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Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 107-95
27-29 26-25 26-14 28-27
Position#1
Record32-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game105.7
vs
Position#13
Record11-28
FormLLWLL
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game102.3
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Miami Heat
05 Nov 2026
GSW120
MIA100
19 Jan 2026
GSW135
MIA112
08 Jul 2025
GSW79
MIA93
07 Jan 2025
GSW98
MIA114
06 Jul 2024
GSW105
MIA66
28 Dec 2023
GSW102
MIA114
27 Oct 2022
GSW123
MIA110
03 Jan 2022
GSW115
MIA108
17 Feb 2021
GSW120
MIA112
10 Feb 2020
GSW101
MIA113
10 Feb 2019
GSW120
MIA118
06 Nov 2017
GSW97
MIA80
10 Jan 2017
GSW107
MIA95
11 Jan 2016
GSW111
MIA103
14 Jan 2015
GSW104
MIA89
12 Feb 2014
GSW110
MIA111
16 Jan 2013
GSW75
MIA92
10 Jan 2012
GSW111
MIA106
10 Dec 2010
GSW84
MIA106
13 Jan 2010
GSW102
MIA115
01 Dec 2008
GSW129
MIA130
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
104-74
104
74
+30
98avg 110
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
117-101
117
101
+16
108avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
119-113
119
113
+6
126avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 110
A25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
121-111
121
111
+10
130avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 110
H31/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
127-119
127
119
+8
123avg 110
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
125-117
125
117
+8
121avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
119-128 OT
119
128
-9
111avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
117-106
117
106
+11
118avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
36-18
27-21
22-20
33-34
16-31
39-19
29-17
33-32
24-27
31-25
31-29
27-25
28-27
32-28
21-29
42-17
30-38
32-32
17-24
29-29
30-19
32-21
17-30
35-33
33-31
26-21
33-34
40-34
29-37
30-21
26-25
34-27
33-28
31-24
13-32
24-33
27-25
39-22
27-26
224.2Avg total
116.5Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)117.5105.7223.2+11.884%
Season at home (19)121.3106.8228.1+14.584%
Season away (19)113.7104.6218.3+9.284%
Last 10 (10)116.5107.7224.2+8.880%
Last 5 (5)119.2113.8233.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)118.7105.2223.8+13.587%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 91
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
87-91
87
91
-4
81avg 91
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-106
94
106
-12
74avg 91
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 91
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-117
114
117
-3
113avg 91
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
98-107
98
107
-9
91avg 91
H01/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
90-99
90
99
-9
73avg 91
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
107-102
107
102
+5
105avg 91
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
100-127
100
127
-27
79avg 91
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
73avg 91
A08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
36-35
29-20
33-27
28-25
21-19
19-20
19-27
19-33
29-28
21-26
25-19
19-21
30-21
17-31
16-18
25-25
23-27
30-30
36-35
37-33
29-25
15-27
17-22
29-28
23-28
14-27
24-16
30-25
34-34
23-22
20-21
23-32
33-26
23-32
21-37
19-20
20-32
27-28
20-18
201.8Avg total
97.3Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)98.1102.3200.5-4.228%
Season at home (18)101.2103.0204.2-1.828%
Season away (21)95.5101.8197.3-6.229%
Last 10 (10)97.3104.5201.8-7.220%
Last 5 (5)96.2106.6202.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (23)97.1101.0198.1-3.930%
vs Weaker (7)105.6112.3217.9-6.729%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Golden State WarriorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H31/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H05/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H07/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A09/01
NBA
116.2Avg total
60.2Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.253.7114.9+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.853.1117.9+11.780%-
Last 30 away (15)57.654.4112.0+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)60.256.0116.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)62.859.2122.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)61.253.7114.9+7.573%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H01/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/01
NBA
106.6Avg total
52.4Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.152.9103.0-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.454.5104.8-4.138%-
Last 30 away (17)49.951.6101.6-1.741%-
Last 10 (10)52.454.2106.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)55.456.6112.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (23)48.552.0100.6-3.539%-
vs Weaker (7)55.455.6111.0-0.143%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.432.7
57.0%
50.2%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.8
36.9%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.618.7
82.7%
77.0%18.7
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.527.9
47.7%
50.2%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.4
36.7%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
77.0%13.3
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLWWWWLWWW
Miami Heat
LLWLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#13
+8.4
Net rating
-7.4
111.7
Offensive rating
100.4
103.2
Defensive rating
107.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.9%
3-point %
36.7%
68.3%
Assist %
58.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 100.4Defence103.2 · 107.8Shooting56.4% · 49.9%3-point %36.9% · 36.7%Ball care15.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds20.8% · 20.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/17ASacramento Kings117-106
07/01/17HMemphis Grizzlies119-128 OT
05/01/17HPortland Trail Blazers125-117
03/01/17HDenver Nuggets127-119
31/12/16HDallas Mavericks108-99
29/12/16HToronto Raptors121-111
25/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers108-109
24/12/16ADetroit Pistons119-113
23/12/16ABrooklyn Nets117-101
21/12/16HUtah Jazz104-74
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers86-98
07/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers100-127
05/01/17ASacramento Kings107-102
04/01/17APhoenix Suns90-99
01/01/17HDetroit Pistons98-107
31/12/16ABoston Celtics114-117
30/12/16ACharlotte Hornets82-91
28/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder94-106
24/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans87-91
23/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers115-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW84%
HomeWWWWL84%
AwayWWWLW84%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %84%84%84%
Points / game117.5121.3113.7
Allowed / game105.7106.8104.6
Point differential+11.8+14.5+9.2
Avg total223.2228.1218.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%63%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL28%
HomeLLWLL28%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %28%28%29%
Points / game98.1101.295.5
Allowed / game102.3103.0101.8
Point differential-4.2-1.8-6.2
Avg total200.5204.2197.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3832684%117.5105.7+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs3830879%106.097.8+8.2
3 Houston Rockets4031978%114.8107.2+7.7
4 Cleveland Cavaliers3728976%109.8103.5+6.3
5 Toronto Raptors38251366%110.7104.4+6.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers40261465%107.9102.5+5.5
7 Boston Celtics38231561%106.8104.7+2.1
8 Utah Jazz40241660%98.494.9+3.5
9 Memphis Grizzlies40241660%99.398.6+0.7
10 Oklahoma City Thunder39231659%106.9105.0+1.9
11 Atlanta Hawks38221658%102.7102.6+0.1
12 Indiana Pacers38201853%105.8106.2-0.4
13 Milwaukee Bucks37191851%105.1103.0+2.1
14 Washington Wizards37191851%105.3105.8-0.5
15 Charlotte Hornets39201951%105.5104.0+1.5
16 Chicago Bulls39192049%101.5101.4+0.1
17 Detroit Pistons39182146%100.3100.3+0.0
18 New York Knicks38172145%105.5108.9-3.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers39162341%108.2111.5-3.3
20 Orlando Magic39162341%98.9103.7-4.8
21 Sacramento Kings37152241%102.3105.0-2.7
22 New Orleans Pelicans39152438%102.4105.4-3.0
23 Denver Nuggets37142338%108.0111.2-3.2
24 Los Angeles Lakers41152637%105.3109.8-4.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves38122632%103.0104.5-1.5
26 Phoenix Suns38122632%105.9111.9-6.0
27 Dallas Mavericks38112729%95.1100.7-5.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers35102529%99.2105.9-6.6
29 Miami Heat39112828%98.1102.3-4.2
30 Brooklyn Nets3782922%105.1114.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors27262628107
Miami Heat2925142795
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