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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 12:45
Final 80-92
16-23 23-26 18-22 23-21
Position#9
Record6-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#3
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game67.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 77
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 77
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-64
86
64
+22
79avg 77
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#10
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 77
H25/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
95-100
95
100
-5
92avg 77
A02/12
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
110-79
110
79
+31
119avg 77
H05/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 77
H09/12
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 77
A20/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 77
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 77
A30/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
24-21
24-11
18-16
18-25
19-23
29-15
19-23
17-16
19-10
25-22
25-16
17-25
19-20
28-8
26-17
18-26
22-33
27-19
28-22
31-18
24-17
26-24
29-20
24-22
25-23
16-22
26-22
18-21
20-14
18-22
23-26
17-17
18-24
22-27
21-21
26-11
19-26
26-11
19-27
170.6Avg total
89.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.882.8170.5+5.050%
Season at home (6)95.081.5176.5+13.583%
Season away (6)80.584.0164.5-3.517%
Last 10 (10)89.780.9170.6+8.860%
Last 5 (5)89.683.0172.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.885.0161.8-8.217%
vs Similar (9)83.682.7166.2+0.956%
vs Weaker (9)92.376.2168.6+16.189%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
77-69
77
69
+8
71avg 82
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
83-54
83
54
+29
83avg 82
A11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#14
L
56-63
56
63
-7
46avg 82
H15/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
66avg 82
A19/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 82
A22/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
84-65
84
65
+19
65avg 82
H24/12
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
94-67
94
67
+27
103avg 82
A29/12
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
90avg 82
H31/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
83avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 82
H04/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-8
17-21
13-15
23-25
22-13
22-15
21-13
18-13
15-14
11-21
12-12
18-16
19-17
21-11
15-19
12-22
25-18
24-19
22-20
14-16
33-17
18-11
15-18
18-19
19-25
21-18
27-8
27-16
20-11
21-16
18-27
26-17
18-19
22-16
23-15
16-24
17-21
17-15
22-22
19-15
146.3Avg total
78.5Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.967.2153.2+18.792%
Season at home (6)80.270.3150.5+9.883%
Season away (6)91.764.2155.8+27.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.567.8146.3+10.780%
Last 5 (5)83.470.0153.4+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)72.572.6145.1-0.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.170.2155.3+14.884%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H25/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/12
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H05/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H09/12
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A30/12
Basket League
84.0Avg total
42.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.881.9-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.441.886.2+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)35.141.977.0-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.884.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.843.078.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (9)43.441.685.0+1.956%-
vs Weaker (9)42.440.683.0+1.967%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#14
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H15/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A19/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A22/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H24/12
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/12
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H31/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H02/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/01
Euroleague
73.2Avg total
40.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.875.6+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.434.974.2+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)42.834.677.5+8.277%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.673.2+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.875.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)36.934.871.7+2.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.234.777.9+8.479%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.9
53.6%
52.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.3
34.0%
33.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.919.0
76.3%
71.5%19.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.1
55.7%
52.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.3
35.9%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.8%
71.5%13.9
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLWWLWWLW
Olympiacos
WWWWWWLLWW
#9
League position
#3
+11.6
Net rating
+16.7
117.3
Offensive rating
114.3
105.6
Defensive rating
97.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.0%
3-point %
35.9%
67.9%
Assist %
77.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 114.3Defence105.6 · 97.6Shooting52.7% · 54.9%3-point %34.0% · 35.9%Ball care15.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds36.7% · 34.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
9
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ALavrio90-75
24/12/23APeristeri78-89
20/12/23ALudwigsburg79-83
09/12/23HMaroussi91-89
05/12/23HSassari110-79
02/12/23APromitheas95-100
25/11/23HPAOK90-70
22/11/23HSzczecin86-64
20/11/23APanathinaikos85-86
13/11/23HKolossos Rhodes93-74
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HMonaco75-73
02/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-74
31/12/23HAris85-71
29/12/23AAlba Berlin94-67
24/12/23HApollon Patras84-65
22/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne85-73
19/12/23AVirtus Bologna67-69
15/12/23HValencia56-63
11/12/23AAS Karditsas83-54
08/12/23HBayern77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game87.895.080.5
Allowed / game82.881.584.0
Point differential+5.0+13.5-3.5
Avg total170.5176.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game85.980.291.7
Allowed / game67.270.364.2
Point differential+18.7+9.8+27.5
Avg total153.2150.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Panathinaikos12120100%84.568.6+15.9
3 Olympiacos1211192%85.967.2+18.7
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W54180%95.268.4+26.8
5 Promitheas138562%87.583.2+4.3
6 Klaipedos Neptunas W53260%75.864.2+11.6
7 Peristeri127558%81.874.9+6.8
8 Aris137654%76.875.7+1.1
9 AEK Athens126650%87.882.8+5.0
10 PAOK136746%76.179.2-3.1
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W52340%56.475.0-18.6
12 Maroussi135838%83.089.0-6.0
13 Kolossos Rhodes124833%81.287.3-6.1
14 Lavrio124833%77.888.8-10.9
15 AS Karditsas1331023%71.978.5-6.6
16 Apollon Patras1321115%66.383.2-16.8
17 Siauliai W4040%64.880.8-16.0
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1623182380
Olympiacos2326222192
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