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Chemnitz vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-82
21-18 15-21 23-18 14-25
Position#2
Record14-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Bilbao 🏆
Position#3
Record12-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game71.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 83
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 83
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 83
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 83
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
84avg 83
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
102-86
102
86
+16
101avg 83
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
106avg 83
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 83
H24/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
W
98-73
98
73
+25
90avg 83
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
111-95
111
95
+16
109avg 83
A30/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-22
15-11
28-15
21-22
32-17
19-23
8-27
26-13
23-18
14-20
20-31
30-24
28-13
20-8
20-19
20-14
22-25
26-19
29-24
18-18
26-20
35-25
23-23
25-16
23-20
32-20
26-28
22-18
13-21
21-24
23-21
16-29
25-17
30-12
27-15
31-17
19-28
30-25
31-25
174.9Avg total
94.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.772.9165.5+19.893%
Season at home (7)96.176.3172.4+19.9100%
Season away (8)89.669.9159.5+19.888%
Last 10 (10)94.180.8174.9+13.380%
Last 5 (5)99.284.4183.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.087.0168.0-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.776.4169.1+16.392%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Balkan
#35
W
90-63
90
63
+27
94avg 76
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
92avg 76
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 76
A02/03
ACB
Legia
#6
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 76
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 76
A10/03
ACB
Legia
#6
W
81-53
81
53
+28
79avg 76
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
94avg 76
H17/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 76
H24/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
L
73-98
73
98
-25
66avg 76
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 76
A30/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-15
34-13
14-12
28-18
14-15
28-25
23-20
23-25
22-17
19-29
20-30
15-20
14-21
20-19
15-23
15-17
18-27
22-16
24-27
29-17
19-15
11-10
22-11
22-20
22-20
22-18
26-13
28-22
15-19
16-22
23-17
29-16
17-25
12-30
15-27
16-9
21-23
19-16
24-20
160.0Avg total
81.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.871.4153.2+10.480%
Season at home (8)85.070.8155.8+14.288%
Season away (7)78.172.1150.3+6.071%
Last 10 (10)81.878.2160.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)81.674.0155.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.087.1164.1-10.122%
vs Similar (12)78.574.8153.2+3.858%
vs Weaker (9)80.871.4152.2+9.378%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
ChemnitzBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A30/03
BBL
85.7Avg total
46.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.238.083.2+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.736.582.2+9.387%-
Last 30 away (15)44.739.584.2+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.385.7+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.884.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)44.241.285.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.537.282.7+8.383%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#35
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A02/03
ACB
Legia
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/03
ACB
Legia
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H24/03
ACB
Chemnitz
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A30/03
ACB
79.3Avg total
40.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.077.8-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.778.1+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.277.6-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.479.3+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.280.8+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.741.980.6-3.256%-
vs Similar (12)39.837.176.9+2.875%-
vs Weaker (9)37.438.876.2-1.333%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.2
56.7%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.1
36.8%
33.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.617.2
79.6%
73.0%17.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.4
52.6%
52.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
33.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.6
72.6%
73.0%14.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWLWWWWWLW
Bilbao
WLWWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#3
+16.8
Net rating
+5.6
121.3
Offensive rating
108.9
104.5
Defensive rating
103.3
56.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.8%
3-point %
35.1%
65.9%
Assist %
64.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.3 · 108.9Defence104.5 · 103.3Shooting56.0% · 52.6%3-point %36.8% · 35.1%Ball care16.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds35.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
0
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
27/03/24Bilbao v Chemnitz73-98
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ASyntainics MBC111-95
27/03/24ABilbao98-73
24/03/24HAlba Berlin79-84
17/03/24ABamberg106-84
13/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-86
09/03/24ACrailsheim Merlins97-82
06/03/24ABasket Zaragoza98-64
02/03/24HUlm83-82
13/02/24ABayern80-89
10/02/24HOldenburg87-69
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ABreogan80-68
27/03/24HChemnitz73-98
24/03/24HBaskonia82-80
17/03/24HJoventut Badalona92-71
13/03/24HLegia81-53
10/03/24AGranada79-87
06/03/24ALegia64-83
02/03/24AUnicaja84-101
11/02/24HValencia93-78
07/02/24HBalkan90-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game92.796.189.6
Allowed / game72.976.369.9
Point differential+19.8+19.9+19.8
Avg total165.5172.4159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+87%86%88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL80%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%88%71%
Points / game81.885.078.1
Allowed / game71.470.872.1
Point differential+10.4+14.2+6.0
Avg total153.2155.8150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1514193%92.772.9+19.8
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1613381%90.276.0+14.2
4 Bilbao1512380%81.871.4+10.4
5 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
6 Legia1410471%85.378.6+6.7
7 Varese1611569%90.184.9+5.2
8 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
9 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
10 Nymburk149564%80.974.1+6.9
11 Basket Zaragoza149564%80.679.1+1.5
12 FC Porto1610662%82.578.3+4.2
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2115231473
Bilbao1821182582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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