Herlev Wolfpack vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 83-56

17-16 23-16 22-17 21-7

Position#5

Record9-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game83.1

Herlev Wolfpack 🏆

EBAA Aarhus

Position#8

Record4-13

FormLWLLW

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game89.4

BasketligaenRound 22

Other2019-20

Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v EBAA Aarhus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

EBAA Aarhus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

77-81

-4

A14/11

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

84-65

+19

H23/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

70-87

-17

A09/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

99-96

A15/12

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

100-99

100

H29/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

64-94

-30

A11/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

85-82

H15/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

84-88

-4

A23/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

68-87

-19

H25/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

99-80

+19

A12/02

Basketligaen

18-25

25-16

13-23

21-17

21-16

16-13

18-22

29-14

26-16

15-24

18-26

11-21

22-20

21-29

32-20

24-27

27-19

28-20

27-33

18-27

17-25

13-18

18-20

16-31

21-21

18-26

31-17

15-18

24-25

19-21

20-17

21-25

17-22

12-26

20-23

19-16

18-24

20-23

39-16

22-17

168.9Avg total

83.0Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	81.3	83.1	164.3	-1.8	50%
Season at home (8)	79.9	80.6	160.5	-0.8	62%
Season away (10)	82.4	85.0	167.4	-2.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	85.9	168.9	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	86.2	166.2	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	72.8	94.1	166.9	-21.3	13%
vs Similar (6)	81.3	79.0	160.3	+2.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	85.6	76.4	162.0	+9.1	89%

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EBAA Aarhus Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

92-83

A09/11

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

78-93

-15

H17/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

50-86

-36

A24/11

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

87-68

+19

H15/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

65-92

-27

H20/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

99-100

100

-1

A29/12

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

86-78

H12/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

69-79

-10

H15/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

69-86

-17

A26/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

87-84

H02/02

Basketligaen

28-20

21-17

16-23

27-23

22-19

15-24

22-18

19-32

12-24

14-19

15-23

9-20

17-18

23-17

21-15

26-18

12-30

18-18

20-18

15-26

19-27

20-28

33-27

27-18

22-15

16-18

23-18

25-27

27-22

10-7

14-25

18-25

16-19

18-15

18-19

17-33

14-17

13-16

37-23

23-28

163.1Avg total

78.2Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	74.5	89.4	163.9	-14.9	24%
Season at home (10)	75.4	84.8	160.2	-9.4	30%
Season away (7)	73.3	96.0	169.3	-22.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	84.9	163.1	-6.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	85.4	167.4	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	70.8	92.2	163.0	-21.4	5%
vs Similar (7)	76.0	77.9	153.9	-1.9	57%
vs Weaker (4)	83.0	75.2	158.2	+7.8	75%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Herlev WolfpackEBAA Aarhus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.3	21.4	40.8	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.7	23.5	40.3	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	21.4	39.4	-3.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	22.9	41.6	-4.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.4	24.8	42.3	-7.4	11%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	16.5	39.2	+6.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.3	41.7	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.8	39.2	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.3	23.8	42.1	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.5	21.2	44.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.2	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.6	39.1	-2.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	23.1	40.4	-5.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	17.9	34.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	16.8	32.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.7	22.5	39.2	-5.8	16%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.5	50%	-

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

43-41

A14/11

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

37-29

H23/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

41-40

A09/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

43-49

-6

A15/12

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

55-39

+16

H29/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

30-43

-13

A11/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

39-47

-8

H15/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

43-46

-3

A23/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

29-48

-19

H25/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

38-47

-9

A12/02

Basketligaen

82.7Avg total

39.8Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	43.5	81.8	-5.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.8	42.4	81.2	-3.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	37.9	44.3	82.2	-6.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	42.9	82.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	46.2	82.0	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.1	47.3	82.4	-12.3	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.0	39.3	82.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	44%	-

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

49-37

+12

A09/11

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

37-43

-6

H17/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

26-43

-17

A24/11

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

40-35

H15/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

30-48

-18

H20/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

39-55

-16

A29/12

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

38-33

H12/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

37-29

H15/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

34-34

A26/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

27-33

-6

H02/02

Basketligaen

74.7Avg total

35.7Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	43.8	80.2	-7.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	41.9	78.6	-5.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.0	46.0	82.0	-10.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	39.0	74.7	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	36.8	71.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.1	47.3	81.4	-13.2	11%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.7	39.9	79.6	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	34.2	75.2	+6.8	75%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.4	41.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.7	45.3	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	18.6	44.2	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.3	23.1	42.4	-3.9	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	16.3	37.0	+4.3	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.7	18.4	43.1	+6.2	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	22.1	40.1	-4.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	24.6	42.4	-6.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.4	47.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.2	23.3	42.5	-4.1	26%	-
vs Similar (7)	14.1	19.7	33.9	-5.6	14%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	20.5	39.8	-1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.6	21.9	40.6	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.5	23.6	42.1	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	23.3	41.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	21.9	40.6	-3.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.4	39.2	+0.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	25.0	45.6	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	26.2	48.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.5	21.6	39.1	-4.2	37%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	18.3	40.4	+3.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	20.5	43.2	+2.2	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.2	82.3	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.2	42.1	82.3	-1.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.9	42.3	82.3	-2.4	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	43.0	86.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.0	84.2	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.7	46.7	84.5	-9.0	13%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	45.1	36.4	81.6	+8.7	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	42.8	80.1	-5.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	41.7	78.8	-4.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	44.0	81.6	-6.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	45.9	88.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	48.6	95.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	36.7	44.9	81.6	-8.2	26%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.3	38.0	74.3	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Herlev Wolfpack wins

EBAA Aarhus wins

Date	Game	Score
29/12/19	Herlev Wolfpack v EBAA Aarhus	100-99
27/10/19	EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack	63-78
08/03/19	Herlev Wolfpack v EBAA Aarhus	70-72
01/03/19	EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack	88-69
27/01/19	EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack	56-88
08/12/18	Herlev Wolfpack v EBAA Aarhus	86-99
16/12/17	EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack	69-75

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/20	A	Amager	99-80
25/01/20	H	Team FOG Naestved	68-87
23/01/20	A	Vaerlose	84-88
15/01/20	H	Copenhagen	85-82
11/01/20	A	Horsens	64-94
29/12/19	H	EBAA Aarhus	100-99
15/12/19	A	Bakken Bears	99-96
09/12/19	A	Svendborg	70-87
23/11/19	H	Amager	84-65
14/11/19	A	Team FOG Naestved	77-81

EBAA Aarhuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/20	H	Vaerlose	87-84
26/01/20	A	Vaerlose	69-86
15/01/20	H	Svendborg	69-79
12/01/20	H	Amager	86-78
29/12/19	A	Herlev Wolfpack	99-100
20/12/19	H	Bakken Bears	65-92
15/12/19	H	Copenhagen	87-68
24/11/19	A	Team FOG Naestved	50-86
17/11/19	H	Amager	78-93
09/11/19	A	Copenhagen	92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	50%
Home	WWWWL	62%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	50%	62%	40%
Points / game	81.3	79.9	82.4
Allowed / game	83.1	80.6	85.0
Point differential	-1.8	-0.8	-2.6
Avg total	164.3	160.5	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	12%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

EBAA Aarhus

Basketligaen 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	24%
Home	WLWLW	30%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	24%	30%	14%
Points / game	74.5	75.4	73.3
Allowed / game	89.4	84.8	96.0
Point differential	-14.9	-9.4	-22.7
Avg total	163.9	160.2	169.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	19	16	3	84%	95.5	76.9	+18.6
2	Randers	20	16	4	80%	95.4	83.7	+11.7
3	Horsens	19	15	4	79%	91.3	76.2	+15.1
4	Svendborg	19	11	8	58%	83.7	81.1	+2.6
5	Herlev Wolfpack	18	9	9	50%	81.3	83.1	-1.8
6	Team FOG Naestved	21	10	11	48%	82.7	78.7	+4.0
7	Vaerlose	19	8	11	42%	85.4	88.4	-3.0
8	EBAA Aarhus	17	4	13	24%	74.5	89.4	-14.9
9	Amager	16	2	14	12%	75.3	98.0	-22.7
10	Copenhagen	18	2	16	11%	76.3	93.1	-16.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Herlev Wolfpack	17	23	22	21	83
EBAA Aarhus	16	16	17	7	56

← all games of the day

Herlev Wolfpack vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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