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Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 111-106 (OT)
27-22 26-35 19-27 24-12 15-10
Position#23
Record3-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#4
Record9-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game96.2
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Miami Heat
05 Nov 2026
GSW v MIA
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
GSW135
MIA112
08 Jul 2025
GSW79
MIA93
07 Jan 2025
GSW98
MIA114
06 Jul 2024
GSW105
MIA66
28 Dec 2023
GSW102
MIA114
27 Oct 2022
GSW123
MIA110
03 Jan 2022
GSW115
MIA108
17 Feb 2021
GSW120
MIA112
10 Feb 2020
GSW101
MIA113
10 Feb 2019
GSW120
MIA118
06 Nov 2017
GSW97
MIA80
10 Jan 2017
GSW107
MIA95
11 Jan 2016
GSW111
MIA103
14 Jan 2015
GSW104
MIA89
12 Feb 2014
GSW110
MIA111
16 Jan 2013
GSW75
MIA92
10 Jan 2012
GSW111
MIA106
10 Dec 2010
GSW84
MIA106
13 Jan 2010
GSW102
MIA115
01 Dec 2008
GSW129
MIA130
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
107-96
107
96
+11
H18/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
86-105
86
105
-19
H26/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
79-107
79
107
-28
H01/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
30-22
17-29
31-27
19-23
22-26
26-17
24-29
20-24
23-17
25-34
18-30
30-22
27-19
21-20
21-30
21-23
16-20
27-21
28-14
25-19
17-31
12-22
25-35
26-25
21-26
22-21
22-30
26-20
27-25
22-25
20-31
22-20
17-15
19-32
32-30
19-27
27-18
20-18
21-25
187.7Avg total
91.7Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.796.0187.7-4.330%
Season at home (6)91.794.2185.8-2.550%
Season away (4)91.898.8190.5-7.00%
Last 10 (10)91.796.0187.7-4.330%
Last 5 (5)88.499.0187.4-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)98.1106.3204.4-8.333%
vs Similar (12)102.698.8201.4+3.833%
vs Weaker (3)103.088.7191.7+14.3100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
100-104
100
104
-4
A22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A25/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
115-107
115
107
+8
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
96-95
96
95
+1
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
129-90
129
90
+39
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
92-100
92
100
-8
H03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
118-83
118
83
+35
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
A06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
29-25
24-34
20-28
32-17
30-24
35-24
8-29
30-27
39-27
22-29
24-24
20-32
25-28
24-10
27-25
31-20
20-33
31-22
21-26
33-15
32-22
27-27
37-26
23-19
27-28
21-20
21-33
29-27
33-12
26-27
30-17
22-19
32-30
14-21
25-23
31-18
26-17
21-29
23-26
204.8Avg total
107.5Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.596.2204.6+12.382%
Season at home (5)114.493.0207.4+21.480%
Season away (6)103.598.8202.3+4.783%
Last 10 (10)107.597.3204.8+10.280%
Last 5 (5)111.294.4205.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)94.992.2187.1+2.863%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)104.294.3198.5+9.982%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
Golden State WarriorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H18/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/01
NBA
90.4Avg total
46.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.250.2100.4-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.248.7100.9+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)48.151.799.9-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)46.444.090.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.290.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)48.449.998.3-1.540%-
vs Similar (12)51.650.2101.8+1.442%-
vs Weaker (3)53.352.3105.7+1.067%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A25/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
65-37
65
37
+28
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A08/01
NBA
102.8Avg total
57.1Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.846.297.0+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.544.796.2+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)50.247.697.8+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)57.145.7102.8+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)57.641.499.0+16.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)48.646.394.9+2.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)54.546.2100.7+8.473%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Golden State Warriors wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/12HUtah Jazz87-88
07/01/12ALos Angeles Lakers90-97
05/01/12ASan Antonio Spurs95-101
02/01/12APhoenix Suns91-102
01/01/12HPhiladelphia 76ers79-107
29/12/11HNew York Knicks92-78
27/12/11HChicago Bulls99-91
26/12/11HLos Angeles Clippers86-105
21/12/11ASacramento Kings91-95
18/12/11HSacramento Kings107-96
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/12ABrooklyn Nets101-90
06/01/12AAtlanta Hawks116-109 OT
05/01/12HIndiana Pacers118-83
03/01/12HAtlanta Hawks92-100
01/01/12HCharlotte Hornets129-90
31/12/11AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
29/12/11ACharlotte Hornets96-95
28/12/11HBoston Celtics115-107
25/12/11ADallas Mavericks105-94
22/12/11AOrlando Magic100-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%50%0%
Points / game91.791.791.8
Allowed / game96.094.298.8
Point differential-4.3-2.5-7.0
Avg total187.7185.8190.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game108.5114.4103.5
Allowed / game96.293.098.8
Point differential+12.3+21.4+4.7
Avg total204.6207.4202.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls1311285%97.187.5+9.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder1311285%99.895.5+4.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers119282%101.685.6+16.0
4 Miami Heat119282%108.596.2+12.3
5 Portland Trail Blazers118373%99.693.2+6.5
6 Denver Nuggets128467%104.596.1+8.4
7 Atlanta Hawks128467%97.189.6+7.5
8 Los Angeles Clippers96367%101.997.9+4.0
9 New York Knicks117464%95.393.0+2.3
10 Orlando Magic117464%95.193.7+1.4
11 Utah Jazz117464%92.595.9-3.4
12 Boston Celtics106460%89.988.6+1.3
13 San Antonio Spurs127558%99.497.1+2.3
14 Indiana Pacers116555%91.090.7+0.3
15 Los Angeles Lakers126650%95.394.1+1.2
16 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%94.894.6+0.2
17 New Orleans Pelicans115645%88.989.9-1.0
18 Minnesota Timberwolves125742%96.394.2+2.1
19 Dallas Mavericks125742%92.594.8-2.3
20 Phoenix Suns104640%95.496.9-1.5
21 Houston Rockets114736%94.897.5-2.6
22 Toronto Raptors124833%85.290.0-4.8
23 Sacramento Kings124833%93.3102.6-9.2
24 Golden State Warriors103730%91.796.0-4.3
25 Milwaukee Bucks113827%92.696.1-3.5
26 Memphis Grizzlies113827%89.995.3-5.4
27 Detroit Pistons123925%83.894.0-10.2
28 Charlotte Hornets123925%88.699.0-10.4
29 Brooklyn Nets1221017%86.296.3-10.1
30 Washington Wizards111109%85.896.7-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Golden State Warriors2726192415111
Miami Heat2235271210106
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