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Bilbao vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-98
29-16 17-25 12-30 15-27
Position#3
Record12-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#2
Record13-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game72.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals· Bilbao Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#12
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
89avg 76
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
68avg 76
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
90-63
90
63
+27
94avg 76
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
92avg 76
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 76
A02/03
ACB
Legia
#6
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 76
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 76
A10/03
ACB
Legia
#6
W
81-53
81
53
+28
79avg 76
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
94avg 76
H17/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 76
H24/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-16
12-23
27-15
19-18
13-32
18-26
26-20
24-23
18-15
34-13
14-12
28-18
14-15
28-25
23-20
23-25
22-17
19-29
20-30
15-20
14-21
20-19
15-23
15-17
18-27
22-16
24-27
29-17
19-15
11-10
22-11
22-20
22-20
22-18
26-13
28-22
15-19
16-22
23-17
162.9Avg total
83.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.469.5151.9+12.986%
Season at home (7)86.766.9153.6+19.9100%
Season away (7)78.172.1150.3+6.071%
Last 10 (10)83.179.8162.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)79.674.8154.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.585.8163.2-8.225%
vs Similar (13)77.075.2152.2+1.854%
vs Weaker (9)80.871.4152.2+9.378%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
94-90
94
90
+4
90avg 82
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
70avg 82
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 82
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 82
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 82
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 82
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
84avg 82
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
102-86
102
86
+16
101avg 82
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
106avg 82
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 82
H24/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
26-18
19-19
26-27
16-15
25-16
21-11
16-15
20-21
24-22
15-11
28-15
21-22
32-17
19-23
8-27
26-13
23-18
14-20
20-31
30-24
28-13
20-8
20-19
20-14
22-25
26-19
29-24
18-18
26-20
35-25
23-23
25-16
23-20
32-20
26-28
22-18
13-21
21-24
23-21
169.1Avg total
90.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.372.9165.1+19.493%
Season at home (7)96.176.3172.4+19.9100%
Season away (7)88.469.4157.9+19.086%
Last 10 (10)90.478.7169.1+11.780%
Last 5 (5)96.480.0176.4+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.087.0168.0-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.575.4167.8+17.192%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
BilbaoChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/02
ACB
Balkan
#35
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A02/03
ACB
Legia
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/03
ACB
Legia
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H24/03
ACB
79.6Avg total
39.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.677.5+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.537.477.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.877.1-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.079.6-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.842.079.8-4.250%-
vs Similar (13)40.536.576.9+4.077%-
vs Weaker (9)37.438.876.2-1.333%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A03/02
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A13/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/03
BBL
Basket Zaragoza
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
BBL
84.0Avg total
46.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.382.7+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.436.481.9+9.088%-
Last 30 away (14)45.238.483.6+6.971%-
Last 10 (10)46.337.784.0+8.690%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.883.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)44.241.285.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.636.482.0+9.288%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.9
53.4%
52.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
73.0%14.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.4
57.8%
52.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.3
34.3%
33.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
73.0%15.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WWWLLLWWLW
Chemnitz
LWWWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#2
+5.2
Net rating
+15.4
109.7
Offensive rating
117.3
104.6
Defensive rating
102.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
34.3%
63.8%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 117.3Defence104.6 · 102.0Shooting52.9% · 55.0%3-point %34.7% · 34.3%Ball care17.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.3% · 37.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HBaskonia82-80
17/03/24HJoventut Badalona92-71
13/03/24HLegia81-53
10/03/24AGranada79-87
06/03/24ALegia64-83
02/03/24AUnicaja84-101
11/02/24HValencia93-78
07/02/24HBalkan90-63
03/02/24AMurcia76-96
31/01/24HFC Porto90-86 OT
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HAlba Berlin79-84
17/03/24ABamberg106-84
13/03/24HBasket Zaragoza102-86
09/03/24ACrailsheim Merlins97-82
06/03/24ABasket Zaragoza98-64
02/03/24HUlm83-82
13/02/24ABayern80-89
10/02/24HOldenburg87-69
07/02/24HLeiden78-57
03/02/24ARostock94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game82.486.778.1
Allowed / game69.566.972.1
Point differential+12.9+19.9+6.0
Avg total151.9153.6150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game92.396.188.4
Allowed / game72.976.369.4
Point differential+19.4+19.9+19.0
Avg total165.1172.4157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%86%86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1413193%92.372.9+19.4
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1412286%91.675.9+15.8
4 Bilbao1412286%82.469.5+12.9
5 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
6 Legia1410471%85.378.6+6.7
7 Varese1410471%92.085.5+6.5
8 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
9 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
10 Nymburk149564%80.974.1+6.9
11 Basket Zaragoza149564%80.679.1+1.5
12 FC Porto1610662%82.578.3+4.2
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2917121573
Chemnitz1625302798
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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