PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2011
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-103
20-31 33-20 22-31 26-21
Position#21
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game97.0
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
10 Jul 2019
MIN90
MIA87
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A03/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
105-107
105
107
-2
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
98-108
98
108
-10
H07/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
106-130
106
130
-24
A10/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
127-135 OT
127
135
-8
A12/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#12
L
102-121
102
121
-19
H14/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
117-96
117
96
+21
H18/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
100-104
100
104
-4
H27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
24-27
20-17
25-33
23-29
27-32
25-24
30-22
23-26
30-30
24-26
21-26
23-25
28-40
18-36
37-29
33-24
32-34
27-34
29-29
30-32
22-37
37-21
13-31
26-24
36-28
30-26
25-18
19-22
21-23
27-23
18-16
24-23
22-29
26-26
28-26
30-32
18-28
20-19
27-19
211.3Avg total
102.4Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.295.5194.8+3.850%
Season at home (2)108.5100.0208.5+8.550%
Season away (2)90.091.0181.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)102.4108.9211.3-6.520%
Last 5 (5)99.8100.6200.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)96.3106.0202.3-9.76%
vs Similar (12)103.2105.1208.2-1.942%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
93-95
93
95
-2
H03/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A06/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A08/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
103-112
103
112
-9
A10/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
H13/06
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
118-85
118
85
+33
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
100-104
100
104
-4
A22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A25/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
115-107
115
107
+8
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
96-95
96
95
+1
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
23-23
24-20
18-24
29-22
18-20
20-22
21-22
21-21
26-24
22-20
14-21
31-30
26-30
22-24
24-28
27-32
24-21
21-28
23-24
21-22
32-24
29-15
36-24
27-17
29-25
24-34
20-28
32-17
30-24
35-24
8-29
30-27
39-27
22-29
24-24
20-32
25-28
24-10
27-25
196.5Avg total
99.6Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)106.897.0203.8+9.880%
Season at home (2)116.596.0212.5+20.5100%
Season away (3)100.397.7198.0+2.767%
Last 10 (10)99.696.9196.5+2.750%
Last 5 (5)106.897.0203.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)92.890.4183.2+2.565%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)100.891.5192.4+9.385%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A03/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H07/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A10/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A12/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#12
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H14/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H18/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#19
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A28/12
NBA
108.5Avg total
51.1Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.154.9105.0-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.453.9104.3-3.540%-
Last 30 away (15)49.955.9105.8-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)51.157.4108.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)49.655.6105.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)47.954.7102.6-6.728%-
vs Similar (12)53.455.2108.7-1.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#3
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H03/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A06/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A08/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A10/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H13/06
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A25/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A29/12
NBA
103.2Avg total
53.8Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.146.396.3+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.944.594.4+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)50.248.198.3+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)53.849.4103.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)57.048.6105.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)47.446.193.5+1.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)53.646.5100.1+7.277%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/11AMilwaukee Bucks95-98
27/12/11HOklahoma City Thunder100-104
22/12/11AMilwaukee Bucks85-84
18/12/11HMilwaukee Bucks117-96
14/04/11HHouston Rockets102-121
12/04/11APhoenix Suns127-135 OT
10/04/11ADenver Nuggets106-130
07/04/11HPhoenix Suns98-108
05/04/11ABrooklyn Nets105-107
03/04/11AMemphis Grizzlies89-106
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/11ACharlotte Hornets96-95
28/12/11HBoston Celtics115-107
25/12/11ADallas Mavericks105-94
22/12/11AOrlando Magic100-104
18/12/11HOrlando Magic118-85
13/06/11HDallas Mavericks95-105
10/06/11ADallas Mavericks103-112
08/06/11ADallas Mavericks83-86
06/06/11ADallas Mavericks88-86
03/06/11HDallas Mavericks93-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game99.2108.590.0
Allowed / game95.5100.091.0
Point differential+3.8+8.5-1.0
Avg total194.8208.5181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game106.8116.5100.3
Allowed / game97.096.097.7
Point differential+9.8+20.5+2.7
Avg total203.8212.5198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Orleans Pelicans440100%93.583.0+10.5
2 Oklahoma City Thunder660100%99.393.5+5.8
3 Atlanta Hawks54180%96.281.0+15.2
4 Denver Nuggets54180%114.299.8+14.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers54180%103.693.2+10.4
6 Miami Heat54180%106.897.0+9.8
7 Chicago Bulls54180%95.091.0+4.0
8 Philadelphia 76ers43175%102.590.5+12.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers43175%104.299.8+4.5
10 Orlando Magic64267%96.094.5+1.5
11 Golden State Warriors53260%95.093.0+2.0
12 Indiana Pacers53260%90.088.6+1.4
13 San Antonio Spurs53260%95.894.6+1.2
14 New York Knicks53260%89.292.0-2.8
15 Houston Rockets42250%99.093.2+5.8
16 Minnesota Timberwolves42250%99.295.5+3.8
17 Boston Celtics63350%90.391.8-1.5
18 Cleveland Cavaliers52340%94.493.6+0.8
19 Sacramento Kings52340%93.699.6-6.0
20 Charlotte Hornets52340%84.892.0-7.2
21 Los Angeles Lakers62433%95.293.8+1.3
22 Toronto Raptors41325%84.285.8-1.5
23 Milwaukee Bucks41325%93.298.2-5.0
24 Utah Jazz41325%88.2103.0-14.8
25 Detroit Pistons51420%86.094.4-8.4
26 Brooklyn Nets61517%83.594.8-11.3
27 Memphis Grizzlies4040%86.896.2-9.5
28 Dallas Mavericks5050%92.8103.4-10.6
29 Washington Wizards4040%84.898.8-14.0
30 Phoenix Suns4040%90.5106.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves20332226101
Miami Heat31203121103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.