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Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 111-103
27-25 29-29 24-23 31-26
Position#1
Record35-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game102.3
vs
Position#8
Record22-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game94.8
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Miami Heat
05 Nov 2026
GSW v MIA
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
GSW135
MIA112
08 Jul 2025
GSW79
MIA93
07 Jan 2025
GSW98
MIA114
06 Jul 2024
GSW105
MIA66
28 Dec 2023
GSW102
MIA114
27 Oct 2022
GSW123
MIA110
03 Jan 2022
GSW115
MIA108
17 Feb 2021
GSW120
MIA112
10 Feb 2020
GSW101
MIA113
10 Feb 2019
GSW120
MIA118
06 Nov 2017
GSW97
MIA80
10 Jan 2017
GSW107
MIA95
11 Jan 2016
GSW111
MIA103
14 Jan 2015
GSW104
MIA89
12 Feb 2014
GSW110
MIA111
16 Jan 2013
GSW75
MIA92
10 Jan 2012
GSW111
MIA106
10 Dec 2010
GSW84
MIA106
13 Jan 2010
GSW102
MIA115
01 Dec 2008
GSW129
MIA130
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#18
W
103-85
103
85
+18
99avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
122-103
122
103
+19
126avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
91-114
91
114
-23
78avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
114-110
114
110
+4
114avg 110
A01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
112avg 110
H03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
111-101
111
101
+10
109avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
109-88
109
88
+21
108avg 110
A06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-108
128
108
+20
134avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
128-116
128
116
+12
134avg 110
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
24-25
26-20
30-27
28-19
17-23
19-17
25-24
27-29
31-32
32-14
32-28
21-27
21-33
26-27
23-27
33-30
28-29
29-23
24-28
37-13
26-34
27-30
12-25
32-24
30-30
33-23
16-24
37-25
25-22
30-13
17-28
38-21
36-31
32-35
22-21
26-27
34-31
36-26
32-32
212.2Avg total
110.6Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)114.5102.3216.8+12.295%
Season at home (17)112.696.9209.5+15.7100%
Season away (20)116.2107.0223.1+9.290%
Last 10 (10)110.6101.6212.2+9.090%
Last 5 (5)117.4104.2221.6+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)89.083.0172.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)115.1104.2219.3+10.993%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
85avg 89
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
103avg 89
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 89
H29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
90-99 OT
90
99
-9
80avg 89
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
106-82
106
82
+24
108avg 89
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
98avg 89
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
86avg 89
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 89
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
103-95
103
95
+8
100avg 89
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
83-98
83
98
-15
65avg 89
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
15-23
21-14
15-26
20-24
24-32
25-20
39-25
26-24
32-20
19-34
28-33
30-26
17-21
15-22
21-14
22-10
36-35
22-16
26-21
25-24
25-7
23-20
24-24
19-29
25-18
22-27
29-21
21-22
18-25
20-24
31-27
21-20
32-20
24-33
26-22
29-19
20-26
19-27
15-26
192.6Avg total
97.9Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)97.094.8191.8+2.259%
Season at home (23)99.495.7195.1+3.765%
Season away (14)93.093.4186.4-0.450%
Last 10 (10)97.994.7192.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)95.293.2188.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)98.089.5187.5+8.5100%
vs Similar (15)95.697.5193.1-1.947%
vs Weaker (13)98.694.8193.5+3.869%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
Golden State WarriorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#18
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A10/01
NBA
109.2Avg total
57.4Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.352.4110.7+5.980%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.548.9104.5+6.677%-
Last 30 away (17)60.455.1115.5+5.382%-
Last 10 (10)57.451.8109.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)64.251.6115.8+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)58.852.8111.6+6.079%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
NBA
92.4Avg total
48.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.147.896.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)50.048.298.2+1.853%-
Last 30 away (11)47.547.294.6+0.364%-
Last 10 (10)48.444.092.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.089.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)55.046.5101.5+8.550%-
vs Similar (15)48.750.298.9-1.547%-
vs Weaker (13)48.645.293.8+3.469%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.128.6
51.0%
49.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.712.7
44.3%
35.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.3
75.0%
75.5%15.3
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.129.6
49.3%
49.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.4
34.3%
35.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
75.5%16.5
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWLWWW
Miami Heat
LWLWWWLLWW
#1
League position
#8
+9.0
Net rating
+3.4
110.0
Offensive rating
105.1
101.1
Defensive rating
101.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.3%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
44.3%
3-point %
34.3%
72.2%
Assist %
54.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 105.1Defence101.1 · 101.6Shooting56.2% · 49.8%3-point %44.3% · 34.3%Ball care14.6% · 13.3%Off. rebounds20.8% · 24.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/16ASacramento Kings128-116
09/01/16APortland Trail Blazers128-108
06/01/16ALos Angeles Lakers109-88
05/01/16HCharlotte Hornets111-101
03/01/16HDenver Nuggets111-108 OT
01/01/16AHouston Rockets114-110
31/12/15ADallas Mavericks91-114
29/12/15HSacramento Kings122-103
25/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers89-83
24/12/15HUtah Jazz103-85
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/16AUtah Jazz83-98
09/01/16APhoenix Suns103-95
07/01/16HNew York Knicks90-98
05/01/16HIndiana Pacers103-100 OT
03/01/16AWashington Wizards97-75
02/01/16HDallas Mavericks106-82
30/12/15AMemphis Grizzlies90-99 OT
29/12/15HBrooklyn Nets105-111
27/12/15AOrlando Magic108-101
25/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans94-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game114.5112.6116.2
Allowed / game102.396.9107.0
Point differential+12.2+15.7+9.2
Avg total216.8209.5223.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%65%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %8%12%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL59%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372314
Win %59%65%50%
Points / game97.099.493.0
Allowed / game94.895.793.4
Point differential+2.2+3.7-0.4
Avg total191.8195.1186.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)83% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %8%9%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3735295%114.5102.3+12.2
2 San Antonio Spurs3933685%103.689.4+14.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3526974%101.695.1+6.5
4 Oklahoma City Thunder38261268%108.9101.2+7.7
5 Los Angeles Clippers38251366%103.9100.3+3.6
6 Toronto Raptors39241562%100.296.7+3.5
7 Chicago Bulls36221461%102.2100.7+1.5
8 Atlanta Hawks38231561%102.9100.6+2.3
9 Miami Heat37221559%97.094.8+2.2
10 Dallas Mavericks38221658%101.5100.7+0.8
11 Indiana Pacers37211657%101.998.3+3.6
12 Detroit Pistons37211657%101.299.0+2.2
13 Memphis Grizzlies39211854%96.098.5-2.6
14 Orlando Magic38201853%98.998.6+0.3
15 Boston Celtics37191851%102.399.1+3.2
16 Houston Rockets38191950%103.9105.4-1.4
17 New York Knicks39192049%98.299.1-0.9
18 Washington Wizards36171947%101.2103.8-2.6
19 Charlotte Hornets37172046%101.1100.5+0.6
20 Utah Jazz37172046%96.496.7-0.3
21 Sacramento Kings37152241%106.5108.6-2.1
22 Portland Trail Blazers40162440%101.3103.0-1.8
23 Milwaukee Bucks39152438%97.6103.6-6.0
24 Denver Nuggets38142437%98.3102.8-4.5
25 Phoenix Suns39132633%102.6106.1-3.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves38122632%98.6102.6-3.9
27 New Orleans Pelicans36112531%101.3106.0-4.7
28 Brooklyn Nets38102826%95.2102.4-7.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers3983121%96.7105.9-9.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers4043610%92.9105.0-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors27292431111
Miami Heat25292326103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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