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Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 94-131
23-34 22-30 21-31 28-36
Position#20
Record18-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Position#1
Record28-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game122.1
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Oklahoma City Thunder
24 Jan 2027
GSW v OKC
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
GSW94
OKC131
02 Dec 2025
GSW112
OKC124
29 Jan 2025
GSW116
OKC109
27 Nov 2024
GSW101
OKC105
18 Nov 2023
GSW123
OKC130
16 Nov 2023
GSW109
OKC128
04 Apr 2023
GSW136
OKC125
06 Feb 2023
GSW141
OKC114
30 Oct 2021
GSW103
OKC82
08 May 2021
GSW136
OKC97
06 May 2021
GSW118
OKC97
28 Mar 2020
GSW v OKC
upcoming
25 Nov 2019
GSW97
OKC100
21 Nov 2018
GSW95
OKC123
16 Oct 2018
GSW108
OKC100
24 Feb 2018
GSW112
OKC80
06 Feb 2018
GSW105
OKC125
18 Jan 2017
GSW121
OKC100
03 Nov 2016
GSW122
OKC96
30 May 2016
GSW96
OKC88
26 May 2016
GSW120
OKC111
18 May 2016
GSW118
OKC91
16 May 2016
GSW102
OKC108
03 Mar 2016
GSW121
OKC106
06 Feb 2016
GSW116
OKC108
05 Jan 2015
GSW117
OKC91
18 Dec 2014
GSW114
OKC109
14 Nov 2013
GSW116
OKC115
11 Apr 2013
GSW97
OKC116
23 Jan 2013
GSW104
OKC99
07 Feb 2012
GSW116
OKC119
27 Jan 2012
GSW109
OKC120
13 Feb 2011
GSW100
OKC94
11 Apr 2010
GSW120
OKC117
06 Feb 2010
GSW95
OKC104
21 Feb 2009
GSW133
OKC120
21 Jan 2009
GSW121
OKC122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-91
123
91
+32
121avg 106
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
120-127
120
127
-7
108avg 106
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
131-136
131
136
-5
128avg 106
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
98-99
98
99
-1
95avg 106
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
119-116
119
116
+3
114avg 106
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
120-97
120
97
+23
120avg 106
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
126-116
126
116
+10
121avg 106
H25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
127-141 OT
127
141
-14
114avg 106
A28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
120-107
120
107
+13
118avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
132-125
132
125
+7
135avg 106
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-25
22-21
27-30
36-15
27-28
36-33
28-27
29-39
31-34
31-27
37-35
32-40
29-26
24-20
18-24
27-29
32-44
32-23
29-20
26-29
26-30
32-27
31-26
31-14
40-28
31-30
29-31
26-27
29-33
35-32
36-31
22-26
28-30
31-27
30-28
31-22
30-30
39-34
29-36
34-25
237.1Avg total
121.6Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)115.6113.4229.0+2.153%
Season at home (14)118.3110.1228.4+8.171%
Season away (20)113.7115.8229.4-2.040%
Last 10 (10)121.6115.5237.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)125.0117.2242.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)112.0119.4231.4-7.443%
vs Similar (15)112.5110.3222.9+2.247%
vs Weaker (8)119.0108.6227.6+10.462%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
132-111
132
111
+21
134avg 112
H06/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
131-101
131
101
+30
130avg 112
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
122-101
122
101
+21
108avg 112
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
107-112
107
112
-5
93avg 112
A20/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
119-103
119
103
+16
108avg 112
H23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
103avg 112
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
102-117
102
117
-15
87avg 112
H25/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
129-104
129
104
+25
122avg 112
H28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
140-129
140
129
+11
136avg 112
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
124-95
124
95
+29
117avg 112
H01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
36-21
41-26
28-37
45-20
29-28
32-23
25-30
27-33
37-22
39-28
19-18
33-23
18-25
34-35
22-29
31-28
36-26
17-19
35-30
29-31
31-27
22-29
28-43
36-41
24-28
19-26
23-22
32-29
32-33
38-24
27-18
35-38
35-36
43-29
27-26
38-30
35-25
26-21
25-19
231.9Avg total
121.6Scored
110.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)122.1108.0230.1+14.188%
Season at home (17)122.5106.5229.0+15.994%
Season away (15)121.6109.7231.3+11.980%
Last 10 (10)121.6110.3231.9+11.370%
Last 5 (5)121.0115.0236.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)106.0123.5229.5-17.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)122.4105.4227.8+17.193%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Golden State WarriorsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A31/12
NBA
120.5Avg total
62.3Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.054.9110.9+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.554.2112.7+4.375%-
Last 30 away (18)54.455.3109.7-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)62.358.2120.5+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)64.260.2124.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)51.657.7109.3-6.143%-
vs Similar (15)55.854.3110.1+1.560%-
vs Weaker (8)60.453.4113.8+7.088%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H06/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
74-48
74
48
+26
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A20/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H25/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H01/01
NBA
121.7Avg total
64.6Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.053.6115.5+8.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.553.1116.6+10.481%-
Last 30 away (14)60.254.1114.4+6.171%-
Last 10 (10)64.657.1121.7+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)65.463.6129.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)60.063.5123.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)62.152.9115.0+9.279%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.226.4
58.4%
54.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.416.5
37.2%
35.8%49.5
🏀 Free throws23.519.3
82.1%
78.1%19.3
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.532.3
59.3%
54.8%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.913.3
36.0%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.217.1
80.7%
78.1%17.1
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWWLLLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLLWLWWW
#20
League position
#1
+5.9
Net rating
+11.1
117.5
Offensive rating
119.2
111.6
Defensive rating
108.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
57.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
10.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.2%
3-point %
36.0%
69.0%
Assist %
55.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 119.2Defence111.6 · 108.1Shooting57.1% · 57.2%3-point %37.2% · 36.0%Ball care15.6% · 10.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 22.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25ACharlotte Hornets132-125
30/12/25ABrooklyn Nets120-107
28/12/25AToronto Raptors127-141 OT
25/12/25HDallas Mavericks126-116
23/12/25HOrlando Magic120-97
21/12/25HPhoenix Suns119-116
19/12/25APhoenix Suns98-99
15/12/25APortland Trail Blazers131-136
13/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves120-127
08/12/25AChicago Bulls123-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers124-95
30/12/25HAtlanta Hawks140-129
28/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers129-104
25/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs102-117
24/12/25ASan Antonio Spurs110-130
23/12/25HMemphis Grizzlies119-103
20/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves107-112
19/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers122-101
08/12/25AUtah Jazz131-101
06/12/25HDallas Mavericks132-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341420
Win %53%71%40%
Points / game115.6118.3113.7
Allowed / game113.4110.1115.8
Point differential+2.1+8.1-2.0
Avg total229.0228.4229.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW88%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWWWLL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %88%94%80%
Points / game122.1122.5121.6
Allowed / game108.0106.5109.7
Point differential+14.1+15.9+11.9
Avg total230.1229.0231.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%71%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3228488%122.1108.0+14.1
2 Detroit Pistons3425974%118.9112.8+6.1
3 San Antonio Spurs3223972%119.9114.2+5.8
4 Houston Rockets31211068%120.5111.5+9.1
5 Denver Nuggets34231168%124.6117.9+6.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers30201067%116.8116.8+0.0
7 New York Knicks32211166%120.2114.8+5.5
8 Boston Celtics33211264%117.0110.6+6.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves34211362%118.8114.6+4.2
10 Phoenix Suns33201361%116.3112.7+3.6
11 Toronto Raptors34201459%114.2112.4+1.8
12 Miami Heat33191458%121.3117.4+3.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers32181456%116.6116.0+0.6
14 Cleveland Cavaliers36201656%119.4116.9+2.6
15 Orlando Magic33181555%116.4114.8+1.6
16 Golden State Warriors34181653%115.6113.4+2.1
17 Chicago Bulls34171750%118.8122.1-3.2
18 Atlanta Hawks36171947%119.0119.5-0.5
19 Memphis Grizzlies33151845%115.9116.5-0.7
20 Milwaukee Bucks35152043%113.3116.0-2.7
21 Portland Trail Blazers35152043%116.3119.9-3.6
22 Los Angeles Clippers33122136%112.3113.6-1.3
23 Utah Jazz33122136%119.8126.8-7.0
24 Dallas Mavericks35122334%113.6117.9-4.3
25 Charlotte Hornets34112332%115.9119.0-3.1
26 Brooklyn Nets32102231%108.9114.2-5.3
27 Washington Wizards3392427%113.4123.9-10.5
28 Sacramento Kings3582723%110.6122.5-11.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans3682822%115.4123.1-7.7
30 Indiana Pacers3562917%110.1119.3-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors2322212894
Oklahoma City Thunder34303136131
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