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Guaros de Lara vs Broncos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-73
32-21 13-17 21-18 14-17
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#5
Record12-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game74.9
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Broncos
24 Apr 2023
GUAR80
BRON73
23 Aug 2022
GUAR82
BRON75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Broncos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 75
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 75
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 75
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 75
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
58avg 75
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 75
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 75
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
84avg 75
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 75
A20/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 75
A22/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
14-23
28-15
16-13
21-20
17-17
14-23
30-8
11-18
29-14
14-14
26-13
21-21
24-22
24-24
23-33
18-22
21-16
21-16
23-11
31-24
18-26
27-22
25-18
23-18
22-13
22-21
19-25
31-28
14-27
24-18
21-25
18-21
25-25
25-17
13-26
24-17
23-18
21-18
18-24
164.9Avg total
86.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.878.6161.4+4.269%
Season at home (7)81.672.6154.1+9.086%
Season away (9)83.883.3167.1+0.456%
Last 10 (10)86.178.8164.9+7.370%
Last 5 (5)88.886.2175.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.786.3159.0-13.733%
vs Similar (15)80.584.5164.9-4.040%
vs Weaker (12)85.274.1159.3+11.292%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 81
H02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 81
A04/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
90-78
90
78
+12
76avg 81
A08/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
103-95 OT
103
95
+8
no box
H10/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
no box
H12/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 81
H14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
101-69
101
69
+32
99avg 81
A16/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 81
H17/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
98-78
98
78
+20
95avg 81
H19/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
69avg 81
A23/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-14
27-12
20-18
24-17
23-12
24-20
19-24
24-19
23-12
27-19
16-28
25-21
17-25
22-23
25-20
19-21
15-22
22-19
26-20
23-21
27-14
21-9
22-13
27-14
18-13
36-27
20-15
17-16
14-28
13-15
18-18
32-19
26-19
22-26
18-14
21-13
13-17
22-20
26-15
164.6Avg total
89.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.474.9164.3+14.675%
Season at home (9)91.375.1166.4+16.278%
Season away (7)87.074.6161.6+12.471%
Last 10 (10)89.375.3164.6+14.080%
Last 5 (5)87.269.2156.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)75.378.2153.5-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.274.5161.7+12.875%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
Guaros de LaraBroncos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A20/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A22/04
Superliga
83.1Avg total
42.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.7+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.138.580.6+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.884.6-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.483.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.489.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.044.783.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (15)41.240.982.1+0.353%-
vs Weaker (12)43.639.883.3+3.875%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A08/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H12/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H19/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/04
Superliga
78.3Avg total
42.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.476.9+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.536.777.2+3.859%-
Last 30 away (13)40.635.976.5+4.754%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.778.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.878.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)38.235.673.8+2.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.736.878.5+5.055%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.9
56.0%
50.8%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
31.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.612.1
65.1%
65.6%12.1
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.8
54.9%
50.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.8
30.2%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
65.6%16.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WLLWWWLWWW
Broncos
WWLWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#5
+8.6
Net rating
+18.7
110.3
Offensive rating
106.4
101.7
Defensive rating
87.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.9%
3-point %
30.2%
57.3%
Assist %
61.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 106.4Defence101.7 · 87.7Shooting54.1% · 50.7%3-point %33.9% · 30.2%Ball care17.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.5% · 27.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Broncos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guaros de Lara wins
2
Broncos wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Broncos v Guaros de Lara100-56
23/08/22Guaros de Lara v Broncos82-75
16/07/22Broncos v Guaros de Lara82-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23AHeroes de Falcon86-77
20/04/23ABrillantes81-89
19/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia90-98
16/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-77
14/04/23HCentauros101-90
12/04/23ACentauros83-65
10/04/23ATrotamundos92-100
08/04/23HTrotamundos80-59
05/04/23HFrontinos82-68
02/04/23ACentauros80-65
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23ACentauros82-65
19/04/23HToros de Aragua98-78
17/04/23HBrillantes62-77
16/04/23ALlaneros101-69
14/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia93-57
12/04/23HTrotamundos89-97 OT
10/04/23HFrontinos103-95 OT
08/04/23AToros de Aragua90-78
04/04/23AFrontinos90-73
02/04/23HLlaneros85-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%86%56%
Points / game82.881.683.8
Allowed / game78.672.683.3
Point differential+4.2+9.0+0.4
Avg total161.4154.1167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Broncos
Superliga 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%78%71%
Points / game89.491.387.0
Allowed / game74.975.174.6
Point differential+14.6+16.2+12.4
Avg total164.3166.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%56%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1614288%84.372.8+11.6
2 Cocodrilos1411379%76.168.9+7.2
3 Broncos1612475%89.474.9+14.6
4 Piratas de La Guaira129375%81.973.9+8.0
5 Brillantes1611569%84.377.0+7.3
6 Guaros de Lara1611569%82.878.6+4.2
7 Trotamundos1611569%80.277.9+2.3
8 Guaiqueries138562%86.080.4+5.6
9 Gaiteros del Zulia169756%79.681.9-2.2
10 Panteras179853%76.176.1+0.0
11 Heroes de Falcon168850%84.282.2+2.1
12 Spartans136746%75.775.8-0.2
13 Gigantes146843%76.980.9-4.0
14 Centauros156940%73.477.5-4.1
15 Llaneros1551033%79.484.0-4.6
16 Frontinos1651131%81.290.7-9.4
17 Marinos1531220%79.288.9-9.7
18 Cangrejeros1321115%76.986.2-9.2
19 Diablos1321115%77.087.1-10.1
20 Toros de Aragua161156%73.183.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara3213211480
Broncos2117181773
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