Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Apr 2022

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 93-95

24-25 20-17 24-22 25-31

Position#9

Record4-17

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game90.8

Herlev Wolfpack

Vaerlose 🏆

Position#6

Record8-13

FormLWLWW

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game87.3

Basketligaen

Other2021-22

Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

87-103

103

-16

A13/01

Basketligaen

Randers

96-107

107

-11

H15/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

74-88

-14

A18/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

74-103

103

-29

A28/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

86-99

-13

A06/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

54-77

-23

H09/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

72-102

102

-30

A19/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

80-85

-5

H12/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

64-74

-10

A20/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

94-99

-5

H25/03

Basketligaen

14-23

18-28

24-22

31-30

26-22

25-29

20-27

25-29

20-22

18-21

18-18

18-27

23-22

21-26

12-31

18-24

20-22

12-30

22-16

32-31

18-13

11-21

10-16

15-27

17-27

14-31

20-22

21-22

23-15

13-21

24-32

20-17

20-21

5-20

18-11

21-22

24-11

25-33

23-27

22-28

171.8Avg total

78.1Scored

93.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.4	90.8	169.2	-12.3	19%
Season at home (11)	80.9	90.7	171.6	-9.8	18%
Season away (10)	75.7	90.8	166.5	-15.1	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	93.7	171.8	-15.6	0%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	87.4	160.2	-14.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	76.7	95.3	172.0	-18.7	10%
vs Similar (5)	83.2	92.2	175.4	-9.0	20%
vs Weaker (3)	81.7	77.7	159.3	+4.0	67%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

92-95

-3

A16/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

98-88

+10

H28/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

78-102

102

-24

A03/02

Basketligaen

Randers

92-109

109

-17

A13/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

82-97

-15

A16/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

87-96

-9

A19/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

96-83

+13

H04/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

78-92

-14

A08/03

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

74-64

+10

H20/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

77-76

H27/03

Basketligaen

20-22

35-26

16-26

21-21

18-27

29-23

30-16

21-22

20-25

20-23

21-35

17-19

29-27

24-22

21-37

18-23

19-21

19-24

16-25

28-27

17-29

28-24

18-20

24-23

24-28

20-13

26-22

26-20

21-25

19-24

22-23

16-20

21-20

20-5

11-18

22-21

24-16

16-18

17-27

20-15

175.6Avg total

85.4Scored

90.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	82.5	87.3	169.8	-4.8	38%
Season at home (11)	83.0	84.3	167.3	-1.3	55%
Season away (10)	81.9	90.6	172.5	-8.7	20%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	90.2	175.6	-4.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	82.2	164.6	+0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	84.5	98.7	183.2	-14.1	7%
vs Similar (4)	90.5	86.8	177.2	+3.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	84.4	77.9	162.3	+6.5	80%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Herlev WolfpackVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	23.5	43.4	-3.5	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	23.8	42.4	-5.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.6	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.6	40.6	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	23.6	46.3	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	24.0	45.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.6	45.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.0	23.9	43.9	-3.9	13%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.8	21.8	45.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	23.4	41.4	-5.4	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	22.2	40.5	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	24.7	42.4	-7.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	26.0	42.2	-9.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	25.2	38.8	-11.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.2	24.4	41.6	-7.2	14%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.7	21.6	43.2	+0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	20.6	42.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	22.3	24.7	46.9	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.8	22.8	46.5	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.9	16.4	36.3	+3.5	60%	-

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

32-51

-19

A13/01

Basketligaen

Randers

51-51

H15/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

38-43

-5

A18/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

44-48

-4

A28/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

32-52

-20

A06/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

29-34

-5

H09/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

31-58

-27

A19/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

36-36

H12/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

25-41

-16

A20/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

49-44

H25/03

Basketligaen

82.5Avg total

36.7Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.9	46.9	84.8	-9.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	45.4	84.9	-5.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	48.5	84.8	-12.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	45.8	82.5	-9.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	42.6	76.6	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.8	48.6	85.3	-11.8	10%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.0	45.2	88.2	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.7	38.0	75.7	-0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

55-48

A16/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

47-50

-3

H28/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

40-48

-8

A03/02

Basketligaen

Randers

53-49

A13/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

38-45

-7

A16/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

45-53

-8

A19/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

44-41

H04/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

40-49

-9

A08/03

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-25

+16

H20/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

40-34

H27/03

Basketligaen

88.5Avg total

44.3Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.0	43.7	86.7	-0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	41.3	83.4	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.8	46.0	89.8	-2.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	44.2	88.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.4	82.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	42.3	48.5	90.8	-6.3	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	47.5	44.5	92.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.3	36.2	78.5	+6.1	70%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	23.3	42.8	-3.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.1	22.0	41.0	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	23.1	43.9	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	23.5	46.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	22.7	41.8	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	24.9	44.7	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.2	26.0	47.2	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	24.1	43.8	-4.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	25.7	48.0	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.0	24.2	44.2	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	23.0	44.6	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	24.3	45.5	-3.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.1	24.1	45.2	-3.1	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	22.5	45.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.8	45.6	85.4	-5.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	46.1	86.3	-5.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	45.1	84.6	-5.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	47.9	89.3	-6.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	44.8	83.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.1	46.1	85.3	-7.0	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.2	47.0	87.2	-6.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	39.7	83.7	+4.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.3	46.1	88.4	-3.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	45.2	89.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	47.0	87.3	-6.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	46.0	87.1	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	42.3	50.1	92.4	-7.9	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.0	42.2	85.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.1	41.7	83.8	+0.4	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
20/03/22	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	74-64
13/01/22	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	103-87
13/10/21	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	89-69
26/03/21	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	88-82
03/03/21	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	77-100
14/11/20	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	64-78
23/01/20	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	88-84
11/10/19	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	96-93
13/02/19	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	84-74
02/01/19	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	93-84

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/22	H	Copenhagen	94-99
20/03/22	A	Vaerlose	64-74
12/03/22	H	Amager	80-85
19/02/22	A	Svendborg	72-102
09/02/22	H	Horsens	54-77
06/02/22	A	Horsens	86-99
28/01/22	A	Bears Academy	74-103
18/01/22	A	Team FOG Naestved	74-88
15/01/22	H	Randers	96-107
13/01/22	A	Vaerlose	87-103

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/22	H	Amager	77-76
20/03/22	H	Herlev Wolfpack	74-64
08/03/22	A	Copenhagen	78-92
04/03/22	H	Svendborg	96-83
19/02/22	A	Bakken Bears	87-96
16/02/22	A	Svendborg	82-97
13/02/22	A	Randers	92-109
03/02/22	A	Team FOG Naestved	78-102
28/01/22	H	Amager	98-88
16/01/22	A	Horsens	92-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2021-22

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	19%
Home	LLLLL	18%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	19%	18%	20%
Points / game	78.4	80.9	75.7
Allowed / game	90.8	90.7	90.8
Point differential	-12.3	-9.8	-15.1
Avg total	169.2	171.6	166.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	9%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	38%
Home	WWWWW	55%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	38%	55%	20%
Points / game	82.5	83.0	81.9
Allowed / game	87.3	84.3	90.6
Point differential	-4.8	-1.3	-8.7
Avg total	169.8	167.3	172.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	45%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	24	23	1	96%	100.2	81.1	+19.1
2	Svendborg	25	17	8	68%	94.9	84.1	+10.8
3	Horsens	24	16	8	67%	89.9	84.7	+5.2
4	Team FOG Naestved	25	16	9	64%	89.5	80.6	+8.8
5	Randers	25	15	10	60%	96.6	91.1	+5.6
6	Copenhagen	22	9	13	41%	84.4	93.0	-8.5
7	Vaerlose	21	8	13	38%	82.5	87.3	-4.8
8	Bears Academy	25	7	18	28%	77.6	86.8	-9.2
9	Herlev Wolfpack	21	4	17	19%	78.4	90.8	-12.3
10	Amager	22	2	20	9%	75.8	95.6	-19.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Herlev Wolfpack	24	20	24	25	93
Vaerlose	25	17	22	31	95

← all games of the day

Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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