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Gorica vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-76
12-18 18-22 10-18 30-18
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.0
Gorica
Slovenia
vs
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game76.7
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 4· Nova Gorica
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gorica v Sencur
17 Oct 2026
GORI70
SENC76
15 Oct 2024
GORI78
SENC108
13 Oct 2020
GORI75
SENC98
23 Oct 2018
GORI68
SENC119
26 Oct 2017
GORI47
SENC112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
106avg 76
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 76
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
102-79
102
79
+23
103avg 76
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
65-94
65
94
-29
44avg 76
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
70avg 76
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
56avg 76
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
103avg 76
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
59-86
59
86
-27
42avg 76
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
84avg 76
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 76
A10/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
29-29
31-23
35-24
18-24
19-21
24-18
16-23
23-30
29-14
30-20
20-15
18-25
14-24
14-24
19-21
25-19
13-23
25-14
15-15
23-32
20-23
19-36
10-17
25-23
27-27
35-20
11-14
16-19
18-23
17-27
8-17
19-18
22-20
24-15
23-16
25-21
6-21
20-11
29-14
168.2Avg total
83.2Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.774.0149.7+1.767%
Season at home (1)88.069.0157.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)69.576.5146.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)83.285.0168.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)79.482.8162.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.683.4154.0-12.820%
vs Similar (13)86.278.8164.9+7.477%
vs Weaker (7)89.176.3165.4+12.971%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
94avg 81
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 81
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 81
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
76avg 81
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 81
H20/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
59avg 81
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 81
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 81
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
90avg 81
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
74avg 81
A14/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-19
26-27
28-24
28-24
18-14
14-18
16-14
19-19
12-16
26-16
18-14
18-21
21-19
24-19
19-16
26-24
14-24
15-22
24-16
16-25
21-22
11-27
17-20
27-20
26-29
21-24
18-2
25-15
21-19
30-24
23-16
29-25
22-20
20-14
25-22
21-23
16-19
23-14
16-23
164.0Avg total
83.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.776.7172.3+19.0100%
Season at home (1)96.081.0177.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)95.574.5170.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.980.1164.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)85.680.6166.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.388.7158.0-19.30%
vs Similar (6)91.392.7184.0-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.976.6163.6+10.389%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
GoricaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Liga Nova KBM
87.3Avg total
40.7Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.082.2+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.839.584.3+5.469%-
Last 30 away (17)38.442.280.6-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)40.746.687.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.485.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.941.979.8-4.020%-
vs Similar (13)42.140.983.0+1.246%-
vs Weaker (7)44.140.084.1+4.171%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H20/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
ABA League 2
83.1Avg total
41.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.085.2+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.440.283.5+3.254%-
Last 30 away (17)43.143.486.4-0.335%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.683.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.488.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.746.283.8-8.50%-
vs Similar (6)44.346.791.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.739.083.7+5.761%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.1
51.7%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
30.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.9
66.5%
70.0%11.9
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.8
52.9%
53.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.4
30.2%
30.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.419.1
78.3%
70.0%19.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WWLWLWLWLW
Sencur
LWWWLLWWWL
#5
League position
#2
-3.0
Net rating
+4.5
90.3
Offensive rating
94.5
93.3
Defensive rating
90.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.1%
3-point %
30.2%
65.6%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 94.5Defence93.3 · 90.0Shooting52.1% · 50.4%3-point %35.1% · 30.2%Ball care18.2% · 17.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Gorica   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
8
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Gorica v Sencur78-108
08/03/23Sencur v Gorica74-72
20/10/20Sencur v Gorica93-62
13/10/20Gorica v Sencur75-98
30/10/18Sencur v Gorica91-68
23/10/18Gorica v Sencur68-119
30/10/17Sencur v Gorica103-64
26/10/17Gorica v Sencur47-112
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ARogaska80-67
03/10/26HHelios Domzale88-69
23/09/26APerspektiva Ilirija59-86
18/04/26HNovi Zagreb98-84
11/04/26ASkrljevo72-108
01/04/26HMladost78-71
28/03/26AOmis65-94
21/03/26HJazine102-79
15/03/26AMarsonia77-86
07/03/26HDakovo113-106
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26AVojvodina Novi Sad76-79
09/10/26HPolzela96-81
03/10/26ATajfun Sentjur99-74
26/09/26ARogaska92-75
23/05/26ACedevita Olimpija65-94
20/05/26HCedevita Olimpija79-86
12/05/26AHelios Domzale82-75
09/05/26HHelios Domzale75-65
04/05/26AHelios Domzale76-70
30/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija99-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game75.788.069.5
Allowed / game74.069.076.5
Point differential+1.7+19.0-7.0
Avg total149.7157.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.796.095.5
Allowed / game76.781.074.5
Point differential+19.0+15.0+21.0
Avg total172.3177.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sencur330100%95.776.7+19.0
2 KK Krka Novo mesto440100%84.866.5+18.2
3 Perspektiva Ilirija43175%87.572.5+15.0
4 Polzela32167%80.768.0+12.7
5 Gorica32167%75.774.0+1.7
6 Zlatorog Lasko42250%72.078.0-6.0
7 KK Triglav Kranj41325%74.873.8+1.0
8 Rogaska41325%66.282.8-16.5
9 Helios Domzale4040%64.083.2-19.2
10 Tajfun Sentjur3030%67.390.7-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1218103070
Sencur1822181876
← all games of the day
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