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Wurzburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 49-67
12-18 9-22 14-7 14-20
Position#11
Record14-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record20-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.9
GermanyBBLRound 27
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Wurzburg v Bayern
08 Nov 2026
WUR73
BAY94
23 Apr 2026
WUR81
BAY90
29 Mar 2025
WUR75
BAY81
02 Jun 2024
WUR61
BAY75
14 Apr 2024
WUR82
BAY90
10 Apr 2023
WUR49
BAY67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
66avg 70
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
90-56
90
56
+34
83avg 70
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-98
83
98
-15
75avg 70
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 70
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
55avg 70
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 70
A11/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
no box
H17/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
66avg 70
A25/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
106-99 OT
106
99
+7
no box
A01/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
47-76
47
76
-29
26avg 70
A05/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
29-17
11-13
18-22
25-18
24-15
10-19
31-4
21-30
20-23
26-20
16-25
23-23
24-17
19-14
24-17
20-12
11-27
12-20
19-23
21-27
24-27
15-23
13-17
23-19
24-25
14-19
17-15
13-20
23-18
17-13
23-21
22-20
16-26
26-21
24-21
9-19
9-22
14-15
15-20
161.1Avg total
80.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.984.0166.9-1.252%
Season at home (13)85.182.2167.3+2.854%
Season away (14)80.885.7166.5-4.950%
Last 10 (10)80.081.1161.1-1.160%
Last 5 (5)79.686.0165.6-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.583.9155.4-12.425%
vs Similar (17)86.583.9170.4+2.659%
vs Weaker (2)97.586.0183.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
83avg 72
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 72
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
87avg 72
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
74-99
74
99
-25
56avg 72
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 72
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 72
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 72
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 72
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
73avg 72
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 72
A06/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
29-27
19-10
15-17
14-20
23-18
21-18
17-20
14-22
23-15
24-14
26-15
8-25
28-24
18-23
20-27
21-13
13-23
21-15
19-12
27-21
16-27
11-23
22-15
22-23
18-22
20-12
21-27
16-18
24-16
18-20
31-18
26-18
11-11
24-19
16-11
13-19
23-21
8-16
23-23
154.3Avg total
78.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.074.9156.9+7.177%
Season at home (13)85.275.8161.0+9.577%
Season away (13)78.874.1152.8+4.777%
Last 10 (10)78.076.3154.3+1.750%
Last 5 (5)78.076.0154.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.082.5159.5-5.520%
vs Similar (9)78.378.8157.1-0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.576.3159.8+7.382%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
WurzburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H17/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A25/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A01/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A05/04
BBL
82.7Avg total
40.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.943.285.1-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.841.285.0+2.671%-
Last 30 away (14)39.945.285.1-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.782.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.681.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.044.182.1-6.138%-
vs Similar (17)42.842.284.9+0.653%-
vs Weaker (2)48.548.597.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/04
Euroleague
79.4Avg total
38.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.880.2-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.439.579.9+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.741.980.6-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.879.4-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.278.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.442.180.5-3.720%-
vs Similar (9)38.939.178.0-0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.940.981.8+0.055%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.9
49.1%
54.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.5
36.2%
35.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.110.3
73.0%
75.8%10.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.7
55.8%
54.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.2
35.1%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
75.8%14.0
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWWWLLWLWW
Bayern
LWWLLWLWLW
#11
League position
#3
-5.6
Net rating
+2.2
103.9
Offensive rating
111.3
109.4
Defensive rating
109.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
54.4%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
35.1%
46.5%
Assist %
57.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 111.3Defence109.4 · 109.2Shooting50.8% · 54.4%3-point %36.2% · 35.1%Ball care18.9% · 19.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 31.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Bayern v Wurzburg83-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/23AAlba Berlin47-76
01/04/23ABamberg106-99 OT
25/03/23ARostock76-72
17/03/23HBayreuth96-89 OT
11/03/23ABonn73-94
03/03/23HUlm62-82
15/02/23HHeidelberg90-71
12/02/23ASyntainics MBC83-98
06/02/23HHamburg90-56
03/02/23HChemnitz77-74
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/23AReal Madrid67-79
04/04/23AUlm77-59
02/04/23HLudwigsburg89-72
31/03/23HMonaco81-84
28/03/23APanathinaikos76-86
26/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig74-63
24/03/23AOlimpia Milano74-99
19/03/23HSyntainics MBC87-66
17/03/23HAlba Berlin75-76
12/03/23ABayreuth80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeWWWLW54%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game82.985.180.8
Allowed / game84.082.285.7
Point differential-1.2+2.8-4.9
Avg total166.9167.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWLLWW77%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%77%77%
Points / game82.085.278.8
Allowed / game74.975.874.1
Point differential+7.1+9.5+4.7
Avg total156.9161.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2725293%89.373.6+15.6
2 Alba Berlin2725293%89.077.4+11.6
3 Bayern2620677%82.074.9+7.1
4 Oldenburg26161062%84.581.9+2.6
5 Ludwigsburg27161159%87.685.4+2.3
6 Gottingen25141156%86.486.8-0.4
7 Ulm27151256%87.984.6+3.3
8 Wurzburg27141352%82.984.0-1.2
9 Rostock27131448%83.687.9-4.3
10 Bamberg28131546%87.987.9-0.0
11 Chemnitz26111542%83.283.3-0.2
12 Heidelberg27111641%87.690.5-3.0
13 Crailsheim Merlins28101836%85.989.6-3.8
14 Hamburg28101836%81.585.4-3.9
15 Syntainics MBC2791833%82.588.1-5.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig2781930%79.884.7-4.9
17 Frankfurt2772026%78.986.6-7.7
18 Bayreuth2752219%82.289.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg129141449
Bayern182272067
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