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Gorica vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-71
25-19 13-23 25-14 15-15
Position#5
Record13-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game80.4
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 24· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gorica v Mladost
01 Apr 2026
GORI78
MLAD71
16 Nov 2024
GORI75
MLAD92
24 Feb 2024
GORI84
MLAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Kastela
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 80
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
89-105
89
105
-16
72avg 80
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 80
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
81-57
81
57
+24
83avg 80
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 80
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 80
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
106avg 80
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 80
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
102-79
102
79
+23
103avg 80
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
65-94
65
94
-29
44avg 80
A28/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
22-15
16-17
11-22
16-20
25-26
23-28
25-31
19-23
35-23
18-22
28-20
15-19
21-16
18-6
27-16
14-19
20-15
22-11
21-18
22-23
21-24
27-17
10-27
18-30
29-29
31-23
35-24
18-24
19-21
24-18
16-23
23-30
29-14
30-20
20-15
18-25
14-24
14-24
19-21
170.1Avg total
85.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.480.4163.9+3.057%
Season at home (11)87.978.8166.7+9.173%
Season away (12)79.381.9161.2-2.642%
Last 10 (10)85.284.9170.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)87.491.2178.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.885.2163.0-7.430%
vs Similar (13)84.278.6162.8+5.569%
vs Weaker (6)88.877.0165.8+11.867%
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
113-63
113
63
+50
109avg 72
H24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
67avg 72
A31/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
82avg 72
A08/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
78avg 72
H14/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
96-89
96
89
+7
93avg 72
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 72
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 72
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
45avg 72
H15/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
72avg 72
A21/03
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
92-70
92
70
+22
92avg 72
H28/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
20-14
28-16
38-18
39-18
17-24
12-30
16-20
25-21
12-16
22-25
27-21
16-13
17-11
17-11
11-26
24-28
23-21
23-21
26-19
13-17
24-17
19-21
19-17
16-20
13-21
6-12
32-19
20-19
8-13
13-26
11-16
19-26
26-15
15-29
21-30
26-16
22-18
29-18
15-18
161.3Avg total
82.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.174.4156.5+7.774%
Season at home (12)84.673.0157.6+11.683%
Season away (11)79.575.9155.4+3.564%
Last 10 (10)82.478.9161.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)73.477.6151.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.785.7163.5-8.036%
vs Similar (4)79.874.5154.2+5.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.971.4155.3+12.587%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
GoricaMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
86.3Avg total
41.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.982.2+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.138.483.5+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.441.580.9-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.686.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.248.891.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.940.980.8-1.040%-
vs Similar (13)40.940.181.0+0.838%-
vs Weaker (6)44.840.385.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A31/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H14/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H15/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/03
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/03
Prva Liga
77.0Avg total
40.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.878.8+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.634.675.2+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)41.341.682.9-0.336%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.377.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.473.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.443.684.0-3.336%-
vs Similar (4)39.540.279.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.732.974.7+8.873%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.8
51.8%
53.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.213.3
69.3%
71.6%13.3
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.4
52.9%
53.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.1
29.8%
32.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.014.1
78.3%
71.6%14.1
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWLWLWWWLL
Mladost
WLLLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#3
-0.5
Net rating
+3.6
90.2
Offensive rating
90.1
90.8
Defensive rating
86.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.4%
3-point %
29.8%
60.1%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 90.1Defence90.8 · 86.5Shooting50.6% · 50.1%3-point %32.4% · 29.8%Ball care16.8% · 18.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Gorica   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gorica wins
3
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Mladost v Gorica73-67
01/03/25Mladost v Gorica88-83
16/11/24Gorica v Mladost75-92
24/02/24Gorica v Mladost84-69
19/11/23Mladost v Gorica63-82
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26AOmis65-94
21/03/26HJazine102-79
15/03/26AMarsonia77-86
07/03/26HDakovo113-106
21/02/26AKK Zagreb80-91
14/02/26HCrikvenica77-63
07/02/26AOsijek81-57
04/02/26HAmfora100-88
31/01/26ASonik Puntamika89-105
24/01/26AKastela68-80
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HNovi Zagreb92-70
21/03/26ASkrljevo81-100
15/03/26HKastela52-74
08/03/26HOmis67-72
28/02/26HKK Zagreb75-72
21/02/26AJazine96-89
14/02/26HMarsonia78-74 OT
08/02/26ADakovo86-83
31/01/26ACrikvenica84-92
24/01/26HOsijek113-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%73%42%
Points / game83.487.979.3
Allowed / game80.478.881.9
Point differential+3.0+9.1-2.6
Avg total163.9166.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW74%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%83%64%
Points / game82.184.679.5
Allowed / game74.473.075.9
Point differential+7.7+11.6+3.5
Avg total156.5157.6155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %13%17%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2421388%95.575.6+19.9
2 Kastela2419579%86.666.4+20.2
3 Mladost2317674%82.174.4+7.7
4 Omis2315865%83.176.8+6.3
5 Gorica23131057%83.480.4+3.0
6 KK Zagreb24131154%79.778.2+1.5
7 Crikvenica23121152%75.576.9-1.4
8 Dakovo23111248%87.185.2+2.0
9 Jazine23111248%82.882.4+0.4
10 Novi Zagreb24111346%76.275.9+0.4
11 Marsonia2391439%74.375.3-1.0
12 Sonik Puntamika2371630%75.380.9-5.6
13 Amfora2341917%71.686.6-15.0
14 Osijek230230%64.0104.3-40.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2513251578
Mladost1923141571
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