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Hiroshima D. vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 81-90
25-27 21-22 17-22 18-19
Position#15
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game68.3
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Saga
03 Feb 2027
HIRO v SAGA
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
HIRO91
SAGA79
18 Oct 2025
HIRO114
SAGA92
13 Oct 2024
HIRO81
SAGA90
12 Oct 2024
HIRO64
SAGA81
08 Nov 2023
HIRO80
SAGA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
69-66
69
66
+3
62avg 72
A12/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
71avg 72
A18/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
63avg 72
A19/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
77avg 72
A20/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 72
A25/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
72-63
72
63
+9
67avg 72
A26/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
65-50
65
50
+15
59avg 72
A28/05
B League
Gunma
#6
L
53-82
53
82
-29
no box
A03/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 72
A05/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
64-81
64
81
-17
52avg 72
H12/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
20-20
7-14
19-11
13-23
18-22
24-3
24-27
17-27
20-24
20-18
20-15
23-13
15-22
21-25
20-13
16-24
9-19
18-19
19-12
21-14
9-20
18-13
24-16
17-12
18-17
11-11
19-10
14-20
12-16
15-23
12-23
15-19
21-22
16-16
19-22
6-13
20-21
24-22
14-25
141.8Avg total
69.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)62.780.7143.3-18.00%
Season at home (1)64.081.0145.0-17.00%
Season away (2)62.080.5142.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)69.172.7141.8-3.650%
Last 5 (5)65.071.0136.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.574.2141.8-6.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.971.0145.9+3.969%
vs Weaker (10)82.272.0154.2+10.280%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
83avg 67
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
87-88
87
88
-1
79avg 67
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
66avg 67
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 67
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 67
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 67
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 67
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
48-70
48
70
-22
33avg 67
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
57avg 67
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 67
A12/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
27-24
16-18
22-19
27-33
22-15
17-9
21-31
18-13
18-22
23-13
14-4
9-26
22-17
20-12
14-18
29-22
10-18
21-19
29-20
18-17
18-18
24-25
17-21
7-21
23-17
23-17
15-25
9-22
11-18
13-13
15-17
24-12
27-22
12-14
14-23
13-6
21-20
22-24
25-14
152.1Avg total
76.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.768.3137.0+0.367%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)68.768.3137.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)76.275.9152.1+0.340%
Last 5 (5)70.273.2143.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.080.4150.4-10.414%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.678.3151.9-4.733%
vs Weaker (8)79.164.8143.9+14.488%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Hiroshima D.Saga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A18/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A19/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A20/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A25/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A26/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/05
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A03/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A05/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H12/10
B League
71.6Avg total
32.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.475.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.234.275.3+7.075%-
Last 30 away (18)37.437.975.3-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)32.738.971.6-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.634.865.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.839.875.5-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.836.071.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)45.235.780.9+9.580%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A12/10
B League
74.6Avg total
36.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.076.0-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.339.275.5-2.838%-
Last 30 away (17)39.337.276.5+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.074.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.668.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.440.777.1-4.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.539.576.9-2.033%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.073.4+7.488%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 63.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.313.7
43.8%
51.2%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.4
38.4%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws11.07.9
71.8%
72.7%7.9
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.5
47.6%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.7
34.0%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.910.5
58.7%
72.7%10.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
LLLWWLWLWW
Saga
WWLLLWLWLL
#15
League position
#18
-3.8
Net rating
-1.2
103.9
Offensive rating
101.0
107.7
Defensive rating
102.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.4%
3-point %
34.0%
65.4%
Assist %
71.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 101.0Defence107.7 · 102.2Shooting49.8% · 49.1%3-point %38.4% · 34.0%Ball care17.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds31.7% · 26.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hiroshima D. wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga64-81
06/03/24Saga v Hiroshima D.66-85
08/11/23Hiroshima D. v Saga80-61
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
14/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.69-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HSaga64-81
05/10/24AGunma71-79
03/10/24AGunma53-82
28/05/24ARyukyu65-50
26/05/24ARyukyu72-63
25/05/24ARyukyu62-74
20/05/24ADiamond Dolphins79-73
19/05/24ADiamond Dolphins77-84
18/05/24ADiamond Dolphins79-75
12/05/24ANeoPhoenix69-66
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AHiroshima D.81-64
06/10/24AKyoto77-71
05/10/24AKyoto48-70
06/05/24HDiamond Dolphins68-80
05/05/24HDiamond Dolphins77-81
28/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
27/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-73
21/04/24AKyoto73-52
20/04/24AKyoto87-88
17/04/24ARyukyu97-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.764.062.0
Allowed / game80.781.080.5
Point differential-18.0-17.0-18.5
Avg total143.3145.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
Home--
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game68.7-68.7
Allowed / game68.3-68.3
Point differential+0.3-+0.3
Avg total137.0-137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba330100%87.370.7+16.7
2 Osaka440100%85.068.8+16.2
3 Shimane440100%79.564.5+15.0
4 Alvark440100%83.569.2+14.2
5 Kyoto43175%74.567.8+6.8
6 Nagasaki43175%69.063.8+5.2
7 Diamond Dolphins32167%78.067.7+10.3
8 Ryukyu32167%87.078.3+8.7
9 SeaHorses Mikawa32167%73.769.7+4.0
10 NeoPhoenix32167%85.082.0+3.0
11 Saga32167%68.768.3+0.3
12 Gunma42250%76.870.2+6.5
13 Akita42250%77.573.0+4.5
14 Sun Rockers Shibuya42250%67.269.2-2.0
15 Yokohama42250%74.277.8-3.5
16 Utsunomiya Brex31233%80.383.7-3.3
17 Brave Thunders31233%70.381.3-11.0
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41325%66.079.5-13.5
19 Sendai4040%70.576.2-5.8
20 Shiga3030%77.390.0-12.7
21 Hokkaido4040%62.077.2-15.2
22 Ibaraki Robots3030%63.780.0-16.3
23 Hiroshima D.3030%62.780.7-18.0
24 Koshigaya Alphas3030%64.784.3-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.2521171881
Saga2722221990
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