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Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-87
15-23 19-18 26-18 19-28
Position#12
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game93.5
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
vs
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
Position#6
Record10-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game90.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose
11 Mar 2026
HERL88
VAER95
19 Feb 2026
HERL79
VAER87
05 Apr 2025
HERL72
VAER70
27 Dec 2024
HERL80
VAER105
14 Oct 2023
HERL70
VAER79
03 Feb 2023
HERL62
VAER84
01 Apr 2022
HERL93
VAER95
13 Oct 2021
HERL89
VAER69
03 Mar 2021
HERL77
VAER100
14 Nov 2020
HERL64
VAER78
18 Mar 2020
HERL v VAER
upcoming
13 Feb 2019
HERL84
VAER74
06 Oct 2018
HERL95
VAER86
16 Jan 2015
HERL101
VAER66
29 Mar 2014
HERL77
VAER76
18 Mar 2014
HERL77
VAER70
08 Mar 2014
HERL95
VAER90
12 Oct 2013
HERL88
VAER75
01 Mar 2012
HERL92
VAER85
12 Nov 2011
HERL62
VAER74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
63avg 70
H12/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 70
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
86-71
86
71
+15
90avg 70
A26/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
72-70
72
70
+2
66avg 70
H05/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
57avg 70
A12/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
54avg 70
A16/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 70
H30/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
61-111
61
111
-50
45avg 70
A02/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
94-106
94
106
-12
83avg 70
A05/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
85avg 70
A13/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-27
24-21
21-23
21-12
19-26
18-28
23-22
16-24
28-18
26-16
18-18
14-19
23-15
19-14
13-28
17-13
17-16
19-26
17-20
23-31
24-24
14-26
14-15
21-21
18-18
19-22
25-15
22-17
14-35
14-33
18-13
15-30
27-28
18-25
21-29
28-24
11-27
27-27
25-19
23-12
166.0Avg total
78.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.293.5174.8-12.250%
Season at home (1)84.072.0156.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)80.3100.7181.0-20.333%
Last 10 (10)78.387.7166.0-9.440%
Last 5 (5)79.692.0171.6-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.593.4167.8-18.98%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.686.3168.9-3.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 70
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 70
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
67-99
67
99
-32
54avg 70
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 70
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-114
70
114
-44
58avg 70
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 70
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
74avg 70
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
99avg 70
H04/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
69-100
69
100
-31
54avg 70
A14/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
32-18
26-20
20-28
20-27
15-24
16-21
22-19
18-22
16-27
19-19
14-31
14-29
18-14
14-24
24-20
22-31
13-27
15-30
20-26
16-22
19-20
21-17
20-16
18-31
19-29
19-28
17-15
23-18
22-34
19-25
16-29
27-19
18-21
25-24
30-29
16-28
17-28
19-23
17-21
172.8Avg total
77.3Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.190.1167.2-13.048%
Season at home (11)79.088.8167.8-9.855%
Season away (10)75.091.5166.5-16.540%
Last 10 (10)77.395.5172.8-18.230%
Last 5 (5)79.695.4175.0-15.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.697.8168.4-27.27%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.483.2169.6+3.273%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
Herlev WolfpackVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H12/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A26/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H05/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A12/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H30/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
28-68
28
68
-40
A02/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A05/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A13/02
Basketligaen
86.0Avg total
38.8Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.845.887.6-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.941.682.4-0.736%-
Last 30 away (16)42.649.692.1-7.025%-
Last 10 (10)38.847.286.0-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.253.090.2-15.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.646.785.3-8.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.644.888.4-1.231%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A14/02
Basketligaen
87.0Avg total
38.0Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.546.485.9-6.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.446.287.6-4.853%-
Last 30 away (15)37.746.584.2-8.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.049.087.0-11.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.050.089.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.651.184.8-17.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.742.286.9+2.573%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.922.9
51.0%
54.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.1
26.9%
32.9%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
70.1%13.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.7
51.8%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.5
33.2%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws28.518.6
65.3%
70.1%18.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
WLLWLLWWLL
Vaerlose
LWLLWLLLLW
#12
League position
#6
-10.8
Net rating
-16.1
89.5
Offensive rating
89.7
100.4
Defensive rating
105.8
47.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
19.2%
Turnover %
23.7%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.49
26.9%
3-point %
33.2%
53.1%
Assist %
66.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 89.7Defence100.4 · 105.8Shooting47.4% · 51.0%3-point %26.9% · 33.2%Ball care19.2% · 23.7%Off. rebounds26.2% · 22.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.49Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Herlev Wolfpack wins
7
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose72-70
08/03/25Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack100-80
27/12/24Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose80-105
03/10/24Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack71-86
07/01/24Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack81-76
14/10/23Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose70-79
03/02/23Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose62-84
01/12/22Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack71-85
01/04/22Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose93-95
20/03/22Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack74-64
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AVejen86-85
05/02/26AHolbaek-Stenhus94-106
02/02/26ASvendborg61-111
30/01/26HVejen84-72
16/04/25AHolbaek-Stenhus73-86
12/04/25AAmager76-93
05/04/25HVaerlose72-70
26/03/25ABears Academy86-71
15/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus76-100
12/03/25HAmager75-83
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ASvendborg69-100
04/02/26HAmager100-93
29/01/26ARanders80-106
18/01/26HRanders73-103
09/01/26HCopenhagen76-75
03/01/26ABakken Bears70-114
29/12/25HBakken Bears70-87
16/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved67-99
12/12/25ACopenhagen73-91
22/11/25HBears Academy95-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game81.284.080.3
Allowed / game93.572.0100.7
Point differential-12.2+12.0-20.3
Avg total174.8156.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game77.179.075.0
Allowed / game90.188.891.5
Point differential-13.0-9.8-16.5
Avg total167.2167.8166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2119290%104.476.3+28.1
2 Team FOG Naestved2118386%107.786.5+21.2
3 Svendborg2218482%96.575.1+21.5
4 Horsens2116576%88.076.5+11.4
5 Randers2216673%94.284.3+9.9
6 Copenhagen21111052%87.985.6+2.3
7 Herlev Wolfpack42250%81.293.5-12.2
8 Vaerlose21101148%77.190.1-13.0
9 Bears Academy2161529%81.097.0-16.0
10 BMS Herlev1741324%78.294.1-15.9
11 Holbaek-Stenhus2131814%78.594.7-16.2
12 Vejen2121910%74.592.2-17.7
13 Amager2121910%80.498.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1519261979
Vaerlose2318182887
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