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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 112-110
32-25 23-29 28-19 29-37
Position#22
Record14-24
FormLLWLW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game102.8
vs
Position#1
Record36-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game102.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
104-96
104
96
+8
98avg 89
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 89
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
112-122
112
122
-10
98avg 89
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 89
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-110
103
110
-7
92avg 89
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
94avg 89
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
106-112
106
112
-6
91avg 89
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
78-74
78
74
+4
69avg 89
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 89
A09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
92avg 89
H11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
23-29
23-22
25-24
20-22
22-34
23-20
21-25
31-32
30-21
29-38
22-31
21-26
21-27
20-19
25-21
27-26
24-32
20-26
32-26
13-37
34-26
30-27
25-12
22-23
34-38
24-19
26-32
21-25
21-19
24-21
12-9
30-29
7-20
29-18
18-24
36-26
17-30
28-21
14-15
196.5Avg total
96.3Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)98.3102.8201.1-4.537%
Season at home (17)99.1104.0203.1-4.935%
Season away (21)97.6101.8199.4-4.138%
Last 10 (10)96.3100.2196.5-3.930%
Last 5 (5)94.296.0190.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)96.3104.5200.8-8.318%
vs Similar (17)98.0100.7198.7-2.741%
vs Weaker (2)107.5108.0215.5-0.550%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
122-103
122
103
+19
126avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
91-114
91
114
-23
78avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
114-110
114
110
+4
114avg 110
A01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
112avg 110
H03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
111-101
111
101
+10
109avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
109-88
109
88
+21
108avg 110
A06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-108
128
108
+20
134avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
128-116
128
116
+12
134avg 110
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
111-103
111
103
+8
106avg 110
H12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
17-23
19-17
25-24
27-29
31-32
32-14
32-28
21-27
21-33
26-27
23-27
33-30
28-29
29-23
24-28
37-13
26-34
27-30
12-25
32-24
30-30
33-23
16-24
37-25
25-22
30-13
17-28
38-21
36-31
32-35
22-21
26-27
34-31
36-26
32-32
27-25
29-29
24-23
31-26
214.8Avg total
111.4Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)114.4102.3216.8+12.195%
Season at home (18)112.597.2209.7+15.3100%
Season away (20)116.2107.0223.1+9.290%
Last 10 (10)111.4103.4214.8+8.090%
Last 5 (5)117.4103.2220.6+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)89.083.0172.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)115.2104.4219.6+10.793%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H11/01
NBA
103.0Avg total
48.7Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.153.4104.5-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.754.1107.8-0.438%-
Last 30 away (17)49.152.9102.0-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)48.754.3103.0-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)47.054.6101.6-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)50.354.7105.0-4.518%-
vs Similar (17)50.852.4103.2-1.541%-
vs Weaker (2)58.055.0113.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H03/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A06/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H12/01
NBA
111.7Avg total
58.3Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.352.7111.0+5.680%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.649.5105.2+6.177%-
Last 30 away (17)60.455.1115.5+5.382%-
Last 10 (10)58.353.4111.7+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)62.853.0115.8+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)58.853.1111.9+5.779%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.029.0
46.0%
49.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.1
32.8%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.414.0
72.2%
75.5%14.0
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.429.0
51.4%
49.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.712.5
43.6%
35.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.9
72.9%
75.5%15.9
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLLLLLW
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWLWW
#22
League position
#1
-4.1
Net rating
+7.9
101.3
Offensive rating
110.3
105.4
Defensive rating
102.4
46.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.0%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.8%
3-point %
43.6%
60.6%
Assist %
71.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 110.3Defence105.4 · 102.4Shooting46.9% · 56.1%3-point %32.8% · 43.6%Ball care14.2% · 14.0%Off. rebounds29.8% · 20.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/16HCharlotte Hornets95-92
09/01/16AMemphis Grizzlies84-91
07/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves78-74
04/01/16HPortland Trail Blazers106-112
03/01/16AGolden State Warriors108-111 OT
31/12/15APortland Trail Blazers103-110
30/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers87-93
28/12/15AOklahoma City Thunder112-122
27/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs86-101
24/12/15APhoenix Suns104-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/16HMiami Heat111-103
10/01/16ASacramento Kings128-116
09/01/16APortland Trail Blazers128-108
06/01/16ALos Angeles Lakers109-88
05/01/16HCharlotte Hornets111-101
03/01/16HDenver Nuggets111-108 OT
01/01/16AHouston Rockets114-110
31/12/15ADallas Mavericks91-114
29/12/15HSacramento Kings122-103
25/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers89-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW37%
HomeLLLLW35%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381721
Win %37%35%38%
Points / game98.399.197.6
Allowed / game102.8104.0101.8
Point differential-4.5-4.9-4.1
Avg total201.1203.1199.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game114.4112.5116.2
Allowed / game102.397.2107.0
Point differential+12.1+15.3+9.2
Avg total216.8209.7223.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%61%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %8%11%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3836295%114.4102.3+12.1
2 San Antonio Spurs4034685%103.889.7+14.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3627975%101.995.5+6.4
4 Oklahoma City Thunder40281270%108.7100.8+7.9
5 Los Angeles Clippers38251366%103.9100.3+3.6
6 Toronto Raptors39241562%100.296.7+3.5
7 Chicago Bulls37221559%102.1100.8+1.3
8 Atlanta Hawks39231659%102.5100.8+1.7
9 Miami Heat38221658%97.195.2+1.9
10 Indiana Pacers39221756%102.198.4+3.7
11 Detroit Pistons38211755%101.299.2+1.9
12 Dallas Mavericks40221855%101.3101.2+0.2
13 Orlando Magic38201853%98.998.6+0.3
14 Houston Rockets40211952%104.1105.0-0.9
15 Memphis Grizzlies40211952%95.898.8-2.9
16 Boston Celtics39201951%102.699.5+3.1
17 New York Knicks41202149%98.999.8-0.9
18 Washington Wizards37181949%101.4103.7-2.4
19 Charlotte Hornets38182047%101.2100.0+1.2
20 Utah Jazz37172046%96.496.7-0.3
21 Sacramento Kings37152241%106.5108.6-2.1
22 Portland Trail Blazers40162440%101.3103.0-1.8
23 Milwaukee Bucks41162539%97.9103.6-5.7
24 Denver Nuggets38142437%98.3102.8-4.5
25 Phoenix Suns40132732%102.5106.4-3.9
26 Minnesota Timberwolves40122830%98.7102.7-4.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans37112630%101.0105.7-4.7
28 Brooklyn Nets39112828%95.6102.4-6.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers4093122%96.7105.5-8.8
30 Philadelphia 76ers4043610%92.9105.0-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets32232829112
Golden State Warriors25291937110
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