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Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 72-70
23-15 19-14 13-28 17-13
Position#9
Record7-18
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#10
Record7-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game89.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose
11 Mar 2026
HERL88
VAER95
19 Feb 2026
HERL79
VAER87
05 Apr 2025
HERL72
VAER70
27 Dec 2024
HERL80
VAER105
14 Oct 2023
HERL70
VAER79
03 Feb 2023
HERL62
VAER84
01 Apr 2022
HERL93
VAER95
13 Oct 2021
HERL89
VAER69
03 Mar 2021
HERL77
VAER100
14 Nov 2020
HERL64
VAER78
18 Mar 2020
HERL v VAER
upcoming
13 Feb 2019
HERL84
VAER74
06 Oct 2018
HERL95
VAER86
16 Jan 2015
HERL101
VAER66
29 Mar 2014
HERL77
VAER76
18 Mar 2014
HERL77
VAER70
08 Mar 2014
HERL95
VAER90
12 Oct 2013
HERL88
VAER75
01 Mar 2012
HERL92
VAER85
12 Nov 2011
HERL62
VAER74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 73
H17/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
72-105
72
105
-33
68avg 73
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
91avg 73
A01/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 73
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
68avg 73
A13/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
77avg 73
H05/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
80-100
80
100
-20
75avg 73
A08/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
63avg 73
H12/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 73
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
86-71
86
71
+15
90avg 73
A26/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
17-17
22-20
14-26
20-28
18-28
18-31
16-18
26-28
27-24
16-33
26-16
24-14
20-22
22-8
14-29
21-30
23-16
15-20
16-27
22-30
22-17
23-19
14-13
19-28
27-20
22-16
12-36
9-27
24-21
21-23
21-12
19-26
18-28
23-22
16-24
28-18
26-16
18-18
14-19
169.1Avg total
79.6Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.388.7168.0-9.428%
Season at home (13)78.187.1165.2-9.031%
Season away (12)80.690.4171.0-9.825%
Last 10 (10)79.689.5169.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)79.686.6166.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.690.4166.1-14.812%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.286.1169.2-2.950%
vs Weaker (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
93-125
93
125
-32
82avg 69
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 69
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
49avg 69
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 69
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
69avg 69
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
57avg 69
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 69
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
64avg 69
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 69
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
92avg 69
H31/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-35
22-32
25-29
23-29
20-21
24-23
22-14
18-19
19-23
13-23
11-23
18-17
16-23
16-25
19-25
18-16
20-20
26-27
23-27
13-30
20-21
23-32
9-24
25-21
28-19
20-27
16-22
36-12
22-20
21-13
15-25
14-15
21-30
13-16
28-25
17-22
28-25
28-21
10-21
23-22
174.0Avg total
81.7Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.789.4168.1-10.728%
Season at home (13)80.186.5166.5-6.438%
Season away (12)77.292.6169.8-15.317%
Last 10 (10)81.792.3174.0-10.630%
Last 5 (5)85.688.4174.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.992.9166.8-18.911%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.686.1172.7+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Herlev WolfpackVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A01/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A13/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H12/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A26/03
Basketligaen
89.8Avg total
43.3Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.585.9-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.143.083.1-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)42.946.189.1-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)43.346.589.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.044.583.5-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.443.988.3+0.533%-
vs Weaker (1)32.044.076.0-12.00%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H31/03
Basketligaen
89.9Avg total
42.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.044.384.3-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.243.784.9-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)38.844.883.6-6.027%-
Last 10 (10)42.347.689.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.889.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.445.682.0-9.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.442.587.9+2.960%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.221.7
49.1%
51.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.5
31.9%
32.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.2
73.6%
70.2%16.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.0
51.9%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.8
32.5%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.412.5
58.4%
70.2%12.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
WLLLWLWLLL
Vaerlose
WLLWLLLLWL
#9
League position
#10
-11.9
Net rating
-12.7
96.0
Offensive rating
98.9
107.9
Defensive rating
111.6
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
22.9%
Turnover %
22.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.9%
3-point %
32.5%
64.2%
Assist %
58.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 98.9Defence107.9 · 111.6Shooting48.7% · 50.6%3-point %31.9% · 32.5%Ball care22.9% · 22.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 32.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
8
Vaerlose wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25ABears Academy86-71
15/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus76-100
12/03/25HAmager75-83
08/03/25AVaerlose80-100
05/03/25HBears Academy81-79
13/02/25AAmager75-93
07/02/25HHolbaek-Stenhus80-73
01/02/25ABakken Bears95-101
30/01/25ARanders72-105
17/01/25HCopenhagen76-90
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus100-98 OT
22/03/25HAmager79-93
12/03/25ABears Academy72-73
08/03/25HHerlev Wolfpack100-80
03/03/25AHolbaek-Stenhus77-98
13/02/25AHolbaek-Stenhus82-104
08/02/25HHorsens69-89
01/02/25ACopenhagen61-86
30/01/25HAmager84-77
16/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW28%
HomeLWWLL31%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%31%25%
Points / game79.378.180.6
Allowed / game88.787.190.4
Point differential-9.4-9.0-9.8
Avg total168.0165.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%15%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW28%
HomeWLWLW38%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%38%17%
Points / game78.780.177.2
Allowed / game89.486.592.6
Point differential-10.7-6.4-15.3
Avg total168.1166.5169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2722581%88.875.6+13.1
2 Horsens2720774%87.079.8+7.1
3 Bakken Bears2719870%93.381.1+12.2
4 Randers2719870%92.181.6+10.6
5 Team FOG Naestved2719870%94.788.7+6.0
6 Amager24101442%87.391.0-3.8
7 Holbaek-Stenhus2581732%82.391.7-9.4
8 Copenhagen2781930%81.386.9-5.5
9 Herlev Wolfpack2571828%79.388.7-9.4
10 Vaerlose2571828%78.789.4-10.7
11 Bears Academy2542116%75.289.2-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack2319131772
Vaerlose1514281370
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