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Breogan vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-103
19-19 24-24 22-27 20-33
Position#11
Record7-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Position#2
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game82.3
SpainACBRound 17· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Breogan v Real Madrid
12 Dec 2026
BRE v MAD
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BRE85
MAD103
11 May 2025
BRE69
MAD79
11 Feb 2024
BRE73
MAD80
08 Apr 2023
BRE96
MAD72
17 Oct 2021
BRE71
MAD79
16 Dec 2018
BRE84
MAD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 77
A16/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
105-78
105
78
+27
101avg 77
H22/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
80-103
80
103
-23
66avg 77
A06/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
96-108
96
108
-12
86avg 77
H13/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
90avg 77
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 77
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
86avg 77
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
100avg 77
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
99-104
99
104
-5
113avg 77
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
104-101
104
101
+3
no box
A17/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
23-23
22-19
26-26
30-18
27-20
20-15
28-25
14-30
16-30
23-24
27-19
24-33
27-26
20-22
25-27
21-23
24-24
26-22
29-30
18-17
17-26
19-11
21-29
25-18
23-32
30-27
22-26
22-25
28-18
22-17
26-22
23-28
15-34
30-20
31-22
25-25
19-31
34-24
26-21
189.7Avg total
95.3Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)91.293.4184.6-2.144%
Season at home (8)95.693.6189.2+2.050%
Season away (8)86.993.1180.0-6.238%
Last 10 (10)95.394.4189.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)95.294.6189.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)82.790.3173.0-7.733%
vs Similar (12)93.195.1188.2-2.042%
vs Weaker (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
W
91-80
91
80
+11
75avg 82
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
W
107-93
107
93
+14
106avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 82
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 82
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 82
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
74avg 82
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
106-77
106
77
+29
114avg 82
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
93avg 82
H22/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
19-14
26-23
24-25
27-24
17-34
29-16
34-19
24-28
20-20
31-29
25-28
17-18
19-23
20-20
24-8
21-25
27-22
28-18
22-21
13-21
27-20
21-17
29-27
21-14
22-17
20-16
17-14
9-24
34-19
33-17
18-19
30-23
24-13
24-19
28-22
23-13
31-18
17-22
19-25
174.9Avg total
93.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)91.482.3173.8+9.188%
Season at home (8)92.179.8171.9+12.488%
Season away (8)90.884.9175.6+5.988%
Last 10 (10)93.681.3174.9+12.390%
Last 5 (5)92.076.0168.0+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (9)87.685.6173.1+2.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.481.5172.9+9.990%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
BreoganReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A16/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H22/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A06/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H13/12
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A17/01
ACB
94.2Avg total
44.6Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.687.2-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.342.786.1+0.633%-
Last 30 away (15)41.846.588.3-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.649.694.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.050.893.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.141.682.7-0.527%-
vs Similar (12)44.749.293.9-4.633%-
vs Weaker (3)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/01
Euroleague
85.5Avg total
44.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.086.8+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.789.0+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)43.241.484.6+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.885.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.836.483.2+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)43.238.982.1+4.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.543.488.9+2.160%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.5
54.2%
50.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.7
36.7%
42.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.820.5
82.7%
74.7%20.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.4
59.3%
50.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.4
41.6%
42.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws26.920.4
75.8%
74.7%20.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLLWLLWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLWW
#11
League position
#2
+0.4
Net rating
+12.0
117.8
Offensive rating
120.8
117.4
Defensive rating
108.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
60.4%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.45
36.7%
3-point %
41.6%
57.1%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 120.8Defence117.4 · 108.8Shooting54.5% · 60.4%3-point %36.7% · 41.6%Ball care15.8% · 14.2%Off. rebounds34.9% · 33.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Breogan   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
11/05/25Breogan v Real Madrid69-79
15/12/24Real Madrid v Breogan106-69
11/02/24Breogan v Real Madrid73-80
03/12/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-58
08/04/23Breogan v Real Madrid96-72
22/01/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-73
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
17/10/21Breogan v Real Madrid71-79
27/04/19Real Madrid v Breogan94-89
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra104-101
10/01/26AManresa99-104
03/01/26HUnicaja98-82
29/12/25HBaskonia100-103
27/12/25AJoventut Badalona75-83
21/12/25HBilbao100-99
13/12/25HTenerife96-108
06/12/25ABasquet Girona80-103
22/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos105-78
16/11/25AMurcia96-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HMonaco90-78
20/01/26HOlimpia Milano106-77
18/01/26HValencia94-79
16/01/26HBarcelona80-61
11/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
06/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne80-69
04/01/26HBarcelona100-105
02/01/26HDubai107-93
30/12/25AMurcia91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game91.295.686.9
Allowed / game93.493.693.1
Point differential-2.1+2.0-6.2
Avg total184.6189.2180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game91.492.190.8
Allowed / game82.379.884.9
Point differential+9.1+12.4+5.9
Avg total173.8171.9175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1614288%91.482.3+9.1
2 Valencia1612475%94.981.8+13.1
3 Barcelona1612475%88.479.8+8.6
4 Murcia1611569%87.881.1+6.7
5 Baskonia1510567%94.789.5+5.2
6 Joventut Badalona1610662%84.581.2+3.3
7 Unicaja1610662%87.183.8+3.3
8 Tenerife169756%86.983.9+2.9
9 Bilbao168850%84.485.8-1.4
10 Basquet Girona178947%87.091.3-4.3
11 Breogan167944%91.293.4-2.1
12 Forca Lleida167944%82.686.7-4.1
13 Gran Canaria156940%77.981.3-3.4
14 Manresa1661038%84.692.6-8.0
15 Basket Zaragoza1761135%87.291.3-4.1
16 MoraBanc Andorra1641225%84.292.8-8.5
17 San Pablo Burgos1631319%89.194.6-5.6
18 Granada161156%80.791.0-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1924222085
Real Madrid19242733103
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