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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jan 2011
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 114-107
28-36 30-36 25-12 31-23
Position#5
Record27-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Position#20
Record16-24
FormWWWLW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game104.8
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Miami Heat v Golden State Warriors
17 Jan 2027
MIA v GSW
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
MIA110
GSW96
25 Mar 2025
MIA112
GSW86
21 Jul 2024
MIA102
GSW99
26 Mar 2024
MIA92
GSW113
01 Nov 2022
MIA116
GSW109
05 Jul 2022
MIA94
GSW70
23 Mar 2022
MIA104
GSW118
01 Apr 2021
MIA116
GSW109
29 Nov 2019
MIA122
GSW105
27 Feb 2019
MIA126
GSW125
03 Dec 2017
MIA95
GSW123
23 Jan 2017
MIA105
GSW102
24 Feb 2016
MIA112
GSW118
25 Nov 2014
MIA97
GSW114
17 Oct 2014
MIA115
GSW108
02 Jan 2014
MIA114
GSW123
12 Dec 2012
MIA95
GSW97
01 Jan 2011
MIA114
GSW107
02 Mar 2010
MIA110
GSW106
23 Dec 2008
MIA96
GSW88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
104-83
104
83
+21
A12/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
113-91
113
91
+22
A18/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
95-94
95
94
+1
A19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
96-80
96
80
+16
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
106-98
106
98
+8
H29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#12
W
125-119
125
119
+6
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
30-18
31-20
26-21
25-23
28-31
29-21
14-9
24-26
22-23
27-22
28-24
34-25
23-32
33-17
23-17
19-25
27-22
26-27
23-20
22-23
22-20
24-22
28-33
19-22
26-17
27-20
23-24
20-14
27-24
28-26
21-16
34-18
19-22
27-25
26-33
35-28
24-34
29-22
37-35
195.2Avg total
102.7Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)99.792.2191.9+7.568%
Season at home (20)102.292.8194.9+9.575%
Season away (20)97.291.7188.9+5.560%
Last 10 (10)102.792.5195.2+10.290%
Last 5 (5)103.695.6199.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)101.3102.3203.6-1.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)102.890.7193.4+12.187%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#5
L
84-106
84
106
-22
H11/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
95-108
95
108
-13
A14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#12
L
112-121
112
121
-9
H21/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
117-109 OT
117
109
+8
A22/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
109-102
109
102
+7
H26/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
110-95
110
95
+15
H28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
96-95
96
95
+1
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
25-22
20-36
19-22
23-20
23-23
24-31
25-34
17-25
37-26
25-25
29-23
18-21
24-30
23-23
30-22
26-26
20-24
29-31
37-40
26-18
23-30
21-36
32-18
25-28
31-29
22-23
31-22
25-30
30-19
21-22
34-24
27-29
20-23
22-26
24-25
30-28
22-18
25-24
19-25
205.3Avg total
101.9Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)101.5104.8206.3-3.240%
Season at home (17)105.5101.9207.5+3.665%
Season away (23)98.6106.8205.4-8.322%
Last 10 (10)101.9103.4205.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)105.0100.8205.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)98.1112.4210.5-14.38%
vs Similar (17)101.9100.5202.4+1.559%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
Miami HeatGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A12/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A18/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A25/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#12
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A30/12
NBA
96.8Avg total
49.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.046.297.2+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.046.099.0+7.075%-
Last 30 away (14)48.746.495.1+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)49.747.196.8+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)49.644.494.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)46.749.996.6-3.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)52.345.197.4+7.274%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H11/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H21/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A22/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H26/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/12
NBA
98.7Avg total
49.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.852.5101.3-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (12)52.851.8104.5+1.050%-
Last 30 away (18)46.253.099.2-6.828%-
Last 10 (10)49.249.598.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.850.4102.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)47.256.4103.5-9.215%-
vs Similar (17)50.149.599.6+0.653%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
0
Golden State Warriors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/10AHouston Rockets125-119
29/12/10HNew York Knicks106-98
25/12/10ALos Angeles Lakers96-80
24/12/10APhoenix Suns95-83
21/12/10HDallas Mavericks96-98
19/12/10AWashington Wizards95-94
18/12/10ANew York Knicks113-91
16/12/10HCleveland Cavaliers101-95
14/12/10HNew Orleans Pelicans96-84
12/12/10ASacramento Kings104-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/10ACharlotte Hornets96-95
30/12/10AAtlanta Hawks93-103
28/12/10HPhiladelphia 76ers110-95
26/12/10HPortland Trail Blazers109-102
22/12/10ASacramento Kings117-109 OT
21/12/10HHouston Rockets112-121
19/12/10APortland Trail Blazers95-96
15/12/10HMinnesota Timberwolves108-99
14/12/10AUtah Jazz95-108
11/12/10HMiami Heat84-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %68%75%60%
Points / game99.7102.297.2
Allowed / game92.292.891.7
Point differential+7.5+9.4+5.5
Avg total191.9194.9188.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%45%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW40%
HomeLWLWW65%
AwayLLWLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401723
Win %40%65%22%
Points / game101.5105.598.6
Allowed / game104.8101.9106.8
Point differential-3.2+3.6-8.3
Avg total206.3207.5205.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%24%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)100% (2)22% (9)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs3831782%104.097.4+6.7
2 Boston Celtics3931879%99.191.3+7.8
3 Utah Jazz41301173%99.695.8+3.9
4 Dallas Mavericks39281172%97.193.7+3.4
5 Orlando Magic40281270%98.690.5+8.2
6 Miami Heat40271368%99.792.2+7.5
7 Los Angeles Lakers40271368%102.897.5+5.2
8 Chicago Bulls40261465%98.794.2+4.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder40261465%103.7101.8+1.9
10 Denver Nuggets39231659%107.2104.4+2.7
11 Atlanta Hawks42231955%95.095.1-0.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies39211854%99.998.6+1.3
13 New York Knicks39201951%105.8106.4-0.6
14 Houston Rockets40202050%104.3102.2+2.1
15 Portland Trail Blazers40202050%95.795.5+0.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans42212150%92.893.5-0.6
17 Indiana Pacers38172145%96.698.4-1.8
18 Phoenix Suns39162341%104.7109.5-4.8
19 Golden State Warriors40162440%101.5104.8-3.2
20 Milwaukee Bucks38152339%91.493.4-2.0
21 Charlotte Hornets39152438%92.195.6-3.6
22 Philadelphia 76ers40152538%96.797.8-1.1
23 Toronto Raptors40152538%102.4104.4-2.0
24 Cleveland Cavaliers40142635%93.699.5-6.0
25 Detroit Pistons41142734%95.799.8-4.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves41142734%104.4108.7-4.3
27 Washington Wizards39112828%95.5100.7-5.2
28 Brooklyn Nets40112928%92.698.2-5.6
29 Los Angeles Clippers41113027%97.0101.5-4.5
30 Sacramento Kings3692725%94.6100.6-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28302531114
Golden State Warriors36361223107
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