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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 112-107
23-33 25-18 35-34 29-22
Position#10
Record17-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game119.4
Allowed / game114.6
vs
Position#1
Record24-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game123.0
Allowed / game106.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-113
105
113
-8
96avg 109
A27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 109
H29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 109
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
149-142 OT
149
142
+7
136avg 109
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-116
125
116
+9
122avg 109
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
109-106
109
106
+3
107avg 109
H07/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
105-108
105
108
-3
101avg 109
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
127-120
127
120
+7
124avg 109
A13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
117-103
117
103
+14
107avg 109
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
110-116
110
116
-6
98avg 109
H18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
22-25
32-29
34-35
32-36
27-33
35-23
25-23
32-37
29-25
28-31
36-19
31-25
27-43
42-35
29-26
35-30
27-32
26-28
37-26
22-34
20-22
30-22
37-28
23-29
34-32
27-23
21-24
28-27
33-36
27-28
39-29
20-27
31-25
37-32
29-19
27-29
35-32
21-27
27-28
234.2Avg total
119.1Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)119.4114.6234.0+4.963%
Season at home (14)117.2110.6227.8+6.664%
Season away (13)121.8118.8240.7+3.062%
Last 10 (10)119.1115.1234.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)113.6110.6224.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)118.0118.6236.6-0.643%
vs Similar (10)114.5116.1230.6-1.640%
vs Weaker (13)124.4111.9236.3+12.585%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
113-99
113
99
+14
105avg 111
H20/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
144-112
144
112
+32
142avg 111
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
122-95
122
95
+27
126avg 111
H24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
113-105
113
105
+8
102avg 111
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
123-119
123
119
+4
115avg 111
H29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
123-115
123
115
+8
118avg 111
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
124-112
124
112
+12
122avg 111
A03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
132-111
132
111
+21
134avg 111
H06/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
131-101
131
101
+30
130avg 111
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
122-101
122
101
+21
108avg 111
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
31-25
25-19
30-30
30-44
37-24
43-20
34-24
39-18
28-28
29-22
26-27
24-17
25-22
29-32
35-34
25-25
31-27
38-30
29-37
24-19
30-36
31-32
38-28
32-26
31-18
28-44
33-24
27-27
36-21
41-26
28-37
45-20
29-28
32-23
25-30
27-33
37-22
39-28
19-18
231.7Avg total
124.7Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)123.0106.6229.6+16.496%
Season at home (12)122.3105.2227.6+17.1100%
Season away (13)123.6107.9231.5+15.792%
Last 10 (10)124.7107.0231.7+17.7100%
Last 5 (5)126.4108.0234.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)120.2106.5226.7+13.890%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H18/12
NBA
115.5Avg total
55.2Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.157.3115.4+0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.956.1116.9+4.844%-
Last 30 away (14)55.058.7113.7-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)55.260.3115.5-5.110%-
Last 5 (5)54.658.6113.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)54.057.9111.9-3.929%-
vs Similar (10)56.260.1116.3-3.920%-
vs Weaker (13)61.854.8116.7+7.054%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H20/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A03/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H06/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
74-48
74
48
+26
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H19/12
NBA
112.0Avg total
61.5Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.552.4111.9+7.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.948.9108.9+11.079%-
Last 30 away (16)59.155.4114.5+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)61.550.5112.0+11.080%-
Last 5 (5)63.650.0113.6+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)59.552.4111.9+7.167%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.827.2
55.7%
54.8%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.8
37.9%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws26.720.3
76.0%
78.1%20.3
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 124.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.731.2
59.2%
54.8%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.814.1
41.7%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws25.420.0
78.7%
78.1%20.0
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLWWWWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#1
+3.9
Net rating
+17.3
116.6
Offensive rating
121.8
112.7
Defensive rating
104.5
56.3%
Effective FG%
60.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
11.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
17.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.9%
3-point %
41.7%
66.7%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 121.8Defence112.7 · 104.5Shooting56.3% · 60.5%3-point %37.9% · 41.7%Ball care13.1% · 11.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 17.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HMemphis Grizzlies110-116
15/12/25HSacramento Kings117-103
13/12/25AGolden State Warriors127-120
09/12/25HPhoenix Suns105-108
07/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers109-106
05/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-116
03/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans149-142 OT
01/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs125-112
29/11/25HBoston Celtics119-115
27/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers122-101
08/12/25AUtah Jazz131-101
06/12/25HDallas Mavericks132-111
03/12/25AGolden State Warriors124-112
30/11/25APortland Trail Blazers123-115
29/11/25HPhoenix Suns123-119
27/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves113-105
24/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers122-95
22/11/25AUtah Jazz144-112
20/11/25HSacramento Kings113-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game119.4117.2121.8
Allowed / game114.6110.6118.8
Point differential+4.9+6.6+3.0
Avg total234.0227.8240.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%15%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %96%100%92%
Points / game123.0122.3123.6
Allowed / game106.6105.2107.9
Point differential+16.4+17.1+15.7
Avg total229.6227.6231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%67%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2524196%123.0106.6+16.4
2 Detroit Pistons2721678%119.1113.1+6.0
3 Denver Nuggets2620677%125.6116.2+9.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers2519676%119.2116.8+2.4
5 San Antonio Spurs2518772%119.8113.7+6.1
6 New York Knicks2517868%119.9112.6+7.3
7 Houston Rockets2416867%121.1112.1+9.0
8 Minnesota Timberwolves27171063%119.4114.6+4.9
9 Toronto Raptors27171063%115.8112.8+3.0
10 Boston Celtics27161159%116.6111.0+5.6
11 Phoenix Suns26151158%115.2113.0+2.2
12 Philadelphia 76ers26151158%116.8115.5+1.3
13 Orlando Magic25141156%117.7114.1+3.6
14 Miami Heat27151256%120.5117.3+3.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers29151452%118.7117.0+1.7
16 Atlanta Hawks29151452%117.6118.3-0.7
17 Memphis Grizzlies27131448%114.4115.2-0.8
18 Golden State Warriors28131546%113.8112.7+1.1
19 Chicago Bulls27121544%118.3122.0-3.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers27111641%118.8122.3-3.5
21 Dallas Mavericks28111739%113.0116.7-3.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks28111739%113.6117.4-3.9
23 Utah Jazz26101638%119.6126.8-7.2
24 Charlotte Hornets2791833%115.5118.7-3.2
25 Brooklyn Nets2671927%109.6115.5-5.9
26 Los Angeles Clippers2762122%110.9117.0-6.1
27 Indiana Pacers2762122%110.3118.1-7.9
28 Sacramento Kings2762122%111.7122.8-11.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans2862221%114.9123.0-8.1
30 Washington Wizards2542116%112.0126.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves23253529112
Oklahoma City Thunder33183422107
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