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Murcia vs Hapoel Holon Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-61
13-11 31-17 16-16 18-17
Position#2
Record5-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game71.2
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record5-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game74.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2023
Meetings · Murcia v Hapoel Holon
23 Jan 2024
MUR78
HHO61
11 Oct 2017
MUR78
HHO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Holon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 70
A02/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-85 OT
77
85
-8
no box
H10/12
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
76avg 70
H13/12
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 70
A17/12
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 70
A20/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
54avg 70
H22/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 70
A29/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 70
A06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
73-61
73
61
+12
61avg 70
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
74avg 70
A20/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
21-15
13-26
25-22
7-23
19-18
20-12
24-17
17-12
23-18
26-27
21-18
31-16
15-18
14-18
23-22
23-17
25-28
26-11
16-19
11-20
16-24
18-25
20-19
13-19
26-21
21-23
27-16
25-21
16-32
17-25
15-20
19-16
17-10
16-25
21-10
16-27
28-17
19-30
17-17
159.9Avg total
79.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.271.2157.3+15.083%
Season at home (3)91.370.3161.7+21.0100%
Season away (3)81.072.0153.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)79.180.8159.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)75.683.4159.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.690.0169.6-10.440%
vs Similar (10)79.474.9154.3+4.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.175.8160.9+9.471%
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolon
Date
Competition
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#12
W
103-80
103
80
+23
106avg 71
H14/12
Super League
Bursaspor
#24
L
74-75
74
75
-1
67avg 71
H20/12
Champions League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 71
A26/12
Super League
Hapoel Haifa
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
88avg 71
H29/12
Super League
Oostende
#30
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 71
H03/01
Champions League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#4
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 71
A06/01
Super League
Oostende
#30
L
61-71
61
71
-10
47avg 71
A09/01
Champions League
Galil Elyon
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
84avg 71
H13/01
Super League
Oostende
#30
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 71
H16/01
Champions League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
L
87-92
87
92
-5
81avg 71
H20/01
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
22-21
21-28
28-17
19-10
17-18
24-27
14-20
16-17
23-20
24-26
19-23
25-25
20-16
12-18
29-16
25-17
21-24
15-14
19-15
14-20
18-16
19-22
14-18
13-14
11-25
15-15
22-17
18-17
27-20
21-13
18-22
24-14
14-18
17-19
23-21
29-27
19-26
17-9
22-30
156.9Avg total
80.0Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.874.3150.1+1.456%
Season at home (5)76.273.6149.8+2.660%
Season away (4)75.275.2150.5+0.050%
Last 10 (10)80.076.9156.9+3.150%
Last 5 (5)75.076.6151.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)83.095.7178.7-12.717%
vs Similar (10)76.078.0154.0-2.040%
vs Weaker (14)88.577.1165.6+11.486%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
MurciaHapoel Holon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A02/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H10/12
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/12
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/12
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H22/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
ACB
77.6Avg total
38.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.275.6+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.034.272.2+3.864%-
Last 30 away (16)38.639.978.5-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.177.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.478.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.640.474.0-6.820%-
vs Similar (10)36.936.473.3+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.136.477.6+4.771%-
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H14/12
Super League
Bursaspor
#24
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H20/12
Champions League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A26/12
Super League
Hapoel Haifa
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/12
Super League
Oostende
#30
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H03/01
Champions League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A06/01
Super League
Oostende
#30
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A09/01
Champions League
Galil Elyon
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/01
Super League
Oostende
#30
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/01
Champions League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H20/01
Super League
78.6Avg total
40.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.083.3-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.242.385.4+0.961%-
Last 30 away (12)38.341.780.0-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.978.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.476.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.248.789.8-7.533%-
vs Similar (10)38.039.577.5-1.530%-
vs Weaker (14)43.641.084.6+2.671%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.9
48.8%
51.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.9
35.7%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.913.4
74.9%
74.5%13.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Holontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Holon: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.6
51.8%
51.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.5
32.3%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.215.7
70.7%
74.5%15.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWLWWWLL
Hapoel Holon
LWWLLWWLLW
#2
League position
#10
-0.4
Net rating
+5.3
103.7
Offensive rating
108.0
104.1
Defensive rating
102.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.7%
3-point %
32.3%
62.9%
Assist %
69.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 108.0Defence104.1 · 102.7Shooting50.7% · 50.6%3-point %35.7% · 32.3%Ball care17.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Hapoel Holon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
0
Hapoel Holon wins
DateGameScore
12/12/17Hapoel Holon v Murcia75-81
11/10/17Murcia v Hapoel Holon78-76
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AGran Canaria80-91
14/01/24HReal Madrid73-61
06/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra73-98
29/12/23AObradoiro CAB87-79
22/12/23HUnicaja65-88
20/12/23ATofas90-75
17/12/23ABreogan83-74
13/12/23HTortona87-75
10/12/23HValencia77-85 OT
02/12/23ABasket Zaragoza76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HBnei Herzliya87-92
16/01/24HOostende78-72
13/01/24HGalil Elyon84-72
09/01/24AOostende61-71
06/01/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan65-76
03/01/24HOostende80-70
29/12/23HHapoel Haifa86-75
26/12/23AIroni Kiryat Ata82-86
20/12/23HBursaspor74-75
14/12/23HHapoel Beer Sheva103-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game86.291.381.0
Allowed / game71.270.372.0
Point differential+15.0+21.0+9.0
Avg total157.3161.7153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Holon
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game75.876.275.2
Allowed / game74.373.675.2
Point differential+1.4+2.6+0.0
Avg total150.1149.8150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
2 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
3 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
4 Dijon75271%86.975.7+11.1
5 AEK Athens75271%86.777.3+9.4
6 Tenerife75271%85.177.1+8.0
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
9 Promitheas96367%85.077.8+7.2
10 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
11 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
12 Cholet128467%83.182.1+1.0
13 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
14 Peristeri85362%82.083.1-1.1
15 Ludwigsburg106460%82.279.1+3.1
16 Bonn74357%83.778.4+5.3
17 Galatasaray95456%83.982.2+1.7
18 Hapoel Holon95456%75.874.3+1.4
19 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
20 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
21 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Karsiyaka105550%84.083.4+0.6
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
30 Tofas94544%88.785.9+2.8
31 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
32 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
33 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1331161878
Hapoel Holon1117161761
← all games of the day
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