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Chemnitz vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 104-100 (OT)
19-21 13-25 26-25 32-19 14-10
Position#7
Record15-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#8
Record14-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game73.6
GermanyBBLRound 31· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg
31 Oct 2026
CHE94
LUD78
10 Oct 2025
CHE111
LUD88
01 May 2025
CHE104
LUD100
06 Jan 2024
CHE85
LUD66
08 Jan 2023
CHE89
LUD80
12 Feb 2022
CHE74
LUD56
22 Dec 2020
CHE91
LUD114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
68avg 72
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
62avg 72
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
67avg 72
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 72
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 72
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-117
87
117
-30
81avg 72
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
99-98 OT
99
98
+1
94avg 72
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
60avg 72
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 72
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 72
H27/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
15-14
20-15
14-17
17-12
25-30
14-29
16-23
18-20
26-29
16-24
34-17
19-14
21-22
22-21
28-26
17-14
18-21
10-14
25-16
8-34
28-22
24-26
27-35
25-25
25-22
22-20
15-20
22-23
28-19
9-15
7-24
32-17
20-32
20-29
23-19
23-27
4-35
28-21
26-20
171.9Avg total
82.6Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.383.2163.5-3.054%
Season at home (14)83.584.7168.2-1.264%
Season away (14)77.181.8158.9-4.743%
Last 10 (10)82.689.3171.9-6.750%
Last 5 (5)85.699.2184.8-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.089.6166.6-12.615%
vs Similar (13)78.881.8160.5-3.054%
vs Weaker (4)86.277.2163.5+9.0100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
60-77
60
77
-17
50avg 62
A01/03
BBL
Dijon
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 62
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
64avg 62
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#16
L
69-77
69
77
-8
47avg 62
A16/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
66-79
66
79
-13
46avg 62
H22/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
70-64
70
64
+6
55avg 62
A28/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
82avg 62
A05/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
43avg 62
H13/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 62
A19/04
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
72avg 62
H26/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
13-16
21-14
9-28
27-22
18-24
11-15
19-27
20-16
15-24
21-21
16-22
15-13
24-19
18-21
12-24
9-19
27-23
9-13
21-24
11-24
15-22
22-12
22-6
18-19
19-25
27-22
25-28
17-19
7-29
18-14
21-17
22-16
19-25
14-13
24-20
27-25
27-19
20-23
15-11
152.5Avg total
73.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.273.6148.8+1.750%
Season at home (15)77.672.2149.8+5.460%
Season away (13)72.575.2147.7-2.638%
Last 10 (10)73.279.3152.5-6.130%
Last 5 (5)78.077.8155.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
vs Similar (21)76.077.2153.2-1.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.066.5145.5+12.588%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
ChemnitzLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A19/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
27-62
27
62
-35
H27/04
BBL
86.5Avg total
41.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.881.0-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.480.9-1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.842.281.0-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.445.186.5-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.051.294.2-8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.242.879.0-6.731%-
vs Similar (13)40.741.982.6-1.262%-
vs Weaker (4)44.038.082.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A01/03
BBL
Dijon
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#16
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A16/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H22/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A28/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H13/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/04
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H26/04
BBL
78.5Avg total
36.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.974.4+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.036.875.8+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)36.037.173.1-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.878.5-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.681.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.028.069.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (21)37.038.475.4-1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.534.172.6+4.450%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.1
51.2%
52.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.0
35.1%
33.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.414.2
69.6%
73.5%14.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.216.9
46.7%
52.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.38.6
25.8%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.012.8
61.0%
73.5%12.8
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWLWWWLW
Ludwigsburg
WWLLWLLLLL
#7
League position
#8
-9.4
Net rating
-8.4
104.9
Offensive rating
99.6
114.3
Defensive rating
108.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
42.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.1%
3-point %
25.8%
64.8%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 99.6Defence114.3 · 108.0Shooting51.9% · 42.9%3-point %35.1% · 25.8%Ball care19.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds30.0% · 34.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
5
Ludwigsburg wins
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HAlba Berlin81-103
19/04/25ASyntainics MBC95-97
16/04/25AHeidelberg66-81
13/04/25HBamberg99-98 OT
06/04/25AUlm87-117
30/03/25AFrankfurt70-65
16/03/25AWurzburg90-83
08/03/25AGottingen94-90
02/03/25HBayern72-94
11/02/25HHeidelberg72-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HHamburg89-78
19/04/25AGottingen79-74
13/04/25HAlba Berlin63-79
05/04/25ARostock89-94
28/03/25AVechta70-64
22/03/25HOldenburg66-79
16/03/25AFrankfurt69-77
12/03/25HDijon72-83
05/03/25ADijon75-88
01/03/25AWurzburg60-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL54%
HomeLWLWL64%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%64%43%
Points / game80.383.577.1
Allowed / game83.284.781.8
Point differential-3.0-1.2-4.7
Avg total163.5168.2158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game75.277.672.5
Allowed / game73.672.275.2
Point differential+1.7+5.4-2.6
Avg total148.8149.8147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2921872%82.975.7+7.1
2 Ulm2920969%88.780.9+7.8
3 Wurzburg30181260%83.379.7+3.6
4 Basketball Braunschweig29171259%84.882.5+2.2
5 Rostock29161355%81.780.4+1.2
6 Heidelberg29161355%79.680.6-1.0
7 Alba Berlin31171455%86.680.1+6.5
8 Chemnitz28151354%80.383.2-3.0
9 Vechta30161453%80.281.2-1.0
10 Syntainics MBC29151452%84.385.3-0.9
11 Hamburg29151452%81.582.7-1.2
12 Ludwigsburg28141450%75.273.6+1.7
13 Bonn30141647%83.983.6+0.3
14 Oldenburg30141647%88.889.2-0.4
15 Bamberg29111838%84.386.7-2.4
16 Frankfurt3082227%75.782.6-6.9
17 Gottingen292277%81.095.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Chemnitz1913263214104
Ludwigsburg2125251910100
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