Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Mar 2021

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 77-100

24-29 11-27 21-25 21-19

Position#7

Record8-9

FormLWWWL

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game81.9

Herlev Wolfpack

Vaerlose 🏆

Position#6

Record8-10

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game86.2

BasketligaenRound 25

Other2020-21

Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

77-103

103

-26

H05/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

111-69

111

+42

H09/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

63-91

-28

A30/12

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

64-84

-20

A04/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

83-74

A09/01

Basketligaen

Randers

78-100

100

-22

A16/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

82-80

A23/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

94-87

A29/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

112-79

112

+33

H10/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

64-68

-4

A14/02

Basketligaen

13-30

25-25

15-21

24-27

28-18

28-15

29-17

26-19

20-21

15-25

9-25

19-20

16-23

15-19

24-30

9-12

17-24

26-11

19-18

21-21

22-19

11-20

23-32

22-29

13-24

20-17

14-18

35-21

26-24

19-16

15-20

34-27

20-15

39-19

27-13

26-32

13-10

20-22

18-18

13-18

166.3Avg total

82.8Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	77.9	81.9	159.8	-3.9	47%
Season at home (8)	84.2	81.0	165.2	+3.2	50%
Season away (9)	72.3	82.7	155.0	-10.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	83.5	166.3	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	82.8	168.8	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	70.3	93.5	163.8	-23.2	8%
vs Similar (4)	78.5	76.2	154.8	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker (12)	91.2	77.4	168.6	+13.8	92%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

68-84

-16

A07/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

74-73

A13/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

84-100

100

-16

H03/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

68-108

108

-40

A09/01

Basketligaen

Randers

79-93

-14

A12/01

Denmark Cup

Svendborg

79-89

-10

H17/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

89-70

+19

A26/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

102-88

102

+14

H06/02

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

77-75 OT

H09/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

82-72

+10

A14/02

Basketligaen

12-19

26-25

19-19

11-21

19-19

16-13

17-24

22-17

12-21

14-23

21-27

37-29

17-32

8-21

18-26

25-29

23-22

16-21

22-26

18-24

26-20

18-22

19-29

16-18

25-19

27-13

16-22

21-16

25-15

30-24

24-22

23-27

12-21

15-18

27-14

14-15

22-18

12-30

24-14

24-10

165.4Avg total

80.2Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.7	86.2	165.9	-6.4	44%
Season at home (9)	82.2	87.2	169.4	-5.0	44%
Season away (9)	77.2	85.1	162.3	-7.9	44%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	85.2	165.4	-5.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	78.8	164.6	+7.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	77.2	96.4	173.7	-19.2	0%
vs Similar (4)	85.0	79.0	164.0	+6.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	86.5	75.7	162.2	+10.8	85%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Herlev WolfpackVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.6	40.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.5	41.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.3	42.1	-0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.3	23.6	42.9	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.2	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.4	22.5	38.9	-6.2	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	18.8	40.9	+3.4	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.2	25.2	43.4	-6.9	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	15.5	37.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.1	46%	-

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

38-55

-17

H05/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

56-33

+23

H09/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

35-46

-11

A30/12

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

31-42

-11

A04/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

43-35

A09/01

Basketligaen

Randers

33-39

-6

A16/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

33-41

-8

A23/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

45-40

A29/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

59-34

+25

H10/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

33-32

A14/02

Basketligaen

80.3Avg total

40.6Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	41.2	80.0	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	41.1	82.3	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	41.4	78.0	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	39.7	80.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	37.2	77.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	34.5	44.5	79.0	-10.1	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.8	39.8	77.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.1	37.8	81.8	+6.3	75%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

38-44

-6

A07/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

35-32

A13/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

26-44

-18

H03/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

25-53

-28

A09/01

Basketligaen

Randers

39-43

-4

A12/01

Denmark Cup

Svendborg

44-42

H17/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

52-32

+20

A26/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

55-39

+16

H06/02

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

27-39

-12

H09/02

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

34-48

-14

A14/02

Basketligaen

79.1Avg total

37.5Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	42.0	82.2	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	42.3	82.1	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	41.8	82.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	41.6	79.1	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.6	48.8	86.3	-11.2	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.2	35.8	78.0	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.0	37.7	79.7	+4.3	69%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.4	41.6	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.1	24.9	44.0	-5.8	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.0	16.2	33.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.9	18.6	42.5	+5.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.2	41.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.1	41.3	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.3	42.5	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.2	24.2	44.3	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	19.5	38.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	23.1	43.2	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.6	45.5	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	25.4	51.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.8	24.0	40.8	-7.2	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.2	21.1	44.2	+2.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.5	23.8	47.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.2	18.9	41.1	+3.2	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.4	84.2	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	41.6	83.3	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	45.0	84.9	-5.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	43.8	86.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	45.6	91.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.8	48.9	84.8	-13.1	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.8	36.5	77.2	+4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	47.1	39.7	86.8	+7.4	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	42.7	84.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	42.1	84.2	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	43.4	85.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.9	84.7	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	37.4	79.0	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.7	47.7	87.3	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.8	43.2	86.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.8	37.5	81.3	+6.4	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
14/11/20	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	64-78
23/01/20	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	88-84
11/10/19	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	96-93
13/02/19	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	84-74
02/01/19	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	93-84
02/11/18	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	84-109
06/10/18	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	95-86
09/03/15	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	77-105
16/01/15	Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose	101-66
16/11/14	Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack	73-84

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/21	A	Bears Academy	64-68
10/02/21	H	Amager	112-79
29/01/21	A	Copenhagen	94-87
23/01/21	A	Bears Academy	82-80
16/01/21	A	Randers	78-100
09/01/21	A	Amager	83-74
04/01/21	A	Team FOG Naestved	64-84
30/12/20	A	Bears Academy	63-91
09/12/20	H	Copenhagen	111-69
05/12/20	H	Bakken Bears	77-103

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/21	A	Amager	82-72
09/02/21	H	Copenhagen	77-75 OT
06/02/21	H	Amager	102-88
26/01/21	A	Copenhagen	89-70
17/01/21	H	Svendborg	79-89
12/01/21	A	Randers	79-93
09/01/21	A	Bakken Bears	68-108
03/01/21	H	Horsens	84-100
13/12/20	A	Bears Academy	74-73
07/12/20	A	Team FOG Naestved	68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	47%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	WLWWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	50%	44%
Points / game	77.9	84.2	72.3
Allowed / game	81.9	81.0	82.7
Point differential	-3.9	+3.2	-10.3
Avg total	159.8	165.2	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	44%
Home	LLLWW	44%
Away	LWLWW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	44%	44%
Points / game	79.7	82.2	77.2
Allowed / game	86.2	87.2	85.1
Point differential	-6.4	-5.0	-7.9
Avg total	165.9	169.4	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	22%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	21	20	1	95%	106.6	78.9	+27.8
2	Horsens	21	14	7	67%	91.0	84.7	+6.4
3	Randers	20	13	7	65%	97.7	92.2	+5.5
4	Svendborg	21	13	8	62%	88.4	81.9	+6.6
5	Team FOG Naestved	22	12	10	55%	81.3	80.7	+0.6
6	Herlev Wolfpack	17	8	9	47%	77.9	81.9	-3.9
7	Vaerlose	18	8	10	44%	79.7	86.2	-6.4
8	Bears Academy	18	5	13	28%	84.7	88.2	-3.6
9	Copenhagen	18	3	15	17%	72.8	90.9	-18.2
10	Amager	18	1	17	6%	75.8	98.2	-22.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Herlev Wolfpack	24	11	21	21	77
Vaerlose	29	27	25	19	100

← all games of the day

Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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