%35%
Points / game99.097.1101.2
Allowed / game102.8102.1103.6
Point differential-3.8-5.0-2.5
Avg total201.8199.2204.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%9%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)44% (9)17% (6)
Overtime %9%4%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4339491%114.6102.4+12.1
2 San Antonio Spurs4236686%103.989.6+14.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder44321273%108.699.9+8.7
4 Cleveland Cavaliers40291172%101.095.6+5.5
5 Los Angeles Clippers41271466%104.8101.0+3.7
6 Toronto Raptors42271564%101.097.2+3.8
7 Atlanta Hawks42251760%102.6100.1+2.5
8 Chicago Bulls41241759%101.9101.2+0.6
9 Dallas Mavericks43241956%100.9101.1-0.3
10 Memphis Grizzlies43241956%96.398.7-2.4
11 Indiana Pacers42231955%102.599.5+3.1
12 Detroit Pistons42231955%102.099.9+2.1
13 Miami Heat43232053%95.895.7+0.1
14 Boston Celtics43222151%103.7100.8+2.9
15 New York Knicks44222250%99.7100.4-0.7
16 Houston Rockets44222250%104.5105.7-1.1
17 Orlando Magic41202149%98.398.7-0.4
18 Washington Wizards41202149%102.2103.8-1.6
19 Charlotte Hornets42192345%101.5101.0+0.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers44192543%101.5102.8-1.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks44192543%98.1102.8-4.6
22 Utah Jazz42182443%97.497.7-0.3
23 Sacramento Kings40172342%106.3108.3-2.0
24 Denver Nuggets42162638%99.4103.5-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans41142734%101.7105.2-3.6
26 Minnesota Timberwolves43133030%99.0102.8-3.8
27 Phoenix Suns43133030%101.9106.7-4.7
28 Brooklyn Nets43113226%95.3103.0-7.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers4393421%96.3106.0-9.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers4463814%94.3104.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Dallas Mavericks2326152517106
Minnesota Timberwolves33161822594
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