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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 109-103
34-24 21-38 29-22 25-19
Position#14
Record38-29
FormWWLLL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game107.2
vs
Position#2
Record51-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
113-114
113
114
-1
103avg 101
A10/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
111-106
111
106
+5
111avg 101
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
108-126
108
126
-18
100avg 101
H14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
119-111
119
111
+8
111avg 101
H16/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
102-120
102
120
-18
85avg 101
A24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
122-104
122
104
+18
115avg 101
H25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
118-100
118
100
+18
116avg 101
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
99-108
99
108
-9
90avg 101
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
108-116
108
116
-8
92avg 101
A03/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
109-117
109
117
-8
100avg 101
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
40-26
19-33
27-25
23-29
33-25
19-26
36-26
31-23
19-31
30-30
28-42
35-39
27-26
22-26
35-20
32-26
22-29
21-33
27-32
31-24
29-38
26-20
36-22
29-29
34-31
34-17
21-23
24-19
25-25
29-31
21-33
24-23
21-33
32-29
31-31
28-35
18-25
28-26
35-31
223.1Avg total
110.9Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)109.7107.2216.9+2.657%
Season at home (33)111.4104.8216.2+6.676%
Season away (34)108.1109.4217.6-1.338%
Last 10 (10)110.9112.2223.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)111.2109.0220.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)106.7117.7224.3-11.017%
vs Similar (15)113.6106.9220.5+6.760%
vs Weaker (9)110.2104.4214.7+5.856%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
129-83
129
83
+46
134avg 114
H13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
117-123
117
123
-6
108avg 114
A15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
134-127
134
127
+7
133avg 114
H23/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
112-80
112
80
+32
118avg 114
H25/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
125-111
125
111
+14
125avg 114
A27/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
109-101
109
101
+8
106avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
114-109
114
109
+5
115avg 114
A03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
114-101
114
101
+13
115avg 114
H07/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
110-107
110
107
+3
104avg 114
H09/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
108-125
108
125
-17
98avg 114
A10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
37-21
37-26
30-12
27-40
24-23
36-29
30-31
34-23
36-35
32-34
32-35
24-19
28-26
32-21
28-14
37-39
26-25
39-18
23-29
36-21
22-35
27-14
24-31
33-31
29-19
28-34
24-25
35-19
13-34
38-27
28-21
28-21
18-29
32-37
32-20
27-33
25-28
31-26
25-38
223.9Avg total
117.2Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)115.8107.7223.6+8.177%
Season at home (33)115.3105.4220.8+9.979%
Season away (33)116.3110.0226.4+6.376%
Last 10 (10)117.2106.7223.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)111.0108.6219.6+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)112.0113.4225.4-1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)119.2110.7229.9+8.483%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A10/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H16/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A03/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H09/03
NBA
111.8Avg total
55.2Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.053.4109.4+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.751.7109.4+5.953%-
Last 30 away (15)54.355.0109.3-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)55.256.6111.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)52.656.4109.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)54.559.8114.3-5.317%-
vs Similar (15)56.650.7107.3+5.960%-
vs Weaker (9)56.053.4109.4+2.667%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H23/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H25/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A27/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A01/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H07/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H09/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A10/03
NBA
110.9Avg total
56.4Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.358.0118.4+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.956.7116.6+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)60.759.2119.9+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)56.454.5110.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)53.254.0107.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)59.460.0119.4-0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)60.657.4118.0+3.261%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.432.3
52.6%
51.0%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
36.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.721.7
84.4%
76.5%21.7
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.431.1
57.2%
51.0%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.312.2
41.6%
36.1%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.318.4
82.5%
76.5%18.4
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWLWLWL
Golden State Warriors
LWWWWWWWLW
#14
League position
#2
-1.3
Net rating
+10.3
111.5
Offensive rating
115.2
112.8
Defensive rating
104.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
59.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
17.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.5%
3-point %
41.6%
52.6%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 115.2Defence112.8 · 104.9Shooting52.3% · 59.0%3-point %34.5% · 41.6%Ball care12.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds22.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/18HBoston Celtics109-117
03/03/18AUtah Jazz108-116
02/03/18APortland Trail Blazers99-108
27/02/18ASacramento Kings118-100
25/02/18HChicago Bulls122-104
24/02/18AHouston Rockets102-120
16/02/18HLos Angeles Lakers119-111
14/02/18HHouston Rockets108-126
12/02/18HSacramento Kings111-106
10/02/18AChicago Bulls113-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/18APortland Trail Blazers108-125
09/03/18HSan Antonio Spurs110-107
07/03/18HBrooklyn Nets114-101
03/03/18AAtlanta Hawks114-109
01/03/18AWashington Wizards109-101
27/02/18ANew York Knicks125-111
25/02/18HOklahoma City Thunder112-80
23/02/18HLos Angeles Clippers134-127
15/02/18APortland Trail Blazers117-123
13/02/18HPhoenix Suns129-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWLWWL76%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673334
Win %57%76%38%
Points / game109.7111.4108.1
Allowed / game107.2104.8109.4
Point differential+2.6+6.6-1.3
Avg total216.9216.2217.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)67% (9)22% (9)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLWWWL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %77%79%76%
Points / game115.8115.3116.3
Allowed / game107.7105.4110.0
Point differential+8.1+9.9+6.3
Avg total223.6220.8226.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)67% (6)86% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets65511478%113.9105.2+8.7
2 Golden State Warriors66511577%115.8107.7+8.1
3 Toronto Raptors66491774%112.2103.4+8.8
4 Boston Celtics66462070%104.6100.2+4.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers66402661%105.6103.2+2.5
6 New Orleans Pelicans65382758%112.2111.6+0.6
7 Cleveland Cavaliers65382758%110.0109.8+0.2
8 Indiana Pacers66382858%106.1104.5+1.6
9 Oklahoma City Thunder68392957%106.7103.7+3.1
10 Minnesota Timberwolves67382957%109.7107.2+2.6
11 Washington Wizards67382957%107.2105.8+1.4
12 San Antonio Spurs66372956%102.399.6+2.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers65362955%109.4108.1+1.3
14 Philadelphia 76ers64352955%107.7105.8+1.9
15 Utah Jazz66363055%102.6100.4+2.2
16 Denver Nuggets66363055%108.9107.9+1.0
17 Miami Heat67363154%102.4102.1+0.3
18 Milwaukee Bucks66353153%104.8105.3-0.5
19 Detroit Pistons66303645%103.1104.1-1.0
20 Los Angeles Lakers65293645%108.4110.2-1.7
21 Charlotte Hornets67293843%106.8107.4-0.6
22 New York Knicks67244336%104.0107.6-3.6
23 Chicago Bulls65224334%103.0109.2-6.2
24 Dallas Mavericks66214532%102.6104.8-2.2
25 Brooklyn Nets66214532%106.0110.0-4.0
26 Sacramento Kings66214532%99.2106.8-7.7
27 Atlanta Hawks66204630%103.3108.3-4.9
28 Orlando Magic67204730%105.1109.5-4.3
29 Phoenix Suns68194928%104.5113.5-8.9
30 Memphis Grizzlies66184827%98.5103.8-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves34212925109
Golden State Warriors24382219103
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