Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2020

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 64-78

18-24 16-17 14-20 16-17

Position#7

Record3-3

FormLWWLL

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game81.2

Herlev Wolfpack

Vaerlose 🏆

Position#6

Record2-5

FormLWWLL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game89.3

BasketligaenRound 8

Other2020-21

Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager

#10

99-80

+19

A12/02

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

83-56

+27

H15/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

66-121

121

-55

H28/02

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

95-102

102

-7

A06/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

82-77

H08/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

74-91

-17

H11/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

66-59

A16/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

84-69

+15

H24/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

70-82

-12

H31/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

57-109

109

-52

A08/11

Basketligaen

18-24

20-23

39-16

22-17

17-16

23-16

22-17

21-7

14-26

18-35

21-28

13-32

19-18

27-21

23-28

26-35

34-11

7-26

21-16

20-24

15-17

21-24

15-26

23-24

15-22

15-19

16-6

20-12

21-25

21-15

16-12

26-17

20-20

19-18

20-21

11-23

18-30

9-17

16-33

14-29

162.2Avg total

77.6Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	72.2	81.2	153.3	-9.0	50%
Season at home (4)	77.5	79.8	157.2	-2.2	50%
Season away (2)	61.5	84.0	145.5	-22.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	84.6	162.2	-7.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	82.0	152.2	-11.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	72.1	93.5	165.6	-21.4	12%
vs Similar (3)	87.0	84.3	171.3	+2.7	33%
vs Weaker (11)	84.7	74.0	158.7	+10.7	91%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

EBAA Aarhus

84-87

-3

A02/02

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

96-84

+12

A11/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

82-74

H16/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

72-116

116

-44

A03/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

74-106

106

-32

H06/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

88-96

-8

A11/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

82-77

H18/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

87-72

+15

H23/10

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

76-83

-7

A31/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

71-75

-4

H06/11

Basketligaen

17-14

16-13

23-37

28-23

24-22

26-27

26-9

20-26

24-19

20-21

19-21

19-13

20-29

19-24

18-33

15-30

22-27

20-32

14-21

18-26

20-28

26-28

23-18

19-22

19-21

19-16

20-15

24-25

25-25

23-13

19-18

20-16

19-27

17-20

28-12

12-24

18-19

11-23

22-18

20-15

168.2Avg total

81.2Scored

87.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	78.6	89.3	167.9	-10.7	29%
Season at home (4)	78.5	82.5	161.0	-4.0	50%
Season away (3)	78.7	98.3	177.0	-19.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	87.0	168.2	-5.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	80.6	161.4	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	79.3	97.2	176.5	-17.9	0%
vs Similar (5)	86.4	86.0	172.4	+0.4	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	87.2	78.5	165.7	+8.7	70%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Herlev WolfpackVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.3	39.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	23.5	42.4	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.8	40.6	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.9	24.0	40.9	-7.1	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.7	42.7	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.1	43.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.0	44.2	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.6	24.8	45.4	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.1	18.3	40.4	+3.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.7	39.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.5	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.9	41.7	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.1	24.5	42.5	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	30%	-

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager

#10

38-47

-9

A12/02

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

40-32

H15/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

32-61

-29

H28/02

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

46-39

A06/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

41-37

H08/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

36-41

-5

H11/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

30-41

-11

A16/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

42-40

H24/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-38

H31/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

27-47

-20

A08/11

Basketligaen

79.4Avg total

37.1Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	42.6	80.4	-4.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	41.3	79.3	-3.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	43.9	81.6	-6.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	42.3	79.4	-5.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	41.4	76.2	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.2	46.1	81.2	-10.9	31%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.3	41.0	85.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+1.9	64%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

EBAA Aarhus

33-27

A02/02

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

50-49

A11/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

44-40

H16/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-53

-14

A03/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-59

-17

H06/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

46-56

-10

A11/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-37

H18/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

48-38

+10

H23/10

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

36-47

-11

A31/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

29-42

-13

H06/11

Basketligaen

85.3Avg total

40.5Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.9	84.6	-3.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	43.5	84.1	-2.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	44.3	85.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	44.8	85.3	-4.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	44.0	83.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.7	49.3	87.9	-10.6	7%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.2	40.6	83.8	+2.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	80%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.7	41.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.5	40.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.9	42.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.6	36.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.6	23.1	41.6	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.8	17.8	41.6	+6.0	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.8	42.7	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.3	44.0	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.2	38.6	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.9	40.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	23.3	42.1	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.3	24.4	42.7	-6.1	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	24.3	44.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.1	44.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.7	42.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	24.4	45.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.4	24.2	47.6	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.7	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	42.8	83.2	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	44.3	84.8	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	42.3	82.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	40.6	76.0	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	36.9	47.4	84.3	-10.6	12%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.7	43.3	86.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.8	36.0	80.8	+8.8	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	44.8	86.9	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	43.0	84.3	-1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	46.7	89.5	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	42.2	82.9	-1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	36.6	78.0	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	40.6	47.9	88.5	-7.3	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.2	45.4	88.6	-2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.7	39.9	83.6	+3.8	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
23/01/20	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	88-84
11/10/19	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	96-93
13/02/19	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	84-74
02/01/19	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	93-84
02/11/18	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	84-109
06/10/18	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	95-86
09/03/15	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	77-105
16/01/15	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	101-66
16/11/14	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	73-84
29/03/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	77-76

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/20	A	Bakken Bears	57-109
31/10/20	H	Svendborg	70-82
24/10/20	H	Bears Academy	84-69
16/10/20	A	Copenhagen	66-59
11/10/20	H	Team FOG Naestved	74-91
08/10/20	H	Amager	82-77
06/03/20	A	Copenhagen	95-102
28/02/20	H	Bakken Bears	66-121
15/02/20	H	EBAA Aarhus	83-56
12/02/20	A	Amager	99-80

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/20	H	Team FOG Naestved	71-75
31/10/20	A	Amager	76-83
23/10/20	H	Copenhagen	87-72
18/10/20	H	Bears Academy	82-77
11/10/20	A	Horsens	88-96
06/10/20	H	Bakken Bears	74-106
03/10/20	A	Svendborg	72-116
16/02/20	H	Amager	82-74
11/02/20	A	Copenhagen	96-84
02/02/20	A	EBAA Aarhus	84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	50%
Home	WLWL	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	72.2	77.5	61.5
Allowed / game	81.2	79.8	84.0
Point differential	-9.0	-2.2	-22.5
Avg total	153.3	157.2	145.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	29%
Home	LWWL	50%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	29%	50%	0%
Points / game	78.6	78.5	78.7
Allowed / game	89.3	82.5	98.3
Point differential	-10.7	-4.0	-19.7
Avg total	167.9	161.0	177.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	7	6	1	86%	105.1	71.9	+33.3
2	Randers	5	4	1	80%	97.6	92.8	+4.8
3	Svendborg	8	6	2	75%	91.9	81.1	+10.8
4	Team FOG Naestved	7	5	2	71%	76.9	75.6	+1.3
5	Horsens	6	4	2	67%	90.7	82.5	+8.2
6	Herlev Wolfpack	6	3	3	50%	72.2	81.2	-9.0
7	Vaerlose	7	2	5	29%	78.6	89.3	-10.7
8	Bears Academy	6	1	5	17%	79.8	87.5	-7.7
9	Copenhagen	6	1	5	17%	65.7	85.0	-19.3
10	Amager	8	1	7	12%	77.0	90.8	-13.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Herlev Wolfpack	18	16	14	16	64
Vaerlose	24	17	20	17	78

← all games of the day

Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature