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Hapoel Holon vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-68
23-26 23-12 14-13 19-17
Position#10
Record5-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#33
Record5-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Holon Toto Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Hapoel Holon v AEK Athens
30 Jan 2024
HHO79
AAT68
05 Jan 2021
HHO77
AAT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Holon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel HolonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolon
Date
Competition
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 71
A26/12
Super League
Hapoel Haifa
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
88avg 71
H29/12
Super League
Oostende
#30
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 71
H03/01
Champions League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#4
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 71
A06/01
Super League
Oostende
#30
L
61-71
61
71
-10
47avg 71
A09/01
Champions League
Galil Elyon
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
84avg 71
H13/01
Super League
Oostende
#30
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 71
H16/01
Champions League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
L
87-92
87
92
-5
81avg 71
H20/01
Super League
Murcia
#2
L
61-78
61
78
-17
46avg 71
A23/01
Champions League
Ironi Eilat
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
90avg 71
H26/01
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
23-20
24-26
19-23
25-25
20-16
12-18
29-16
25-17
21-24
15-14
19-15
14-20
18-16
19-22
14-18
13-14
11-25
15-15
22-17
18-17
27-20
21-13
18-22
24-14
14-18
17-19
23-21
29-27
19-26
17-9
22-30
11-13
17-31
16-16
17-18
18-25
19-16
27-13
23-17
153.4Avg total
77.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.374.7149.0-0.450%
Season at home (5)76.273.6149.8+2.660%
Season away (5)72.475.8148.2-3.440%
Last 10 (10)77.176.3153.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)79.477.0156.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.894.7175.5-13.817%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.078.0154.0-2.040%
vs Weaker (14)88.476.4164.9+12.086%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Sassari
#37
W
110-79
110
79
+31
119avg 79
H05/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 79
H09/12
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 79
A20/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 79
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 79
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 79
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 79
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 79
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 79
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 79
A27/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
24-17
26-24
29-20
24-22
25-23
16-22
26-22
18-21
20-14
18-22
23-26
17-17
18-24
22-27
21-21
26-11
19-26
26-11
19-27
16-23
23-26
18-22
23-21
20-19
14-28
18-23
22-13
22-19
20-24
29-24
20-26
18-20
22-15
18-27
21-18
26-15
26-32
23-15
20-24
171.6Avg total
86.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.777.3164.0+9.471%
Season at home (3)93.374.0167.3+19.3100%
Season away (4)81.879.8161.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)86.784.9171.6+1.840%
Last 5 (5)83.886.8170.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.187.6165.7-9.59%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.283.4167.7+0.844%
vs Weaker (10)90.576.9167.4+13.680%
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
Hapoel HolonAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A26/12
Super League
Hapoel Haifa
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/12
Super League
Oostende
#30
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H03/01
Champions League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A06/01
Super League
Oostende
#30
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A09/01
Champions League
Galil Elyon
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/01
Super League
Oostende
#30
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/01
Champions League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H20/01
Super League
Murcia
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A23/01
Champions League
Ironi Eilat
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H26/01
Super League
78.3Avg total
38.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.582.9-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.241.385.5+2.965%-
Last 30 away (13)37.541.879.4-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.178.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.847.888.7-7.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.039.577.5-1.530%-
vs Weaker (14)43.940.384.2+3.671%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#37
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H05/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H09/12
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/01
Basket League
84.3Avg total
42.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.182.0-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.686.9+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.041.877.8-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.484.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.285.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.844.780.5-8.99%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.040.083.0+3.067%-
vs Weaker (10)41.641.282.8+0.460%-
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Holontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Holon: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.3
50.9%
51.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.814.4
69.2%
74.5%14.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.223.4
50.6%
51.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.3
32.3%
34.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws25.919.8
76.4%
74.5%19.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Holon
WLLWWLLWWL
AEK Athens
WLLLLWLLWW
#10
League position
#33
+1.7
Net rating
+1.6
105.3
Offensive rating
111.4
103.6
Defensive rating
109.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
40.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.3%
3-point %
32.3%
67.5%
Assist %
63.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 111.4Defence103.6 · 109.8Shooting50.0% · 50.0%3-point %32.3% · 32.3%Ball care16.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds28.5% · 40.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Hapoel Holon   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hapoel Holon wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
05/01/21Hapoel Holon v AEK Athens77-71
04/11/20AEK Athens v Hapoel Holon100-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24HIroni Eilat87-71
23/01/24AMurcia61-78
20/01/24HBnei Herzliya87-92
16/01/24HOostende78-72
13/01/24HGalil Elyon84-72
09/01/24AOostende61-71
06/01/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan65-76
03/01/24HOostende80-70
29/12/23HHapoel Haifa86-75
26/12/23AIroni Kiryat Ata82-86
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AAS Karditsas95-86
23/01/24APromitheas79-80
20/01/24HAris91-93
13/01/24AApollon Patras74-83
07/01/24HOlympiacos80-92
30/12/23ALavrio90-75
24/12/23APeristeri78-89
20/12/23ALudwigsburg79-83
09/12/23HMaroussi91-89
05/12/23HSassari110-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Holon
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game74.376.272.4
Allowed / game74.773.675.8
Point differential-0.4+2.6-3.4
Avg total149.0149.8148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game86.793.381.8
Allowed / game77.374.079.8
Point differential+9.4+19.3+2.0
Avg total164.0167.3161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia76186%85.069.7+15.3
2 Hapoel Jerusalem76186%84.373.6+10.7
3 Dijon75271%86.975.7+11.1
4 Unicaja75271%82.773.1+9.6
5 AEK Athens75271%86.777.3+9.4
6 Tenerife75271%85.177.1+8.0
7 Strasbourg107370%82.479.5+2.9
8 Cholet139469%84.282.9+1.3
9 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
10 Promitheas96367%85.077.8+7.2
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
13 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
14 Ludwigsburg106460%82.279.1+3.1
15 Bonn74357%83.778.4+5.3
16 Galatasaray95456%83.982.2+1.7
17 Peristeri95456%81.282.4-1.2
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Karsiyaka105550%84.083.4+0.6
23 Hapoel Holon105550%74.374.7-0.4
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
30 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
31 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
32 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
33 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
34 Tofas104640%86.886.2+0.6
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hapoel Holon2323141979
AEK Athens2612131768
← all games of the day
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